AFRM

Affirm Holdings, Inc. $74.84 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+3.6%
Next 1 month
+7.4%
Seasonality
Not enough history
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -1.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 2.58 +7.4% · Seasonal tilt (4y) +0.0%
$23.5B market cap (#693 US) $269M/day volume 59% volatility -1% 1-year -58% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -17% from the high
$42.10$90.44

Congressional trades in AFRM Full tracker →

3 members · 3 buys / 3 sells · $20K–$125K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.

BUY DG Daniel Goldman · traded Apr 10, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL TS Thomas Suozzi · traded Mar 4, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 11, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Dec 28, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 12, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY TS Thomas Suozzi · traded Oct 13, 2021 $15K–$50K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.86.

1-day std dev
18.2%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+34.4%
Biggest drop
-22.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-27 beat 0.85 4.97 +486.2% +11.0% +0.3% -6.6%
2026-05-07 miss 0.73 0.62 -15.0% +1.5% -5.0% -2.3%
2026-02-05 miss 0.84 0.72 -13.9% +2.1% -4.0% -16.2%
2025-11-06 miss 0.62 0.61 -1.3% +6.0% +11.6% +6.9%
2025-08-28 beat 0.43 0.53 +22.5% +15.0% +10.6% +7.4%
2025-05-08 miss 0.40 0.19 -51.8% -6.9% -14.5% -3.1%
2025-02-06 beat 0.43 0.76 +75.2% +13.2% +21.8% +30.7%
2024-11-07 beat 0.17 0.36 +113.1% -1.4% -4.7% +15.1%
2024-08-28 beat -0.26 -0.14 +44.0% +23.8% +31.9% +21.7%
2024-05-08 miss -0.30 -0.41 -37.3% +1.7% -9.5% -7.4%
2024-02-08 beat -0.55 -0.54 +1.4% -6.1% -10.9% -22.5%
2023-11-08 beat -0.61 -0.56 +8.7% +14.8% +14.2% +12.8%
2023-08-24 miss -0.68 -0.68 -0.0% +9.3% +28.8% +58.3%
2023-05-09 beat -0.85 -0.57 +33.2% -1.5% -0.4% +7.0%
2023-02-08 miss -0.99 -1.08 -9.3% -15.4% -17.0% -15.2%
2022-11-08 beat -0.88 -0.86 +2.0% -14.7% -22.6% -3.3%
2022-08-25 beat -0.73 -0.65 +11.1% -12.2% -21.3% -28.1%
2022-05-12 beat -0.39 -0.19 +50.4% +37.6% +31.4% +37.6%
2022-02-10 miss -0.22 -0.57 -152.6% -9.6% -20.7% -36.4%
2021-11-10 miss -0.30 -1.13 -281.9% +23.8% +13.7% +4.2%
2021-09-09 miss -0.24 -0.47 -97.2% +20.7% +34.4% +26.3%
2021-05-10 miss -0.27 -1.00 -271.8% -12.5% -2.7% -9.4%
2021-02-11 beat -0.81 -0.40 +49.9% -7.4% -10.1% -25.1%

Short interest — low Full report →

Crowding 33/100
Squeeze risk 35/100
5.9% of float short 4.1 days to cover shorts -3% last read 54th %ile of its history as of 2026-10-15

Not investment advice.