ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +2.9% median,
53% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 89
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.79 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$84M/day volume
41% volatility
+52% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 64% of the way up · -19% from the high
$27.00$55.67
Congressional trades in ALKS Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 0 sells · $16K–$65K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.25.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+16.3%
Biggest drop
-12.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.70 | +141.3% | -4.4% | -4.2% | -5.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.04 | 0.38 | +1053.0% | +3.2% | +6.1% | +12.1% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.7% | -2.7% | -7.0% | -12.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 0.39 | 0.65 | +68.5% | +1.8% | +4.3% | +2.3% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.68 | +71.1% | +5.2% | +3.3% | +1.7% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +18.9% | -0.1% | +6.3% | +5.6% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 0.76 | 1.05 | +37.6% | +1.3% | +4.8% | +11.1% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.4% | -3.0% | -3.6% | -7.7% |
| 2024-07-24 | miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -0.8% | +7.6% | +6.0% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 0.58 | 0.43 | -26.2% | -2.8% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-15 | miss | 0.46 | 0.22 | -52.0% | +2.7% | +16.3% | +5.6% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.43 | 0.64 | +50.2% | -6.9% | -7.4% | -3.1% |
| 2023-07-26 | miss | 0.64 | 0.55 | -13.8% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -9.4% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +180.0% | -2.5% | -7.0% | -6.1% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +210.8% | +8.6% | +4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -32.8% | +2.2% | +3.5% | +1.8% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +26.7% | -0.9% | -5.3% | -13.8% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.03 | 0.12 | +380.0% | +13.0% | +11.9% | +6.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.13 | 0.23 | +72.5% | +1.8% | +14.9% | +6.2% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +46.3% | -4.2% | -9.1% | -2.8% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.30 | +142.4% | +1.3% | +6.8% | +15.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | -0.02 | 0.11 | +718.7% | -2.2% | -3.2% | -2.0% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +43.8% | -3.1% | -12.7% | -14.6% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | — | 0.26 | +12900.0% | +7.6% | +5.8% | +11.3% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | — | 0.06 | +4411.3% | -2.4% | -6.3% | -7.1% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +122.0% | +1.9% | -10.6% | -11.2% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.66 | 0.83 | +26.4% | +2.1% | -7.6% | +6.0% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | -0.21 | -0.04 | +80.6% | +4.3% | +1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | -0.12 | 0.09 | +176.9% | +10.0% | -8.7% | +0.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.6% | -7.9% | -12.8% | -17.5% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | -0.05 | 0.34 | +724.1% | +1.1% | -1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | -0.08 | 0.07 | +192.9% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +2.4% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.13 | 0.29 | +116.0% | +5.7% | +1.9% | +1.5% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +4.8% | +6.4% | +4.5% | -1.7% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +16.6% | -1.1% | +8.4% | +3.4% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +494.7% | -1.0% | +11.1% | -1.3% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +167.8% | +1.5% | -4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | -0.09 | -0.18 | -99.3% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 0.05 | 0.15 | +174.8% | +1.7% | -0.6% | -8.1% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | -0.04 | -0.09 | -154.7% | -3.4% | +0.8% | +11.8% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | -0.10 | -0.01 | +90.0% | -1.4% | -7.0% | -5.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +21.5% | -0.2% | +1.8% | -6.4% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | -0.24 | -0.15 | +38.0% | +2.8% | -0.3% | -3.4% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | -0.21 | -0.18 | +14.4% | +0.1% | +6.3% | +6.6% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +5.8% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -0.9% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.05 | 0.06 | +230.9% | +1.1% | -3.4% | -1.0% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +160.8% | -4.3% | -4.1% | -1.1% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +44.7% | -1.0% | +4.2% | +4.7% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -23.8% | -7.1% | -7.7% | -9.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +8.3% | -2.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +37.3% | +0.7% | -1.8% | -11.8% |
| 2013-10-31 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.8% | -2.6% | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.22 | 0.30 | +36.5% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +15.5% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.16 | 0.34 | +112.8% | +2.4% | +0.0% | -3.1% |
| 2012-05-17 | miss | -0.07 | -0.14 | -96.5% | +0.3% | -8.3% | -12.5% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -5.4% | +1.4% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | -0.08 | -0.22 | -185.1% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -11.6% |
| 2011-08-01 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -29.6% | -0.1% | -2.9% | -12.9% |
| 2011-05-18 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -14.2% | -4.1% | +1.0% | +0.2% |
| 2011-02-03 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +21.5% | +5.1% | +9.8% | +6.5% |
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
40.26
Tue, 13 Oct
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 29 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
45.20
Mon, 07 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 30 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $15,001–$50,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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