ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.2%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.6% median,
64% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.83 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$35M/day volume
38% volatility
+49% 1-year
-35% from ATH
52-week range · 88% of the way up · -5% from the high
$47.12$78.25
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.27.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+15.9%
Biggest drop
-13.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.6% | +7.3% | +7.1% | +5.4% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 0.94 | 0.91 | -3.0% | -3.9% | -13.8% | -4.2% |
| 2026-02-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +5.2% | -3.2% | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 1.26 | 1.08 | -14.6% | +0.4% | +6.1% | +4.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | 1.21 | 1.04 | -13.7% | +0.6% | +5.6% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 1.10 | 0.99 | -10.3% | -9.5% | -9.9% | -8.1% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +53.2% | -1.8% | -9.8% | -9.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 1.28 | 1.26 | -1.8% | -8.4% | -7.6% | -10.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 1.45 | 1.49 | +2.5% | -8.4% | -9.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.13 | 1.27 | +12.1% | +2.0% | -0.9% | +2.3% |
| 2024-01-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.45 | +234.2% | +11.1% | +15.9% | +12.3% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 0.73 | 0.41 | -43.9% | -1.4% | -4.8% | -0.1% |
| 2023-07-25 | miss | 1.31 | 1.23 | -6.4% | +0.8% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 1.54 | 1.43 | -7.4% | -8.8% | -9.7% | -11.7% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +2.7% | -1.9% | -0.8% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.4% | +3.4% | +5.3% | +9.2% |
| 2022-07-26 | beat | 1.74 | 1.89 | +8.8% | +0.5% | -2.5% | -4.0% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.0% | +1.4% | +4.8% | +6.0% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +1.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | miss | 1.31 | 1.22 | -6.8% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +7.6% |
| 2021-07-27 | miss | 1.29 | 1.22 | -5.2% | +3.0% | -2.2% | -3.7% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | 1.26 | 1.05 | -16.6% | -4.7% | -8.2% | -6.9% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.59 | 0.94 | +59.1% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | 0.75 | 0.99 | +32.3% | -0.6% | -4.1% | -2.6% |
| 2020-07-28 | miss | 0.89 | 0.84 | -6.1% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.84 | 0.84 | -0.1% | -5.4% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 2020-01-27 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +12.1% | +2.6% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| 2019-11-18 | miss | 0.96 | 0.77 | -20.0% | -3.4% | -3.6% | -8.7% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.77 | 0.77 | +0.4% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -5.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | 0.84 | 0.83 | -1.2% | -2.3% | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| 2019-02-05 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +21.5% | -1.7% | +1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.97 | 0.97 | +0.5% | +1.8% | +7.9% | +3.9% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 1.03 | 1.13 | +10.1% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | 0.86 | 1.06 | +22.6% | +3.1% | +7.7% | +12.1% |
| 2018-01-29 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.9% | -4.5% | +0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +15.4% | +1.2% | -3.3% | -2.5% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.72 | 0.83 | +15.0% | +1.7% | -2.2% | -5.3% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 1.62 | 1.71 | +5.9% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.95 | 1.16 | +22.2% | +1.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% |
| 2016-11-08 | miss | 1.68 | 1.52 | -9.7% | -2.2% | -5.3% | -5.1% |
| 2016-07-26 | miss | 2.03 | 1.95 | -4.0% | +0.7% | -6.7% | -6.5% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 1.74 | 1.83 | +5.1% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -4.0% |
| 2016-01-25 | beat | 1.39 | 1.41 | +1.1% | -3.7% | +0.1% | -3.6% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 1.50 | 1.62 | +7.9% | -4.1% | +2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 1.76 | 1.91 | +8.7% | -0.6% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 1.73 | 2.03 | +17.4% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2015-01-26 | beat | 1.42 | 1.46 | +2.7% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 1.37 | 1.42 | +4.0% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.8% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | 1.61 | 1.63 | +1.0% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 1.56 | 1.53 | -1.7% | +2.0% | +4.3% | +7.7% |
| 2014-01-27 | beat | 1.31 | 1.42 | +8.1% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -6.1% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 1.53 | 1.54 | +0.7% | -1.8% | -6.6% | -4.7% |
| 2013-07-25 | miss | 1.85 | 1.66 | -10.1% | +0.9% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 1.55 | 1.78 | +15.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -2.7% |
| 2013-01-29 | miss | 1.37 | 1.12 | -18.5% | -7.9% | -6.0% | -7.7% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 1.75 | 1.87 | +6.7% | +0.6% | +3.5% | +5.1% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 1.80 | 2.04 | +13.3% | +2.2% | +1.3% | +3.8% |
| 2012-04-24 | beat | 1.38 | 1.52 | +9.9% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2012-01-24 | beat | 0.99 | 1.20 | +20.8% | +2.4% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +8.4% | -7.0% | -9.3% | +0.0% |
Posted about ASH
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TRACKER - Cathie Wood
long
—
Fri, 02 Oct
ARK bought 16,152 shares of ABNB for ARKF. The trade: 0.30% of that fund, on 2 October 2026 — roughly $2.6m at that day’s close. The entry: ABNB's…
Not investment advice.
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