ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.4%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.7% median,
64% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.24 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.0%
$2M/day volume
117% volatility
-87% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -89% from the high
$0.60$5.93
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.09.
1-day std dev
6.4%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+18.6%
Biggest drop
-13.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -16.1% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -1.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.12 | -0.06 | +50.0% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-27 | miss | 0.16 | -0.10 | -163.2% | -1.1% | +2.9% | -3.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +17.5% | +0.2% | -2.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.19 | -0.16 | +14.7% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +4.3% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.28 | -0.17 | +39.3% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-02-28 | miss | -0.22 | -0.27 | -24.2% | +2.5% | +18.6% | +29.5% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.6% | +0.6% | +3.4% | -21.2% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | -0.14 | -0.28 | -97.9% | -5.9% | -5.3% | +37.5% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -32.3% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -10.5% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +35.8% | -1.8% | -6.0% | -27.5% |
| 2023-11-03 | beat | -0.25 | -0.14 | +43.1% | +0.4% | +1.8% | +11.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.30 | -0.15 | +50.3% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.28 | -0.27 | +3.8% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -0.30 | -0.22 | +25.7% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +8.0% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +19.9% | +1.4% | +6.2% | +2.5% |
| 2022-08-05 | beat | -0.30 | -0.30 | +1.5% | -2.2% | +10.9% | +19.7% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.29 | -0.29 | -0.1% | +4.4% | -5.1% | -17.1% |
| 2022-03-17 | beat | -0.28 | -0.27 | +3.7% | +4.5% | +16.3% | +15.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | -0.25 | -0.27 | -7.6% | +0.1% | +9.2% | +12.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.23 | -0.28 | -24.3% | +0.0% | +8.3% | +8.6% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.0% | -2.1% | +0.7% | +1.2% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | -0.30 | -0.30 | +0.4% | -1.8% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +15.6% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.35 | -0.25 | +27.9% | -6.0% | -9.4% | -9.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.46 | -0.34 | +26.8% | +3.1% | -3.4% | +28.0% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | -0.70 | -0.48 | +31.1% | -10.4% | -13.3% | -24.4% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -0.56 | -0.69 | -23.7% | +1.0% | -4.5% | -0.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.49 | -0.49 | -0.6% | +10.3% | -0.7% | -9.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -0.44 | -0.58 | -32.3% | -2.8% | +0.6% | -7.8% |
| 2019-03-08 | beat | -0.43 | -0.39 | +9.1% | -1.8% | -3.7% | +6.9% |
| 2018-11-14 | miss | -0.47 | -0.52 | -9.5% | -5.2% | -11.5% | -15.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.42 | -0.46 | -8.2% | +0.7% | +4.2% | +1.4% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | -0.38 | -0.43 | -14.2% | -7.5% | -2.3% | +0.0% |
| 2018-03-29 | miss | -0.32 | -0.36 | -13.4% | +0.0% | -8.0% | -14.1% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | -0.35 | -0.32 | +9.2% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +5.2% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | -0.37 | -0.35 | +5.4% | +0.0% | -5.3% | -11.7% |
| 2017-05-15 | miss | -0.34 | -0.37 | -7.2% | +2.5% | +5.1% | +10.1% |
| 2017-03-30 | beat | -0.45 | -0.35 | +23.1% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -2.9% |
| 2016-11-14 | beat | -0.41 | -0.38 | +7.3% | +2.0% | +8.3% | -0.4% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | -0.44 | -0.41 | +7.2% | -4.7% | -3.0% | -6.7% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -0.50 | -0.51 | -2.5% | +8.1% | +0.2% | -12.0% |
| 2016-03-30 | miss | -0.37 | -0.46 | -24.3% | -5.2% | -4.7% | +9.4% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | -0.32 | -0.35 | -9.4% | -2.3% | -3.1% | -4.8% |
| 2015-08-11 | beat | -0.34 | -0.27 | +20.6% | -1.1% | +2.7% | -5.0% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | -0.38 | -0.32 | +15.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2015-03-19 | beat | -0.37 | -0.30 | +18.9% | +0.6% | -5.5% | -7.2% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.33 | -0.36 | -9.1% | -1.1% | +11.1% | +7.4% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | -0.53 | -0.34 | +36.0% | +0.0% | -4.6% | +23.4% |
Not investment advice.
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