ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.8% median,
80% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.28 +0.7% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.5%
$167M/day volume
39% volatility
+23% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -12% from the high
$188.07$282.15
Congressional trades in ASND Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Nov 7, 2018.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+21.1%
Biggest drop
-11.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | 0.77 | 0.90 | +17.4% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.08 | 0.27 | +429.3% | -5.3% | +4.3% | +4.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.43 | — | — | +0.0% | -3.7% | +4.0% | |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | -0.24 | -0.55 | -124.5% | -4.7% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.12 | -1.00 | -740.0% | -3.5% | +3.6% | +5.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -1.26 | -0.64 | +49.3% | +3.8% | +0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | -1.51 | -1.58 | -5.0% | +0.3% | +2.7% | -9.7% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | -1.17 | -0.64 | +45.4% | +10.0% | +13.0% | +20.8% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | -1.46 | -1.72 | -18.1% | -4.3% | +1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2024-09-03 | miss | -1.34 | -1.91 | -42.9% | -13.1% | -11.3% | -16.1% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -1.42 | -2.30 | -61.9% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -5.4% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | -1.76 | -1.54 | +12.7% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +5.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | -2.25 | -2.88 | -28.1% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -3.3% |
| 2023-09-05 | beat | -2.60 | -2.16 | +16.8% | +3.7% | +4.2% | +0.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -2.62 | -1.98 | +24.3% | -0.6% | -9.1% | +22.7% |
| 2023-02-16 | miss | -2.55 | -3.70 | -45.3% | -0.1% | +4.8% | +0.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -2.53 | -3.03 | -19.6% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +13.5% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | -2.25 | -1.46 | +35.1% | +4.3% | +10.2% | -0.6% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | -1.99 | -2.21 | -11.1% | -16.8% | +2.5% | +16.7% |
| 2022-03-02 | beat | -2.33 | -1.87 | +19.8% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -2.29 | -1.47 | +35.8% | -1.4% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2021-08-25 | miss | -2.23 | -2.50 | -12.2% | +21.8% | +21.1% | +43.1% |
| 2021-05-27 | beat | -1.90 | -1.17 | +38.4% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -3.6% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -1.55 | -2.64 | -69.9% | +1.7% | +4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2020-11-11 | miss | -1.59 | -2.31 | -45.6% | +3.2% | +4.1% | -5.5% |
| 2020-08-27 | miss | -1.41 | -1.97 | -39.4% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2020-05-19 | miss | -1.30 | -1.32 | -1.6% | -2.2% | +2.1% | +2.5% |
| 2020-04-01 | miss | -1.20 | -1.67 | -39.2% | -3.0% | -1.9% | +7.4% |
| 2019-11-18 | beat | -1.16 | -0.53 | +54.4% | +3.3% | +6.1% | +10.2% |
| 2019-08-28 | miss | -1.20 | -1.25 | -4.4% | +3.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-30 | miss | -1.02 | -1.24 | -21.2% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| 2019-04-03 | beat | -1.01 | -0.76 | +24.6% | -2.7% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2018-11-28 | beat | -1.02 | -0.81 | +20.8% | +2.5% | +9.1% | +5.9% |
| 2018-08-29 | beat | -0.86 | -0.55 | +36.0% | -0.8% | -7.1% | -14.4% |
| 2018-05-30 | miss | -0.74 | -1.07 | -45.1% | -1.7% | -1.7% | -7.8% |
| 2018-03-28 | miss | -0.80 | -0.92 | -14.3% | +0.4% | +3.1% | -7.7% |
| 2017-11-16 | miss | -0.73 | -1.04 | -42.1% | -4.7% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2017-08-18 | miss | -0.74 | -0.94 | -27.1% | -1.6% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-23 | miss | -0.70 | -0.78 | -11.7% | -3.4% | -0.2% | -6.2% |
| 2017-03-22 | beat | -0.67 | -0.51 | +23.6% | +1.0% | +0.0% | -7.2% |
| 2016-11-30 | miss | -0.60 | -0.72 | -19.9% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +0.4% |
| 2016-08-31 | beat | -0.58 | -0.53 | +8.4% | +1.4% | +6.5% | +6.9% |
| 2016-04-14 | miss | -0.28 | -0.52 | -87.0% | -1.1% | -4.6% | -4.7% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | -0.53 | -0.30 | +43.5% | -1.9% | -6.7% | -9.6% |
| 2015-08-24 | miss | -0.38 | -0.63 | -66.7% | +2.1% | +9.1% | +7.5% |
| 2015-05-18 | beat | -0.24 | 0.06 | +124.8% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -8.3% |
| 2015-03-25 | miss | -0.15 | -0.64 | -338.4% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
Not investment advice.
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