ASModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.7%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+5.2%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -5.7% median,
45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 71
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.06 +5.4% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.2%
$5M/day volume
98% volatility
-32% 1-year
52-week range · 51% of the way up · -36% from the high
$2.30$8.56
Congressional trades in ASPN Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Nov 29, 2017.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. -0.07.
1-day std dev
16.4%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+56.7%
Biggest drop
-44.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -7.7% | +45.7% | +37.5% | +21.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -8.7% | +13.3% | +24.3% | +41.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | -0.22 | -0.34 | -53.9% | -27.5% | -27.8% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | — | -0.06 | -1479.0% | -31.6% | -44.5% | -56.5% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +59.8% | +8.4% | -8.1% | -14.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +14.3% | -24.7% | -24.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +65.5% | -22.4% | -23.4% | -31.6% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.08 | 0.19 | +324.0% | +11.4% | -0.5% | -10.4% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.21 | +270.6% | +31.9% | +16.0% | +31.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | -0.09 | 0.01 | +113.0% | +30.0% | +56.7% | +75.5% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | -0.12 | -0.01 | +91.7% | +6.5% | +15.6% | +35.1% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | -0.27 | -0.19 | +29.6% | +5.4% | +11.3% | +14.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.36 | -0.22 | +39.1% | +8.3% | +0.5% | -8.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.39 | -0.24 | +38.5% | +9.1% | +18.4% | +18.9% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | -0.29 | -0.20 | +31.3% | +0.7% | +11.1% | -4.8% |
| 2022-10-26 | miss | -0.55 | -0.75 | -35.5% | -0.5% | +3.7% | +17.3% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | -0.56 | -0.68 | -20.6% | -2.7% | +8.3% | +28.5% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | -0.47 | -0.59 | -25.5% | +0.7% | -3.4% | -5.2% |
| 2022-02-17 | miss | -0.29 | -0.50 | -73.1% | +6.1% | +10.0% | +14.2% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +5.9% | +9.7% | +17.8% | +20.3% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +15.8% | +3.8% | -2.3% | -5.0% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -8.6% | -3.3% | -9.6% | -4.5% |
| 2021-02-18 | miss | -0.15 | -0.23 | -57.5% | -9.0% | -2.2% | -8.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | -0.16 | -0.25 | -53.1% | +9.8% | +0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -2.4% | +1.2% | -4.1% | -2.3% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | -0.22 | -0.13 | +39.8% | -2.3% | +8.4% | +19.5% |
| 2020-02-20 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | -1.4% | -7.6% | -25.1% | |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +7.7% | +2.6% | +14.9% | +13.6% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -27.5% | +2.3% | +1.5% | +6.5% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | -0.24 | -0.25 | -4.2% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | -0.08 | -0.15 | -91.5% | -11.1% | +0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | -0.23 | -0.27 | -15.7% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +5.8% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.23 | -0.29 | -26.1% | -12.5% | -6.8% | -1.8% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | -0.26 | -0.29 | -10.1% | -6.5% | +2.2% | +11.7% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +21.6% | -1.4% | +4.1% | +4.8% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +11.7% | -2.9% | +7.6% | +9.4% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | -0.23 | -0.23 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +5.0% | +3.0% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -0.29 | -0.39 | -34.6% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | -0.14 | -0.25 | -78.1% | -5.6% | -2.4% | -1.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.10 | -0.13 | -33.1% | -10.0% | -31.4% | -33.1% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -26.6% | -5.1% | -6.3% | -4.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -89.2% | -2.2% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +50.0% | +14.1% | +6.0% | +7.9% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -68.7% | -9.6% | -21.3% | -27.6% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -5.1% | +0.7% | +4.0% | +7.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +19.7% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +9.9% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +7.7% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +33.3% | +1.1% | -7.5% | -18.2% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +20.8% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +16.5% |
Not investment advice.
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