AGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.3% median,
71% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 63
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.73 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$7.8B market cap (#971 US)
$284M/day volume
22% volatility
-14% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 13% of the way up · -27% from the high
$8.38$12.19
Congressional trades in AGNC Full tracker →
3 members · 2 buys / 4 sells · $6K–$90K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-25 (Monday, after close, in 88 days) · EPS est. 0.37.
1-day std dev
2.9%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+7.1%
Biggest drop
-8.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.7% | -0.5% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-20 | miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -242.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +2.9% |
| 2026-01-26 | beat | 0.45 | 0.83 | +85.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -2.6% |
| 2025-10-20 | miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -9.4% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2025-07-21 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2025-04-21 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +11.2% |
| 2025-01-27 | miss | 0.41 | 0.10 | -75.5% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2024-10-21 | miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -16.2% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -8.1% |
| 2024-07-22 | miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -1.0% |
| 2024-04-22 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% | -0.5% |
| 2024-01-22 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.5% | +2.4% | +6.3% | +21.9% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +7.0% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -1.5% |
| 2023-04-24 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.6% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -8.1% |
| 2023-01-30 | beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.0% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +21.6% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +7.9% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.59 | 0.83 | +41.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.8% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +9.2% |
| 2022-01-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.3% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -3.2% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.65 | 0.76 | +17.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.9% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +3.1% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +14.8% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.81 | +42.0% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -1.1% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.0% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | +1.6% | -2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% | +4.4% |
| 2019-07-24 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2019-04-24 | miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.8% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 0.59 | 0.53 | -9.8% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.6% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +2.7% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +4.1% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.6% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.4% | +0.6% | -4.2% | -7.4% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +12.7% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +11.8% | +0.0% | +2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +2.9% |
| 2016-10-24 | beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +16.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.2% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2016-04-25 | miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -7.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -2.7% |
| 2016-02-01 | beat | 0.57 | 0.72 | +27.0% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2015-10-26 | miss | 0.61 | 0.51 | -16.0% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -5.2% |
| 2015-07-27 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.5% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2015-04-27 | miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.2% | -1.6% | -3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2015-02-02 | miss | 0.81 | 0.59 | -26.9% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2014-10-27 | miss | 0.76 | 0.64 | -15.8% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.2% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +3.8% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2014-02-03 | beat | 0.66 | 1.02 | +53.8% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +4.3% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +22.5% | -6.7% | -8.4% | -9.0% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +16.9% | +5.3% | +5.7% | +3.0% |
| 2013-05-02 | miss | 0.99 | 0.99 | -0.1% | -5.6% | -7.4% | -9.2% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +14.4% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2012-10-29 | miss | 1.08 | 1.01 | -6.4% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -6.2% |
| 2012-08-02 | miss | 1.18 | 1.16 | -2.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -3.3% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 1.17 | 1.57 | +34.4% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +2.9% |
| 2012-02-06 | miss | 1.15 | 1.11 | -3.4% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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