ALModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.9% median,
85% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 87
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.06 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$9.5B market cap (#898 US)
$71M/day volume
31% volatility
+34% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 55% of the way up · -20% from the high
$76.01$137.62
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 2.48.
1-day std dev
5.2%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+13.9%
Biggest drop
-12.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 57 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 2.61 | 2.73 | +4.5% | +1.3% | +5.4% | +7.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 2.10 | 2.57 | +22.7% | -3.1% | -1.3% | -7.2% |
| 2026-02-23 | miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -2.4% | +0.5% | +4.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 1.85 | 1.75 | -5.7% | -5.4% | +2.4% | -0.1% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 2.22 | 2.25 | +1.4% | -3.4% | -1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.98 | 2.25 | +14.0% | +6.9% | +4.1% | +5.7% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.0% | -14.4% | -12.5% | -10.4% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 1.98 | 2.28 | +14.9% | +5.5% | +7.9% | +17.1% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 2.03 | 2.22 | +9.2% | +1.5% | +4.0% | -1.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.85 | 2.10 | +13.9% | -7.7% | -7.2% | -7.7% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 1.50 | 2.04 | +36.2% | +13.7% | +13.9% | +19.3% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | 1.89 | 1.88 | -0.8% | -8.9% | -10.4% | -10.2% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 1.72 | 1.92 | +11.9% | +4.1% | +2.1% | +1.0% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.74 | 1.89 | +8.6% | +5.0% | +7.0% | +3.6% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 1.44 | 1.65 | +15.2% | +4.2% | +10.2% | +4.3% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 1.44 | 1.66 | +15.0% | +5.6% | +5.8% | +7.0% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 1.57 | 1.35 | -14.0% | -2.0% | -8.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 1.27 | 1.48 | +16.3% | +2.7% | +5.1% | +6.8% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.8% | +1.8% | +1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 1.04 | 0.95 | -8.7% | +3.9% | +5.8% | +5.4% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 1.13 | 1.10 | -3.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.99 | 1.15 | +15.4% | +0.1% | -2.7% | +3.4% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 0.74 | 0.74 | +1.1% | -3.2% | -7.6% | -8.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +0.7% | +0.5% | -4.2% | +4.8% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +10.3% | -1.3% | -2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 1.24 | 1.32 | +6.2% | +2.7% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.87 | 1.05 | +21.1% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -7.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 1.52 | 1.36 | -10.1% | -1.2% | -6.3% | -1.2% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.39 | 1.60 | +15.4% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -3.8% |
| 2019-04-23 | miss | 1.50 | 1.46 | -2.7% | +5.4% | +0.2% | -2.2% |
| 2019-02-25 | beat | 1.20 | 1.36 | +13.0% | -2.0% | +2.6% | -5.4% |
| 2018-10-29 | miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -2.7% | +3.6% | +0.6% | +5.6% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 1.30 | 1.42 | +9.8% | +4.0% | +12.4% | +13.0% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 1.14 | 1.26 | +10.0% | +6.1% | +3.1% | +8.2% |
| 2018-02-14 | miss | 0.80 | 0.34 | -58.0% | -2.8% | -4.4% | -7.6% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.6% | +7.8% | +0.4% | +3.6% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.1% | +3.8% | +0.0% | +1.3% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -2.6% | +6.2% | +3.3% | +2.3% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.51 | 0.69 | +36.0% | +5.2% | +5.8% | +7.5% |
| 2016-10-24 | miss | 0.51 | 0.36 | -30.0% | +3.5% | +2.9% | +4.8% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.64 | 0.78 | +21.3% | -5.8% | -5.7% | -7.1% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.4% | +3.5% | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| 2016-02-08 | beat | 0.57 | 0.76 | +33.4% | -12.5% | -2.4% | +0.1% |
| 2015-10-26 | beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.5% | -3.8% | -2.3% | +1.2% |
| 2015-07-27 | miss | 0.66 | 0.54 | -18.3% | +0.7% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +24.1% | -4.0% | -3.8% | -4.3% |
| 2015-02-09 | beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.9% | -4.8% | -3.5% | -1.2% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +27.2% | +7.8% | +7.2% | +10.0% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +7.4% | -3.2% | -1.2% | -8.7% |
| 2014-04-16 | beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.0% | +4.7% | +4.7% | +1.1% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | 0.49 | 0.42 | -15.0% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +2.7% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.1% | -3.8% | -4.8% | -3.7% |
| 2013-07-29 | miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -8.4% | +1.4% | -1.0% | -5.9% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +16.6% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2013-02-19 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -4.8% | -8.2% | -0.9% | -6.7% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.42 | 0.53 | +26.1% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.7% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -2.8% |
Not investment advice.
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