AVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+3.0%
Next 1 month
+4.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -9.2% median,
42% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.20%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.83 +5.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$2M/day volume
89% volatility
-84% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -84% from the high
$1.14$8.35
Congressional trades in AVXL Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Jan 20, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-24 (Tuesday, before open, in 25 days) · EPS est. -0.11.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+29.5%
Biggest drop
-23.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | beat | -0.08 | 0.08 | +200.0% | +8.4% | +14.5% | -7.7% |
| 2026-07-30 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +14.3% | +0.8% | +8.4% | +31.7% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +45.5% | +2.4% | +6.1% | -1.5% |
| 2025-11-25 | beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +26.7% | +6.8% | +12.3% | +48.4% |
| 2025-08-12 | miss | -0.14 | -0.16 | -10.3% | -0.3% | -5.0% | -16.8% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +13.3% | +0.9% | -5.0% | -11.9% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.6% | -2.9% | +4.9% | +4.7% |
| 2024-12-23 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.6% | +3.4% | +29.5% | +24.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +22.2% | +3.1% | +5.7% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-09 | -0.13 | -0.13 | — | +0.3% | +4.6% | +21.3% | |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +26.7% | +2.6% | -3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2023-11-27 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +20.0% | -3.1% | -10.0% | +16.0% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.6% | +4.2% | +4.6% | +16.4% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | -0.18 | -0.17 | +5.6% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +4.7% |
| 2023-02-07 | beat | -0.20 | -0.17 | +15.0% | -2.0% | -7.0% | -10.9% |
| 2022-11-28 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -9.1% | +4.8% | -23.5% | -19.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.16 | -0.16 | +2.0% | -4.7% | -5.7% | -0.1% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +17.6% | +7.4% | +1.3% | +24.2% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | -0.16 | -0.14 | +12.5% | +1.3% | +5.8% | +14.1% |
| 2021-11-24 | miss | -0.14 | -0.15 | -4.7% | +10.7% | +5.7% | +0.4% |
| 2021-08-12 | -0.14 | -0.14 | — | +0.2% | +7.1% | +1.6% | |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +20.0% | +0.1% | -1.6% | +9.8% |
| 2021-02-11 | -0.12 | -0.12 | — | -5.6% | -7.1% | -8.3% | |
| 2020-12-28 | beat | -0.13 | -0.10 | +23.1% | +3.3% | -2.2% | -10.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +18.5% | +9.9% | -6.8% | -8.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +23.4% | +3.6% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2020-02-06 | -0.12 | -0.12 | — | +1.9% | +9.8% | +31.5% | |
| 2019-12-16 | beat | -0.15 | -0.07 | +52.4% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +15.7% | +2.1% | +4.2% | +8.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -21.4% | +0.3% | -1.9% | +10.9% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | -0.13 | -0.16 | -23.1% | -0.5% | -1.9% | +23.6% |
| 2018-12-12 | miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -18.2% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -18.9% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.10 | -0.06 | +41.9% | +3.8% | -2.4% | -6.9% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -10.0% | +0.0% | -5.0% | +15.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -12.5% | +6.0% | -7.0% | -10.4% |
| 2017-12-11 | miss | -0.10 | -0.12 | -20.0% | +2.7% | -10.6% | -15.2% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +1.3% | +0.3% | -1.3% | +2.8% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +55.6% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -6.3% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.08 | +27.3% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +16.3% |
| 2016-08-11 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +24.6% | +7.0% | +22.5% | +6.3% |
| 2016-05-11 | beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +60.8% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -8.9% |
| 2016-02-08 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +14.3% | -8.4% | -6.9% | -21.6% |
| 2015-12-29 | miss | -0.06 | -0.29 | -383.3% | -15.2% | -10.7% | -27.3% |
| 2014-12-29 | miss | -0.08 | -0.20 | -150.0% | +5.3% | +5.3% | -3.2% |
| 2014-08-13 | miss | -0.08 | -0.12 | -50.0% | +2.1% | +4.2% | +8.3% |
Not investment advice.
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