AVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
-0.9%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.3% median,
46% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.20 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$22M/day volume
19% volatility
-4% 1-year
-45% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -14% from the high
$34.46$43.50
Congressional trades in AVA Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 2 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Sep 10, 2014.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.42.
1-day std dev
2.4%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+6.4%
Biggest drop
-8.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.24 | 0.43 | +75.9% | -1.9% | -2.2% | -5.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.3% | +1.2% | +0.9% | +0.6% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 1.02 | 0.87 | -15.0% | -2.7% | -4.8% | -5.4% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +26.8% | +1.9% | +2.7% | +7.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.31 | 0.17 | -44.3% | -2.6% | -4.1% | -1.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 1.03 | 0.98 | -5.1% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -10.4% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.87 | 0.85 | -2.0% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +2.2% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +86.5% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -1.7% | -0.8% | +0.2% | -1.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 1.00 | 0.91 | -9.3% | +5.3% | +1.8% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-21 | miss | 1.14 | 1.10 | -3.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -1.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +33.3% | +3.6% | +6.4% | +6.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +53.3% | +1.9% | +3.1% | -2.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.16 | 0.73 | -36.9% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.78 | 1.06 | +36.2% | +2.4% | +2.7% | -0.2% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 0.14 | -0.08 | -156.3% | -2.5% | -8.2% | -10.8% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -4.8% | -4.1% | -2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.92 | 0.99 | +7.8% | +0.3% | +3.9% | +6.6% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.6% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.06 | 0.20 | +222.6% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +1.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.26 | 0.20 | -22.5% | -2.7% | -3.3% | -4.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.84 | 0.98 | +16.4% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -0.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +4.7% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -41.7% | -0.7% | -3.2% | +8.2% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.33 | 0.26 | -20.2% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2020-05-08 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +10.8% | +1.2% | -0.4% | -10.1% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.6% | +5.2% | +0.9% | +5.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | 0.15 | 0.08 | -46.7% | -1.1% | -1.4% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +9.7% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.90 | 0.75 | -16.4% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2019-02-08 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +11.2% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -12.7% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.3% | +0.2% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.88 | 0.84 | -4.4% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -2.5% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -22.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.38 | 0.34 | -9.3% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.82 | 0.96 | +17.1% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.4% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -9.2% | -0.1% | -3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -2.8% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -1.9% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.6% | -0.9% | +2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | 0.59 | 0.54 | -8.2% | +0.3% | +2.4% | +1.1% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +9.5% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -8.3% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.82 | 0.74 | -9.6% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.5% |
| 2015-02-25 | miss | 0.55 | 0.48 | -13.3% | +0.2% | -1.9% | -3.5% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.16 | -30.0% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -2.8% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +23.3% | +1.5% | -0.5% | +2.1% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +3.0% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +16.1% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.8% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.8% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +2.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +3.2% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | 0.45 | 0.26 | -41.6% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -2.0% |
| 2012-10-22 | miss | 0.19 | 0.10 | -48.7% | -2.2% | -3.5% | -3.9% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.31 | -27.5% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -4.8% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.70 | 0.65 | -6.5% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -2.8% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -6.7% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -1.9% |
| 2011-11-02 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +10.8% | -1.3% | -2.3% | -2.5% |
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