ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -3.4% median,
40% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 13
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.33 +3.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$4M/day volume
59% volatility
-35% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -51% from the high
$19.25$39.71
Congressional trades in ASMB Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Feb 17, 2021.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
10.2%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+11.3%
Biggest drop
-69.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 58 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.52 | -0.20 | +61.9% | +0.4% | +10.0% | +14.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.64 | -0.54 | +15.2% | -1.3% | -3.8% | -7.4% |
| 2026-03-19 | beat | -0.85 | 2.48 | +392.9% | +9.5% | +3.5% | +0.7% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -0.65 | -0.72 | -10.2% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +11.9% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -1.73 | -1.33 | +23.1% | -1.5% | +9.2% | +28.5% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -1.60 | -1.17 | +26.9% | +2.9% | +5.0% | +15.1% |
| 2025-03-20 | beat | -1.75 | -1.57 | +10.3% | +2.9% | +3.0% | -0.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -1.85 | -1.51 | +18.4% | -2.1% | -4.1% | -7.8% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -2.23 | -1.98 | +11.2% | -6.7% | -2.8% | +6.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -3.23 | -1.66 | +48.6% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +14.6% |
| 2024-03-28 | beat | -3.18 | -1.74 | +45.3% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +8.3% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -2.76 | -3.24 | -17.4% | +1.2% | -11.8% | -17.6% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -3.18 | -3.84 | -20.8% | -1.9% | +0.9% | -13.2% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -4.68 | -4.44 | +5.1% | -3.8% | -1.0% | +1.0% |
| 2023-03-22 | beat | -5.76 | -5.52 | +4.2% | +2.6% | -8.5% | -31.6% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -6.48 | -5.76 | +11.1% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -3.6% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -5.76 | -6.12 | -6.2% | +3.2% | +0.5% | -3.7% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -4.88 | -5.76 | -18.0% | -2.8% | +6.2% | +13.8% |
| 2022-03-11 | beat | -6.39 | -4.88 | +23.6% | +0.0% | -3.3% | +33.1% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -7.14 | -4.92 | +31.1% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -8.5% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -8.25 | -6.60 | +20.0% | +1.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -9.60 | -8.28 | +13.8% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -10.50 | -13.32 | -26.9% | -5.8% | -8.1% | -19.0% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -9.12 | -1.08 | +88.2% | -60.4% | -69.4% | -64.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 3.54 | 2.28 | -35.6% | +4.4% | -0.3% | -6.7% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | -11.04 | -9.12 | +17.4% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +10.3% |
| 2020-03-04 | beat | -12.28 | -11.88 | +3.3% | -2.1% | +6.0% | -33.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -11.00 | -11.52 | -4.7% | -1.8% | +5.3% | -19.9% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | -13.68 | -8.64 | +36.8% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +7.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -12.24 | -12.60 | -2.9% | -0.8% | +3.7% | -6.2% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | -9.90 | -12.36 | -24.9% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -15.1% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | -11.82 | -10.44 | +11.7% | +0.5% | +11.3% | +6.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -10.86 | -15.60 | -43.6% | -3.1% | -7.1% | -13.8% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | -9.84 | -9.60 | +2.4% | -1.2% | -7.3% | -4.6% |
| 2018-03-08 | beat | -10.56 | -7.15 | +32.2% | +0.8% | +1.5% | +10.0% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | -10.56 | -8.52 | +19.3% | -4.7% | +4.5% | +23.0% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | -9.48 | -9.36 | +1.3% | -0.3% | -1.1% | +5.4% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | -7.08 | -4.32 | +39.0% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +7.9% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | -0.36 | -9.72 | -2600.0% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -6.2% |
| 2017-05-07 | beat | -7.68 | -4.68 | +39.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2017-03-02 | -8.04 | -8.04 | — | +0.5% | -3.7% | +6.6% | |
| 2016-11-09 | -8.04 | -8.04 | — | +1.6% | -0.7% | +0.1% | |
| 2015-03-12 | miss | -7.44 | -7.80 | -4.8% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -3.7% |
| 2014-11-17 | miss | -5.82 | -15.96 | -174.2% | -1.2% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
| 2014-08-14 | beat | -9.00 | -6.24 | +30.7% | -1.1% | -1.3% | -8.0% |
| 2014-05-14 | miss | -8.40 | -10.80 | -28.6% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -15.9% |
| 2014-03-31 | miss | -15.30 | -17.40 | -13.7% | -1.6% | -6.3% | -4.7% |
| 2013-11-12 | beat | -15.60 | -15.00 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +3.5% | -2.1% |
| 2013-08-09 | miss | -12.75 | -14.40 | -12.9% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +0.8% |
| 2013-05-10 | -13.20 | -13.20 | — | -1.5% | -0.7% | -3.0% | |
| 2013-03-18 | beat | -18.48 | -16.80 | +9.1% | -1.5% | -2.7% | -6.1% |
| 2012-11-13 | miss | -20.60 | -24.60 | -19.4% | +0.0% | -7.2% | +8.6% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | -34.71 | -35.40 | -2.0% | -1.1% | +4.3% | +1.9% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | -31.56 | -39.60 | -25.5% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +7.2% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | -64.05 | -106.80 | -66.7% | -1.0% | -2.5% | -5.9% |
| 2011-11-14 | -30.00 | -30.00 | — | -0.7% | -0.4% | -3.4% | |
| 2011-08-15 | miss | -28.80 | -58.20 | -102.1% | -0.3% | -3.3% | -10.4% |
| 2011-05-16 | miss | -21.60 | -22.80 | -5.6% | -2.5% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
Not investment advice.
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