ARCC

Ares Capital Corporation $18.53 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.1% median, 71% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 36
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.63 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$11.7B market cap (#732 US) $87M/day volume 19% volatility -9% 1-year -22% from ATH
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -12% from the high
$17.40$21.14

Congressional trades in ARCC Full tracker →

11 members · 24 buys / 15 sells · $365K–$1.1M disclosed · latest filing Jul 24, 2026.

SELL PS Pete Sessions · traded Jul 24, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY PW Peter Welch other · traded Oct 31, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY PW Peter Welch other · traded Jun 5, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL PS Pete Sessions · traded Nov 1, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Oct 6, 2023 $569
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Aug 15, 2023 $155
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Jul 14, 2023 $240
SELL ZL Zoe Lofgren · traded May 25, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Jan 18, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY ZL Zoe Lofgren · traded Sep 2, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Jul 9, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY TC Thomas R Carper · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY PS Pete Sessions · traded Apr 20, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Jul 9, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY TC Thomas R Carper · traded Apr 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL ZL Zoe Lofgren · traded Mar 23, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL MB Mo Brooks sT · traded Jan 15, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Aug 28, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Aug 29, 2019 $56
SELL AL Alan S. Lowenthal · traded Aug 27, 2019 $539
BUY GG Greg Gianforte · traded Dec 27, 2018 $50K–$100K
SELL TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Apr 30, 2018 $15K–$50K
BUY GP Gary C Peters · traded Nov 13, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Aug 31, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY ZL Zoe Lofgren · traded Jun 15, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY GP Gary C Peters · traded Jun 27, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded May 8, 2017 $50K–$100K
SELL TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded May 15, 2017 $15K–$50K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Dec 12, 2016 $50K–$100K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Dec 12, 2016 $15K–$50K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Dec 21, 2016 $15K–$50K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Dec 13, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Jun 1, 2016 $50K–$100K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Nov 25, 2016 $15K–$50K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Oct 13, 2016 $50K–$100K
BUY TR Thomas J. Rooney · traded Aug 11, 2016 $15K–$50K
BUY DD Debbie Dingell · traded Jun 9, 2016 $1K–$15K
SELL SC Susan M Collins · traded May 7, 2014 $1K–$15K
BUY SC Susan M Collins · traded Jun 13, 2013 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-03 (Wednesday, before open, in 97 days) · EPS est. 0.48.

1-day std dev
2.2%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+5.5%
Biggest drop
-8.8%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-27 miss 0.48 0.46 -3.3% +0.2% -0.5% —
2026-07-29 miss 0.47 0.47 -0.6% +0.3% -1.7% +1.5%
2026-04-28 miss 0.48 0.47 -2.5% -0.3% +1.7% +4.0%
2026-02-04 beat 0.50 0.50 +0.4% +1.9% +2.2% +4.1%
2025-10-28 miss 0.50 0.50 -0.7% +0.9% +1.2% -0.2%
2025-07-29 miss 0.51 0.50 -1.1% -0.1% -0.7% -1.0%
2025-04-29 miss 0.54 0.50 -6.7% -1.6% -2.7% -2.7%
2025-02-05 miss 0.58 0.55 -5.0% -1.3% -3.0% -3.8%
2024-10-30 miss 0.59 0.58 -2.5% +0.3% -1.1% -0.8%
2024-07-30 beat 0.58 0.61 +5.0% +0.5% +1.9% -2.6%
2024-05-01 miss 0.60 0.59 -1.1% -0.3% +1.2% +0.8%
2024-02-07 beat 0.60 0.63 +5.3% +0.7% +1.3% +1.5%
2023-10-24 beat 0.58 0.59 +1.1% +1.5% +1.0% +0.8%
2023-07-25 beat 0.57 0.59 +4.0% +0.4% -1.1% -0.5%
2023-04-25 miss 0.59 0.57 -2.9% -1.0% -1.8% -2.3%
2023-02-07 beat 0.56 0.63 +12.1% +1.1% +2.2% +0.1%
2022-10-25 beat 0.49 0.50 +1.5% +1.5% +4.8% +7.7%
2022-07-26 beat 0.44 0.46 +4.4% +0.9% +1.7% +2.4%
2022-04-26 miss 0.47 0.42 -9.8% -1.2% -8.8% -5.4%
2022-02-09 beat 0.56 0.58 +4.3% +1.0% -1.2% -3.5%
2021-10-26 beat 0.45 0.47 +5.4% +0.9% +0.4% -0.5%
2021-07-28 beat 0.42 0.53 +24.7% +0.2% +1.3% -1.2%
2021-04-28 beat 0.42 0.43 +1.6% -0.6% -1.2% -2.6%
2021-02-10 beat 0.40 0.55 +36.0% +1.3% +2.7% +0.1%
2020-10-27 beat 0.38 0.39 +2.0% +1.3% +1.5% +2.1%
2020-08-04 beat 0.38 0.39 +1.7% +0.0% +0.8% +3.3%
2020-05-05 beat 0.43 0.54 +25.2% +6.2% +2.3% +9.4%
2020-02-12 miss 0.45 0.44 -2.6% +0.0% -1.1% -0.9%
2019-10-30 beat 0.46 0.50 +8.6% +0.5% +0.0% +0.7%
2019-07-30 beat 0.44 0.49 +11.9% +0.3% +2.6% +0.9%
2019-04-30 beat 0.42 0.48 +12.3% +0.7% +1.9% +0.2%
2019-02-12 beat 0.41 0.48 +17.4% +2.3% +2.8% +3.7%
2018-10-31 beat 0.39 0.44 +12.4% +2.7% +5.5% +7.6%
2018-08-01 miss 0.39 0.38 -1.9% +0.6% +2.1% +3.0%
2018-05-02 miss 0.38 0.34 -10.1% -0.1% +0.4% +2.6%
2018-02-13 beat 0.37 0.38 +2.0% +0.2% +2.1% +2.2%
2017-11-02 beat 0.35 0.36 +1.4% +0.1% -1.2% +0.9%
2017-08-02 miss 0.36 0.34 -6.1% -0.2% +0.2% -0.4%
2017-05-03 miss 0.38 0.32 -14.8% -1.5% -4.2% -6.4%
2017-02-22 beat 0.39 0.44 +14.1% +0.1% +0.3% +0.6%
2016-11-02 beat 0.38 0.44 +14.9% -0.3% +0.5% +1.6%
2016-08-03 miss 0.38 0.34 -11.1% -0.1% +1.8% +1.9%
2016-05-04 miss 0.39 0.36 -7.0% -0.5% +1.2% +1.1%
2016-02-24 beat 0.39 0.47 +21.2% -0.5% +0.0% +9.0%
2015-11-04 beat 0.38 0.42 +11.5% +1.1% +0.3% +0.9%
2015-08-04 miss 0.38 0.35 -7.1% +1.1% -0.2% +0.1%
2015-05-04 miss 0.40 0.39 -2.0% -0.9% -1.9% -2.9%
2015-02-26 beat 0.39 0.41 +4.0% +0.9% +1.4% +3.3%
2014-11-04 beat 0.38 0.40 +4.8% +0.5% +0.0% +2.6%
2014-08-05 miss 0.38 0.34 -9.7% -1.6% -2.3% -0.5%
2014-05-06 miss 0.39 0.38 -2.5% -0.6% -2.8% -4.9%
2014-02-26 miss 0.41 0.39 -5.0% +0.4% -1.3% -2.0%
2013-11-05 beat 0.39 0.48 +21.9% +1.4% +1.5% +2.4%
2013-08-06 miss 0.39 0.38 -3.4% +0.1% -0.8% -4.0%
2013-05-07 miss 0.39 0.38 -3.6% +0.1% -0.8% -0.4%
2013-02-27 miss 0.41 0.38 -6.7% +0.3% +1.7% +2.1%
2012-11-05 beat 0.41 0.42 +2.0% +1.8% +0.2% -2.9%
2012-08-07 beat 0.39 0.40 +3.2% +0.5% +0.5% +3.2%
2012-05-08 miss 0.39 0.38 -2.0% -1.0% -1.3% -2.7%
2012-02-28 beat 0.39 0.45 +15.2% +1.5% +1.3% +0.7%

Not investment advice.