AGNC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.1% | 2.8% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +0.6% | 6.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -242.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -6.0% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.83 | +85.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -5.6% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-20 miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -9.4% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +7.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.10 | -75.5% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.6% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -16.2% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -4.7% | -3.6% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% | -2.3% | +4.3% |
| 2024-01-22 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.5% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.5% | +2.4% | +6.3% | +14.6% | +19.5% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +7.0% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.6% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -5.2% | -9.0% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.0% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +1.2% | -9.1% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +21.6% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +24.5% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 0.59 | 0.83 | +41.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.8% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.3% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -3.5% | -2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.