ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+2.4%
Next 1 month
+6.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +6.2% median,
73% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 60
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.29 +6.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$156M/day volume
52% volatility
-20% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -41% from the high
$32.33$60.63
Congressional trades in ALK Full tracker →
9 members · 6 buys / 13 sells · $545K–$1.3M disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 84 days) · EPS est. -2.02.
1-day std dev
4.4%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-13.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | miss | 0.28 | -0.31 | -211.0% | -1.5% | -2.4% | +3.6% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | -0.99 | -0.92 | +7.2% | -4.3% | -2.4% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-20 | miss | -1.59 | -1.68 | -5.8% | -3.5% | -4.8% | -8.6% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 0.11 | 0.43 | +297.2% | -1.9% | +4.1% | +4.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.7% | -5.1% | -6.1% | -10.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 1.54 | 1.78 | +15.7% | -2.8% | -5.7% | -1.7% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | -0.77 | -0.77 | -0.1% | -12.9% | -10.0% | -3.7% |
| 2025-01-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.97 | +106.7% | +3.5% | +2.2% | +10.4% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.5% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +7.9% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 2.38 | 2.55 | +7.3% | -3.9% | -6.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-04-18 | beat | -1.05 | -0.92 | +12.1% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +4.3% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +66.0% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +1.2% |
| 2023-10-19 | miss | 1.87 | 1.83 | -2.0% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -2.7% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 2.70 | 3.00 | +10.9% | -5.6% | -9.7% | -10.2% |
| 2023-04-20 | miss | -0.48 | -0.62 | -28.9% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -1.6% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 0.93 | 0.92 | -0.7% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 2.39 | 2.53 | +5.9% | -1.1% | -4.7% | +3.4% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.97 | 2.19 | +11.3% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +1.4% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | -1.51 | -1.33 | +11.8% | +3.9% | +0.2% | -5.4% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.9% | +3.0% | +0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.2% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -7.7% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | -0.44 | -0.30 | +31.8% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | -3.64 | -3.51 | +3.6% | +1.7% | -2.7% | -0.4% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | -2.93 | -2.55 | +12.8% | +1.1% | -2.0% | -4.2% |
| 2020-10-22 | miss | -2.93 | -3.23 | -10.4% | -1.4% | +2.3% | -7.3% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | -3.86 | -3.54 | +8.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | -1.14 | -0.82 | +28.1% | +3.3% | +0.7% | -6.7% |
| 2020-01-28 | beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.7% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +1.2% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 2.52 | 2.63 | +4.3% | +0.3% | +4.1% | +2.0% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 2.13 | 2.17 | +2.0% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +12.4% | -0.1% | +2.5% | +5.6% |
| 2019-01-24 | beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +5.1% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -2.2% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.5% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.62 | 1.66 | +2.2% | -1.9% | +9.6% | +4.2% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +13.2% | +3.0% | +5.7% | -0.7% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +0.8% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -0.9% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 2.26 | 2.24 | -0.9% | -3.9% | -13.2% | -17.1% |
| 2017-07-26 | miss | 2.52 | 2.51 | -0.3% | -2.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 1.01 | 1.05 | +4.3% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -5.3% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 1.42 | 1.56 | +9.7% | +1.1% | +3.3% | +3.0% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 2.06 | 2.20 | +7.0% | +1.0% | +2.5% | -3.2% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 2.09 | 2.12 | +1.6% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +7.8% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +2.1% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -11.8% |
| 2016-01-21 | beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.4% | +2.2% | +8.1% | +2.1% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 2.10 | 2.16 | +2.8% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 1.73 | 1.76 | +1.7% | +1.4% | -2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +2.2% | -1.0% | +3.2% | -0.4% |
| 2015-01-22 | beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +1.5% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +9.4% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 1.42 | 1.47 | +3.8% | +3.2% | +6.8% | +11.5% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 1.11 | 1.13 | +2.0% | +0.0% | -9.4% | -11.5% |
| 2014-04-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.8% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.1% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -4.9% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +3.4% | +2.9% | +4.0% | +5.4% |
| 2013-07-25 | miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -1.7% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +11.1% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2013-01-24 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -1.6% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 1.05 | 1.05 | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +4.6% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.3% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.1% | +1.1% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
| 2012-01-26 | miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -11.9% | -3.9% | -3.6% | +2.6% |
Not investment advice.
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