AMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+5.2%
Next 1 month
+8.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.4% median,
67% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 94
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.26%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.10 +8.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$11M/day volume
69% volatility
-48% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -50% from the high
$18.27$41.69
Congressional trades in AMRC Full tracker →
2 members · 6 buys / 10 sells · $72K–$380K disclosed · latest filing Aug 26, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 11 days) · EPS est. 0.57.
1-day std dev
12.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+49.0%
Biggest drop
-35.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.1% | +40.5% | +22.9% | +13.9% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -13.6% | -5.6% | -2.3% | -7.1% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.2% | +0.2% | -9.9% | -14.8% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.0% | -8.5% | -9.3% | -12.3% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.27 | +274.6% | +29.6% | +49.0% | +17.8% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -0.25 | -0.11 | +56.5% | +20.4% | +11.8% | +25.3% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.4% | -11.1% | -35.6% | -39.5% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | 0.53 | 0.32 | -39.1% | +1.1% | -16.3% | -19.4% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.10 | -61.8% | -0.9% | +7.0% | +6.0% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -56.9% | +7.0% | +21.1% | +26.1% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +17.4% | +12.4% | +2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | 0.46 | 0.40 | -13.0% | -19.0% | -14.9% | +2.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -15.9% | -3.3% | -9.5% | -11.5% |
| 2023-05-01 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -28.9% | +9.4% | +10.0% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-27 | miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -10.8% | -10.2% | -15.2% | -11.8% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 0.70 | 0.54 | -23.1% | -0.1% | -13.4% | -8.4% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 0.45 | 0.62 | +38.8% | +2.5% | +10.7% | +17.5% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +29.4% | +3.9% | +12.5% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +15.8% | +0.4% | +0.0% | +19.4% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.5% | +1.5% | +9.0% | +7.4% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +31.8% | +0.7% | -7.1% | +3.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.10 | 0.25 | +157.7% | +2.5% | +1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2021-03-01 | beat | 0.29 | 0.47 | +62.9% | +5.0% | -6.4% | -29.1% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.38 | +52.0% | +7.2% | +12.6% | +12.6% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.19 | +192.3% | +5.6% | +9.2% | +8.0% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +81.8% | +8.3% | +18.9% | +18.0% |
| 2020-03-02 | beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +18.6% | +5.2% | -2.2% | -15.3% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.18 | -30.1% | -10.6% | +1.6% | +6.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +22.0% | +11.0% | +9.4% | +8.1% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +200.0% | -1.1% | -9.5% | -8.8% |
| 2019-03-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +25.5% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -9.6% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +53.3% | +0.9% | +13.7% | +19.8% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.18 | +71.4% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.05 | 0.16 | +220.0% | +6.8% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 2018-03-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.48 | +242.9% | +15.0% | +18.6% | +32.9% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | -1.3% | -1.3% | +11.5% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +85.7% | +5.6% | +6.4% | +12.0% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -133.3% | +8.6% | +0.0% | +9.4% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +166.7% | +8.7% | +17.3% | +11.5% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +41.2% | +7.3% | +8.3% | +8.3% |
| 2016-08-09 | 0.04 | 0.04 | — | +10.6% | +6.4% | +2.8% | |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.08 | 0.02 | +125.0% | +19.6% | +12.0% | +15.5% |
| 2016-03-03 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -18.2% | +0.8% | -17.2% | -19.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -25.0% | +0.7% | -2.8% | -5.7% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +166.7% | -0.8% | -3.6% | -2.4% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.17 | -0.09 | +47.1% | +0.3% | -0.8% | +10.0% |
| 2015-03-05 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +8.0% | +5.1% | +5.6% | +9.8% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +23.1% | -3.4% | -1.2% | -4.2% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | -0.05 | 0.06 | +220.0% | +7.4% | +11.4% | +17.6% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -0.13 | -0.18 | -33.3% | -4.4% | -7.0% | -6.0% |
| 2014-03-13 | miss | 0.20 | 0.03 | -85.0% | -2.8% | -17.5% | -21.1% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.5% | -0.3% | -9.0% | -15.8% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | 0.01 | -0.04 | -900.0% | -9.3% | +0.0% | -4.3% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -300.0% | -3.0% | +1.2% | +9.7% |
| 2013-03-18 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +27.9% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -4.3% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -35.5% | -8.9% | -16.0% | -13.7% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +25.0% | -6.6% | -4.1% | -1.7% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -66.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -2.5% |
| 2012-02-29 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.0% | +0.9% | +2.4% | -5.2% |
| 2011-11-09 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.9% | -3.4% | -9.2% | -0.7% |
Posted about AMRC
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
28.17
Thu, 27 Aug
Update — this cluster has grown since we posted on 12 August 2026. From 2 insiders to 4, and from $1,176,199 to $1,734,940. 4 different insiders at…
TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
28.17
Wed, 12 Aug
2 different insiders at Ameresco, Inc. bought AMRC stock in the last 30 days — $1,176,199 between them, at prices they each paid separately. The…
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