ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.6% median,
81% of the last 16 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.45 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$28M/day volume
39% volatility
-36% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -43% from the high
$6.11$11.24
Congressional trades in ARI Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Apr 27, 2020.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.05.
1-day std dev
4.1%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+18.0%
Biggest drop
-10.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | miss | -0.58 | -2.62 | -353.4% | +1.5% | +1.1% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 0.29 | 0.22 | -24.1% | -3.3% | -2.9% | -1.0% |
| 2026-02-10 | beat | 0.24 | 0.32 | +32.5% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -7.6% | +1.1% | -2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +1.2% | -1.3% | +0.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.8% | +3.9% | +1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | 0.23 | -0.58 | -357.8% | +4.1% | +9.9% | +10.5% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.9% | -1.1% | -0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.4% | -2.3% | -1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.9% | -3.6% | -9.8% | -6.4% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.3% | +0.5% | -4.9% | -2.7% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.7% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +10.4% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 0.39 | -0.11 | -128.2% | -5.9% | -10.8% | -8.6% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +16.7% | +1.5% | +6.8% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-09 | miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -10.2% | -0.7% | -6.9% | -0.9% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +9.4% | +10.0% | +18.0% | +18.3% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.2% | +1.7% | +5.5% | +6.8% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +7.7% | -1.0% | -4.1% | -6.2% |
| 2022-02-08 | miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.0% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2021-10-25 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -3.0% | -0.4% | -3.4% | -3.0% |
| 2021-07-26 | miss | 0.36 | 0.27 | -26.0% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -1.9% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.9% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +2.7% |
| 2021-02-10 | miss | 0.32 | 0.16 | -49.7% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +4.0% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +20.8% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +5.1% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | 0.29 | -0.07 | -124.0% | +1.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.0% | +1.8% | -2.3% | -12.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +1.0% | -2.6% | -1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.7% | +0.3% | -2.7% | -3.5% |
| 2019-07-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.8% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2019-04-24 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +7.9% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2019-02-13 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.4% | -1.9% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| 2018-10-24 | miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -4.2% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +0.6% |
| 2018-07-25 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.4% | -0.3% | -0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.8% | -0.1% | +1.2% | +1.8% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 0.21 | 0.49 | +129.0% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.7% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2017-08-01 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 0.47 | 0.41 | -12.5% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -3.4% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +10.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +7.7% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.0% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -2.4% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | +6.1% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +8.5% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +1.0% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2015-04-28 | miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-25 | miss | 0.45 | 0.45 | -0.1% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +0.9% |
| 2014-10-28 | miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -2.7% | -0.4% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +13.2% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +1.1% |
| 2014-04-29 | miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -10.7% | -0.7% | +0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2014-02-26 | miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -2.0% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.4% | +0.1% | -2.5% | -2.9% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +14.8% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2013-02-27 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.3% | +0.6% | -1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.3% | -0.4% | -2.8% | -6.6% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.5% | +0.5% | +0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -1.3% | +0.3% | -1.2% | +2.6% |
| 2012-02-28 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -4.6% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +1.3% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | 0.39 | 0.36 | -7.4% | -6.5% | -1.8% | +0.2% |
Not investment advice.
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