AGNC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 2.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.6% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.5% | 5.1% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2026-04-20 miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -242.2% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -6.0% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.83 | +85.3% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -5.6% | -6.7% |
| 2025-10-20 miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -9.4% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.6% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +7.3% | +4.1% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.10 | -75.5% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.6% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.47 | 0.39 | -16.2% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -4.7% | -3.6% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.3% | -1.1% | +1.8% | -2.3% | +4.3% |
| 2024-01-22 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.5% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.5% | +2.4% | +6.3% | +14.6% | +19.5% |
| 2023-07-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +7.0% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2023-04-24 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.6% | -0.4% | -3.0% | -5.2% | -9.0% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.0% | +0.8% | +2.8% | +1.2% | -9.1% |
| 2022-10-24 beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +21.6% | -1.7% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +24.5% |
| 2022-07-25 beat | 0.59 | 0.83 | +41.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.8% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +2.0% | +1.7% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.3% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +16.2% | +0.5% | -0.2% | -3.5% | -2.9% |
| 2021-07-26 beat | 0.65 | 0.76 | +17.4% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -2.2% | +1.6% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.9% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +4.7% |
| 2021-01-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.75 | +14.8% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2020-10-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.81 | +42.0% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -2.2% | +9.8% |
| 2020-07-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.0% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +3.5% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.6% | +1.6% | -2.5% | +1.2% | +6.0% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +4.0% | -1.8% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% | +0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -2.4% | -0.5% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -9.0% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.8% | -1.6% | -2.7% | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2019-01-30 miss | 0.59 | 0.53 | -9.8% | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.6% | +0.8% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -2.9% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +2.7% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.6% | -0.5% | +0.8% | -1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-01-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +4.1% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -2.7% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.4% | +0.6% | -4.2% | -3.3% | -1.4% |
| 2017-07-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +12.7% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +11.8% | +0.0% | +2.6% | -6.3% | -3.8% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +3.7% |
| 2016-10-24 beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +16.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | -2.2% | -6.2% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.56 | +9.2% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2016-04-25 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -7.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2016-02-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.72 | +27.0% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2015-10-26 miss | 0.61 | 0.51 | -16.0% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -0.4% | -1.7% |
| 2015-07-27 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.5% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2015-04-27 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.2% | -1.6% | -3.2% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2015-02-02 miss | 0.81 | 0.59 | -26.9% | -0.8% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -1.7% |
| 2014-10-27 miss | 0.76 | 0.64 | -15.8% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2014-07-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.2% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | +0.2% |
| 2014-04-28 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +3.8% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2014-02-03 beat | 0.66 | 1.02 | +53.8% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +3.0% | +5.7% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +22.5% | -6.7% | -8.4% | -0.6% | -6.2% |
| 2013-07-29 beat | 0.79 | 0.92 | +16.9% | +5.3% | +5.7% | -2.5% | -2.3% |
| 2013-05-02 miss | 0.99 | 0.99 | -0.1% | -5.6% | -7.4% | -2.0% | -15.7% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +14.4% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +2.9% |
| 2012-10-29 miss | 1.08 | 1.01 | -6.4% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -5.8% | -3.8% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | 1.18 | 1.16 | -2.1% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2012-05-02 beat | 1.17 | 1.57 | +34.4% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +1.8% |
| 2012-02-06 miss | 1.15 | 1.11 | -3.4% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +2.9% | -1.3% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 1.34 | 1.15 | -14.3% | +0.2% | +0.4% | -3.6% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.