APModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.1% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 54
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.42 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.3%
$91M/day volume
45% volatility
-15% 1-year
-36% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -22% from the high
$142.56$265.02
Congressional trades in APPF Full tracker →
5 members · 5 buys / 8 sells · $13K–$195K disclosed · latest filing Mar 9, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, after close, in 90 days) · EPS est. 1.72.
1-day std dev
9.8%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+28.3%
Biggest drop
-18.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 1.79 | 1.82 | +1.7% | -1.7% | -3.1% | — |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 1.69 | 1.71 | +1.1% | -1.7% | +0.7% | +9.9% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 1.47 | 1.61 | +9.2% | +9.6% | +11.2% | +13.7% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 1.25 | 1.39 | +10.8% | -6.1% | -8.3% | -13.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 1.45 | 1.31 | -9.8% | -7.1% | +7.9% | +6.8% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.28 | 1.39 | +8.3% | +5.8% | +19.4% | +6.0% |
| 2025-04-24 | miss | 1.22 | 1.21 | -1.2% | -11.2% | -18.2% | -9.6% |
| 2025-01-30 | miss | 0.94 | 0.92 | -2.2% | -4.8% | -7.8% | -12.1% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 1.03 | 1.29 | +24.9% | +9.8% | +10.6% | +8.6% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.96 | 1.14 | +19.1% | +4.2% | -10.9% | -18.7% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.89 | 1.05 | +18.6% | +12.6% | +12.0% | +10.4% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.88 | +29.6% | +15.3% | +28.3% | +30.6% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.59 | +39.1% | +9.3% | +6.3% | +12.0% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.13 | 0.24 | +84.6% | +1.8% | +2.0% | -0.2% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -0.05 | -0.01 | +80.0% | +5.3% | +8.4% | +6.4% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | -0.13 | -0.05 | +60.3% | -1.9% | -7.8% | +2.3% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | -0.13 | 0.11 | +185.9% | +4.6% | +15.2% | +7.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | -0.08 | 0.03 | +139.5% | -1.9% | -2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -0.01 | -0.20 | -2918.0% | -4.8% | -13.9% | -12.5% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +125.7% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 0.16 | 0.11 | -27.4% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -2.7% |
| 2021-08-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.15 | -24.7% | -3.6% | -5.5% | -7.5% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -13.2% | -6.6% | -2.4% | -1.7% |
| 2021-03-01 | miss | 0.11 | 0.01 | -94.5% | -5.3% | -16.8% | -11.1% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.26 | 3.95 | +1418.1% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +0.3% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.15 | 0.62 | +312.0% | +1.0% | +7.2% | +7.6% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -17.7% | -8.0% | +5.9% | +14.4% |
| 2020-03-02 | miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -61.2% | -4.4% | -2.8% | -13.1% |
| 2019-10-28 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -2.5% | +0.1% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2019-07-29 | miss | 0.17 | 0.10 | -41.2% | -9.0% | -5.5% | -8.5% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -18.6% | -9.3% | -3.4% | -1.5% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | 0.20 | 0.12 | -39.6% | -5.7% | -9.1% | -5.8% |
| 2018-10-29 | miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.0% | -5.7% | -9.1% | -2.6% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +30.9% | +7.9% | +16.7% | +21.2% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +38.9% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +15.7% |
| 2018-02-26 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +36.7% | -5.0% | -11.8% | -9.5% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +171.0% | +4.4% | -9.4% | -6.6% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +259.7% | +5.0% | +7.2% | +8.2% |
| 2017-05-05 | beat | -0.04 | 0.05 | +240.2% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +8.7% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +45.0% | +3.8% | -0.8% | -5.8% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -0.07 | -0.03 | +59.1% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +12.4% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +21.4% | +0.4% | +6.3% | +7.7% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +2.7% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +4.7% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +32.3% | +2.5% | -12.3% | -14.8% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +22.9% | +1.0% | -7.1% | -10.2% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | -0.43 | -0.36 | +15.5% | +4.2% | +1.8% | +9.0% |
Not investment advice.
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