ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
-1.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -8.2% median,
25% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 31
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.37 -1.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$12.8B market cap (#974 US)
$174M/day volume
38% volatility
+29% 1-year
-40% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -10% from the high
$29.10$45.75
Congressional trades in AR Full tracker →
4 members · 7 buys / 2 sells · $9K–$135K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-28 (Wednesday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.98.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+21.1%
Biggest drop
-9.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | miss | 0.85 | 0.76 | -10.5% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 1.14 | 1.15 | +0.9% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -6.8% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 0.52 | 0.43 | -17.9% | -2.8% | -3.7% | +1.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.16 | -37.3% | -4.5% | -5.0% | +3.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 0.42 | 0.35 | -16.4% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -2.2% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.0% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 0.29 | 0.57 | +100.2% | -1.6% | +2.0% | -3.1% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | -0.06 | -0.12 | -86.9% | -1.8% | -8.3% | +1.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -18.8% | +1.9% | -0.9% | -8.5% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +167.3% | +1.8% | +6.2% | +3.8% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +7.0% | +6.9% | +10.9% | +18.9% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +55.4% | -2.3% | +4.8% | +8.2% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +0.0% | +3.5% | +3.5% | +12.4% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -3.0% | -0.6% | +0.1% | -7.8% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 0.89 | 1.04 | +16.1% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -1.4% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | 1.88 | 1.63 | -13.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 1.95 | 1.68 | -13.6% | +0.3% | -3.3% | -10.4% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 1.18 | 1.15 | -2.9% | +1.5% | +7.0% | +12.5% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | 0.64 | 0.46 | -28.5% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +12.0% |
| 2021-10-27 | miss | 0.33 | 0.19 | -42.9% | -1.4% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | 0.28 | 0.13 | -54.0% | -3.5% | -1.4% | -4.1% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +18.6% | +2.5% | -9.0% | +3.0% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.04 | -0.03 | -168.0% | -4.9% | -8.4% | -5.4% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | -0.07 | 0.05 | +172.3% | -0.9% | +3.2% | -4.6% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | -0.15 | -0.37 | -140.3% | -7.8% | -2.6% | +21.1% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.02 | -0.13 | -652.5% | +15.4% | +21.1% | +19.1% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | -0.09 | -0.02 | +77.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | -0.30 | -0.49 | -62.5% | +12.7% | -4.9% | -2.8% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | -0.13 | -0.21 | -64.4% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -18.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.1% | +2.4% | +1.3% | +12.2% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | 0.37 | 0.46 | +25.4% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +6.3% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.5% | -0.1% | +3.7% | +3.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.16 | 0.02 | -87.5% | -3.7% | -5.2% | -6.5% |
| 2018-04-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +17.8% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -4.3% |
| 2018-02-13 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +22.3% | -1.7% | +5.0% | +6.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -190.9% | -5.4% | -4.0% | +0.5% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.04 | -0.04 | -214.1% | -4.2% | -4.3% | -6.6% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.10 | 0.18 | +72.7% | +2.3% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +11.8% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +50.3% | +1.1% | +4.3% | -3.4% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +33.1% | +1.0% | +4.5% | +3.6% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -12.4% | -6.9% | -5.7% | -13.1% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +45.9% | +1.5% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +13.1% | +13.9% | +8.0% | +18.2% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +29.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | -6.7% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +25.4% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +10.8% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -9.5% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.3% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2014-08-06 | miss | 0.38 | 0.29 | -23.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -3.2% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -2.9% | -1.7% | -5.5% | -6.6% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +10.5% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +4.1% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -2.9% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -2.3% |
Posted about AR
See all ›
TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Thu, 08 Oct
ARK bought 347,777 shares of GENI for ARKF. The trade: 0.24% of that fund, on 8 October 2026 — roughly $2.3m at that day’s close. The entry: GENI's…
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google