ARModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.4% median,
50% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.52 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$50M/day volume
32% volatility
+25% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 48% of the way up · -24% from the high
$22.88$42.23
Congressional trades in AROC Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Jan 20, 2023.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 0.47.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+20.7%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.49 | 0.38 | -22.8% | -6.3% | -5.1% | -6.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.48 | 0.42 | -13.3% | -7.7% | -1.8% | -7.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 0.41 | 0.69 | +69.3% | +3.8% | +3.9% | +9.9% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.8% | +1.6% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +5.2% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +7.4% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +6.5% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.3% | +3.1% | +2.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-11 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.2% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.3% | -2.4% | -3.6% | -14.2% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +22.2% | +6.3% | +1.6% | +5.1% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.4% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.9% | +0.6% | +4.6% | +3.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +20.7% | -1.1% | +9.5% | +10.7% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.8% | -3.1% | -4.6% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.7% | +1.2% | +6.1% | +20.4% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.10 | +150.0% | +0.4% | +7.5% | +15.6% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -8.3% | +1.9% | -3.9% | -9.9% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -83.3% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +11.8% |
| 2021-11-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | +0.1% | -1.8% | -7.0% | |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -60.0% | -2.3% | -3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-22 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +38.0% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +1.3% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +122.8% | +2.1% | +4.8% | +17.9% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +36.4% | -5.1% | -4.9% | +3.7% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.16 | +45.7% | +8.0% | -0.7% | +8.2% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.9% | +2.3% | +3.6% | -19.6% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +18.6% | +2.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +54.7% | -3.5% | +5.0% | -10.7% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +25.1% | -0.2% | -4.9% | -9.3% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +27.0% | +6.3% | +6.6% | -2.5% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +77.4% | +3.0% | +2.9% | +4.3% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +107.7% | -1.1% | +1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +160.0% | +0.9% | -5.6% | +7.4% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | -0.07 | — | +100.0% | +7.3% | +2.8% | +10.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -243.8% | -3.8% | -6.7% | -9.2% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | -0.15 | -0.03 | +79.5% | +5.0% | -2.3% | -8.7% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -98.9% | -1.7% | -8.1% | -4.7% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -20.0% | -3.8% | -12.3% | -14.8% |
| 2017-02-09 | beat | 0.01 | 0.07 | +452.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | -0.09 | 0.08 | +186.5% | +17.0% | -8.1% | +36.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.07 | -0.45 | -713.7% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -48.0% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.22 | +52.5% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +2.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +58.8% | -0.5% | -4.0% | -9.9% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -14.0% | -0.7% | +4.7% | +0.6% |
| 2014-11-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -11.6% | -4.9% | -10.3% | -11.4% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.17 | -0.07 | -140.9% | -0.6% | +4.4% | +1.2% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +58.4% | +1.9% | +5.2% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-25 | beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +17.5% | +2.5% | +4.8% | +12.8% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.21 | 0.34 | +61.6% | -0.4% | +6.3% | +11.0% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.09 | 0.31 | +235.0% | +0.0% | -7.6% | -11.8% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.21 | +520.8% | +1.3% | +3.7% | +10.7% |
| 2013-02-26 | beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +581.8% | +0.9% | +6.6% | +11.8% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | -0.10 | 0.02 | +120.7% | +1.3% | +6.6% | +0.2% |
| 2012-08-02 | miss | -0.38 | -0.48 | -25.6% | -1.9% | +2.4% | +25.7% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | -0.52 | -0.43 | +17.4% | +4.4% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | -0.43 | -0.14 | +67.6% | +11.5% | +19.2% | +19.2% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | -0.41 | -0.48 | -15.9% | +1.0% | +20.7% | +24.6% |
| 2011-08-04 | miss | -0.40 | -0.42 | -4.6% | -1.8% | -20.0% | -36.5% |
| 2011-05-05 | beat | -0.55 | -0.45 | +17.8% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2011-02-24 | miss | -0.34 | -0.51 | -48.6% | -3.1% | -4.0% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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