AWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.5% median,
62% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.31 -0.9% · Seasonal tilt +1.4%
$19M/day volume
21% volatility
+13% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -7% from the high
$69.45$91.72
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 1.09.
1-day std dev
2.1%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+3.7%
Biggest drop
-6.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.93 | 1.09 | +17.2% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +4.5% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.3% | -1.8% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 1.00 | 1.06 | +5.5% | +2.6% | +1.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.91 | 0.87 | -4.7% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.0% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 0.63 | 0.75 | +18.4% | +1.7% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.98 | 0.95 | -3.1% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -2.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.87 | 0.85 | -2.3% | -0.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +2.8% | +1.4% | +3.7% | +5.9% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.2% | -1.1% | -3.1% | -6.2% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +2.8% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.7% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-05-10 | miss | 0.68 | 0.57 | -15.6% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2023-03-01 | miss | 0.82 | 0.50 | -39.3% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.70 | 0.82 | +17.1% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +8.0% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | 0.71 | 0.71 | -0.5% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | 0.53 | 0.47 | -11.3% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +10.9% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.1% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.5% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +14.8% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2021-02-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.54 | +14.1% | +2.4% | -0.8% | -6.8% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | 0.75 | 0.72 | -4.5% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +4.6% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.69 | 0.69 | +0.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -11.4% | -1.1% | +1.0% | -2.4% |
| 2020-02-24 | beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +17.4% | +0.8% | -1.8% | -9.1% |
| 2019-11-04 | miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.7% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -7.2% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.54 | 0.64 | +18.5% | +4.9% | +1.8% | +10.0% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.6% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +1.4% |
| 2019-02-25 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.9% | +2.3% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.1% | +1.6% | +3.3% | +4.2% |
| 2018-08-06 | miss | 0.48 | 0.44 | -8.3% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.35 | 0.29 | -16.1% | -3.6% | -3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2018-02-26 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -4.7% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -8.0% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.59 | 0.57 | -3.0% | -3.2% | -1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.3% | -3.9% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +7.2% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +0.4% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.5% | -1.4% | +0.0% | -2.3% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +2.0% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +1.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +3.2% | +0.5% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -11.8% | -2.9% | -6.8% | -6.5% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +4.5% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -12.1% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.56 | 0.56 | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2015-08-04 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.26 | 0.35 | +37.2% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.5% | +2.6% | -3.2% | -2.4% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -8.2% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +1.5% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -15.2% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.19 | 0.30 | +61.3% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +8.2% |
| 2013-11-04 | beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +11.6% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.2% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -11.0% |
| 2013-05-10 | beat | 0.26 | 0.35 | +33.3% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -0.5% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.27 | +48.0% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +6.0% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.49 | +21.0% | +0.5% | +2.9% | -1.0% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +24.6% | +3.2% | +0.8% | +6.9% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +34.7% | +1.2% | +2.8% | +3.0% |
| 2012-03-12 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -13.4% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -1.4% |
| 2011-11-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +14.8% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2011-08-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +18.9% | +0.4% | -6.3% | +3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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