AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. $268.20 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+0.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.7% median, 63% of the last 41 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.38 -1.0% · Seasonal tilt +1.5%
$58.9B market cap (#219 US) $370M/day volume 32% volatility +0% 1-year -24% from ATH
52-week range · 94% of the way up · -2% from the high
$190.75$272.80

Congressional trades in AJG Full tracker →

14 members · 14 buys / 16 sells · $157K–$755K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.

BUY AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 27, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kelly Louise Morrison · traded Mar 8, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL KM Kelly Louise Morrison · traded Mar 8, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Dec 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JL Julia Letlow · traded Oct 23, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JL Julia Letlow · traded Jul 29, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Dec 19, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Nov 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Sep 23, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Oct 29, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Aug 14, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Aug 4, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Dec 11, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Apr 20, 2023 $15K–$50K
BUY DM David B. McKinley · traded Sep 21, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JR John Rutherford · traded Mar 16, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jun 21, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL MS Mikie Sherrill · traded Feb 20, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Dec 27, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Nov 13, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Nov 12, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL NT Nicholas Van Taylor · traded Jan 4, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY JR John Rutherford · traded Jul 17, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Susan M Collins · traded Apr 15, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL SC Susan M Collins · traded Jun 19, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL SC Susan M Collins · traded Jun 19, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY JH John Hoeven · traded Oct 20, 2014 $100K–$250K
SELL SC Susan M Collins · traded Jun 19, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Susan M Collins · traded Apr 15, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 2.99.

1-day std dev
2.3%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+7.4%
Biggest drop
-6.0%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-07-30 beat 2.81 2.84 +0.9% -4.1% -2.7% -3.3%
2026-04-30 beat 4.43 4.47 +1.0% +5.1% +0.8% -3.6%
2026-01-29 beat 2.35 2.38 +1.4% +1.2% +1.4% -1.7%
2025-10-30 miss 2.54 2.32 -8.5% -7.4% -4.8% -4.6%
2025-07-31 miss 2.36 2.33 -1.2% -0.8% -1.1% +0.8%
2025-05-01 beat 3.58 3.67 +2.5% +4.0% +4.2% +6.5%
2025-01-30 beat 2.03 2.13 +5.0% -0.3% +0.9% +7.8%
2024-10-24 miss 2.27 2.26 -0.6% -1.6% -1.6% -2.5%
2024-07-25 beat 2.24 2.26 +1.0% -1.8% +3.5% +4.8%
2024-04-25 beat 3.41 3.49 +2.5% +0.0% -1.2% +0.7%
2024-01-25 miss 1.85 1.85 -0.1% -0.7% -2.0% -2.1%
2023-10-26 beat 1.95 2.00 +2.6% +1.8% -0.7% +5.4%
2023-07-27 beat 1.86 1.90 +2.2% +2.1% -0.4% +1.7%
2023-04-27 beat 2.99 3.03 +1.2% -0.5% -0.5% +2.3%
2023-01-26 beat 1.50 1.54 +3.0% +1.3% -1.7% -1.9%
2022-10-27 beat 1.66 1.72 +3.4% +4.2% +6.2% +6.1%
2022-07-28 beat 1.68 1.70 +1.2% +5.0% +1.7% +1.4%
2022-04-28 beat 2.76 2.81 +1.8% -1.7% -6.0% -8.3%
2022-01-27 beat 0.95 0.98 +3.2% +0.3% +3.5% +4.7%
2021-10-28 beat 1.21 1.33 +9.8% +0.2% +2.2% -2.4%
2021-07-29 beat 1.07 1.17 +8.8% +0.2% -0.1% -0.3%
2021-04-29 beat 1.84 2.02 +10.0% +0.7% +3.0% +7.4%
2021-01-28 beat 0.78 0.88 +12.1% -0.6% -0.1% +2.5%
2020-10-29 beat 0.92 1.08 +16.8% -0.5% +0.7% +7.3%
2020-07-30 beat 0.73 0.94 +29.0% +1.4% +2.8% +2.1%
2020-04-30 beat 1.73 1.83 +5.7% +0.0% -1.3% +10.1%
2020-01-30 beat 0.52 0.58 +10.5% +2.8% +2.4% +4.7%
2019-10-24 beat 0.79 0.80 +1.2% +0.1% -1.9% +0.3%
2019-07-25 beat 0.61 0.65 +6.5% -0.3% +0.5% -1.9%
2019-04-25 beat 1.61 1.63 +1.3% +0.3% +0.4% +0.4%
2019-01-31 beat 0.52 0.53 +2.7% +0.4% +2.9% +5.5%
2018-10-25 beat 0.77 0.78 +1.4% -0.6% +1.5% +2.3%
2018-07-26 miss 0.63 0.62 -1.4% +0.4% -0.4% +0.4%
2018-05-01 miss 1.53 1.52 -0.6% -1.7% -1.8% -1.8%
2018-01-25 beat 0.74 0.82 +10.3% +2.5% +7.4% +4.4%
2017-10-26 beat 0.79 0.81 +2.1% +1.0% +0.5% +2.3%
2017-07-27 beat 1.03 1.03 +0.3% +1.0% +2.4% +1.7%
2017-04-27 beat 0.39 0.40 +3.0% -0.7% -1.6% -1.8%
2017-01-26 beat 0.66 0.66 +0.4% -0.2% +1.5% +0.4%
2016-10-27 beat 0.76 0.77 +1.2% +1.8% +0.5% -1.3%
2016-07-28 beat 0.96 0.97 +0.8% -0.7% -0.4% -0.2%
2016-04-28 beat 0.30 0.34 +13.7% +2.8% +3.6% +5.7%
2016-02-02 beat 0.54 0.59 +8.9% +0.8% +2.8% +1.4%
2015-10-27 beat 0.69 0.77 +11.0% +0.9% +0.9% +0.8%
2015-07-28 miss 0.94 0.94 -0.3% -0.1% +1.5% +1.4%
2015-04-24 beat 0.26 0.27 +5.5% -0.4% +2.7% +0.3%
2015-02-03 beat 0.53 0.58 +8.8% +0.6% +1.5% +2.6%
2014-10-28 miss 0.68 0.68 -0.3% -0.1% +2.5% +4.2%
2014-07-29 beat 0.72 0.75 +4.7% +0.9% +1.7% -0.6%
2014-04-06 beat 0.23 0.39 +71.5% +0.0% -2.5% +0.7%
2014-01-28 miss 0.49 0.48 -1.6% -5.1% -0.9% -5.7%
2013-10-29 miss 0.62 0.59 -5.1% -0.2% +0.0% -0.3%
2013-07-30 beat 0.70 0.72 +3.0% +1.1% +1.4% +1.1%
2013-04-30 beat 0.24 0.32 +31.6% +3.1% +0.2% +4.5%
2013-01-29 beat 0.38 0.44 +16.7% +0.9% +1.3% +6.4%
2012-10-30 miss 0.55 0.52 -5.4% -0.4% +1.3% -0.3%
2012-07-31 miss 0.56 0.55 -1.8% +1.9% +1.3% -1.4%
2012-05-01 beat 0.26 0.27 +4.4% -0.9% -1.0% -4.6%
2012-01-31 beat 0.33 0.39 +17.8% +1.6% +2.9% +5.6%
2011-10-25 miss 0.44 0.43 -2.5% +2.8% +1.6% -0.3%

Not investment advice.