AGNC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.1% | 2.1% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 1.2% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +1.1% | 5.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -242.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -6.0% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.83 | +85.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -5.6% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-20 miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -9.4% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +7.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.10 | -75.5% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.6% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -16.2% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -4.7% | -3.6% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% | -2.3% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.