ATModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+4.5%
Next 1 month
+9.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +1.4% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.35%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.79 +9.7% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.1%
$2M/day volume
139% volatility
-7% 1-year
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -76% from the high
$1.89$12.36
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.12.
1-day std dev
19.6%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+64.0%
Biggest drop
-38.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 33 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +5.0% | -9.1% | -7.3% | -2.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +4.3% | -31.4% | -13.5% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-12 | -0.14 | -0.14 | — | +16.3% | +64.0% | +150.4% | |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -21.4% | -4.6% | -2.5% | -13.2% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -21.4% | -20.0% | -22.9% | -22.7% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -21.4% | +6.5% | +18.5% | +50.5% |
| 2025-02-11 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -14.3% | -41.8% | -38.5% | -26.0% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | -0.15 | -0.17 | -13.3% | +5.1% | +28.2% | +37.5% |
| 2024-07-30 | miss | -0.15 | -0.16 | -6.7% | +7.1% | +13.2% | -9.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | -0.15 | -0.19 | -26.7% | -6.7% | -17.1% | -16.2% |
| 2024-02-13 | miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -63.6% | +3.0% | -13.4% | -23.6% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -25.0% | -1.1% | -4.0% | -15.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | -0.16 | -0.21 | -31.2% | -3.3% | -11.5% | -13.2% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | -0.17 | -0.21 | -23.5% | +30.3% | +32.8% | +76.1% |
| 2023-02-15 | miss | -0.17 | -0.18 | -5.9% | +1.1% | -16.0% | -20.4% |
| 2022-11-09 | miss | -0.17 | -0.20 | -17.6% | +7.7% | +6.6% | +4.3% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +7.1% | +0.4% | +6.6% | +21.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +8.1% | +14.6% | +21.8% | +38.2% |
| 2022-02-15 | beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +3.1% | -9.7% | +1.9% | -10.5% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | -0.12 | -0.15 | -25.0% | +0.7% | -5.8% | +23.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -21.4% | +8.3% | +23.3% | +39.6% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.1% | -17.0% | -24.8% | -29.9% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +8.6% | -9.8% | -13.8% | -16.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +21.1% | -2.4% | -12.6% | -3.8% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.18 | -0.17 | +6.9% | -0.3% | +8.8% | -1.0% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -7.3% | -5.1% | -1.7% | +5.3% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +12.6% | +3.8% | -7.2% | -6.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | -0.19 | -0.14 | +27.3% | -2.2% | -8.9% | -17.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +5.4% | -3.2% | -14.4% | -21.1% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | -0.19 | -0.19 | +1.5% | +20.7% | +5.5% | +56.2% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +0.6% | -4.6% | +4.8% | +1.9% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | -0.21 | -0.23 | -10.0% | +0.2% | -9.6% | -16.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.22 | -0.21 | +4.1% | +0.7% | +0.1% | -2.7% |
Not investment advice.
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