AXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +11.2% median,
71% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 56
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.56 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$32.0B market cap (#381 US)
$404M/day volume
62% volatility
-44% 1-year
-52% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -45% from the high
$339.01$764.02
Congressional trades in AXON Full tracker →
5 members · 7 buys / 5 sells · $68K–$320K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 1.90.
1-day std dev
12.4%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+28.7%
Biggest drop
-19.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.84 | 1.88 | +2.0% | -3.3% | -14.3% | +1.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.8% | +5.8% | +10.6% | +0.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 1.60 | 2.15 | +34.5% | +12.6% | +17.6% | +28.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 1.54 | 1.17 | -24.1% | -20.2% | -9.4% | -19.3% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 1.46 | 2.12 | +45.0% | +9.8% | +16.4% | +3.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.28 | 1.41 | +10.2% | +7.4% | +14.1% | +21.0% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 1.40 | 2.08 | +48.2% | +17.8% | +15.3% | +7.7% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 1.20 | 1.45 | +21.0% | +15.2% | +28.7% | +27.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.98 | 1.20 | +22.7% | +11.9% | +18.4% | +25.6% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | 0.95 | 1.15 | +21.6% | -4.5% | -4.6% | -9.5% |
| 2024-02-27 | beat | 0.85 | 1.12 | +31.2% | +3.3% | +13.8% | +15.9% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.76 | 1.02 | +34.8% | +3.8% | +6.1% | +2.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.62 | 1.11 | +78.6% | +12.7% | +14.1% | +14.3% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.54 | 0.88 | +64.4% | -1.8% | -15.1% | -12.9% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | 0.51 | 0.70 | +37.3% | +4.2% | +10.4% | +10.7% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +23.4% | +8.0% | +14.6% | +27.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +13.1% | +7.0% | +12.9% | +17.0% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.29 | 0.45 | +53.2% | -2.6% | -5.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.17 | 0.46 | +174.9% | +4.1% | +3.1% | +6.1% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | 0.26 | 1.17 | +347.2% | +24.7% | +6.2% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.23 | 0.38 | +62.1% | +1.5% | -0.5% | -4.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +46.9% | +5.5% | +3.0% | +1.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.36 | 1.00 | +179.7% | +0.6% | +3.5% | -10.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.20 | 0.40 | +103.7% | +6.9% | +13.0% | +11.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | 0.16 | -0.01 | -106.1% | -6.7% | -8.5% | -13.2% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.17 | 0.40 | +128.8% | +10.0% | +22.6% | +5.2% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.6% | -6.6% | +0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +6.0% | +18.2% | +24.6% | +28.5% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -13.0% | -12.3% | -15.1% | -13.4% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +31.9% | +0.4% | -4.5% | +1.9% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -29.4% | -7.9% | -7.9% | -17.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.20 | +53.9% | -8.8% | -15.6% | -17.5% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.18 | +69.4% | -6.6% | -11.6% | -9.8% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.11 | 0.32 | +196.3% | +12.9% | +22.3% | +21.7% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | -0.02 | 0.13 | +657.2% | +17.5% | +27.8% | +45.9% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -83.3% | -1.0% | -6.2% | -4.2% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -5.9% | -4.0% | -9.0% | -14.4% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +90.9% | +7.1% | +4.2% | -2.3% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +2.1% | -3.5% | -5.2% | -12.9% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +7.7% | +11.3% | +13.3% | +18.1% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +36.1% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +50.0% | +3.3% | +3.7% | +11.6% |
| 2016-02-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +95.7% | +17.4% | +10.9% | +13.6% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -21.0% | -3.7% | -12.4% | -21.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +1.0% | -11.3% | -22.9% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +132.2% | +9.5% | +7.6% | +16.1% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.11 | 0.09 | -20.6% | -5.3% | -16.1% | -16.7% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +45.8% | +6.6% | +7.5% | +11.9% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -12.5% | +7.2% | +16.2% | +7.4% |
| 2014-04-30 | beat | 0.06 | 0.06 | +5.9% | -0.4% | -5.4% | -23.1% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +38.2% | +4.7% | -0.9% | +4.0% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +15.2% | +4.5% | +14.8% | +9.6% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +30.1% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -2.4% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +14.5% | +2.5% | +7.0% | +5.3% |
| 2013-02-21 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -0.0% | +0.0% | -19.7% | -13.0% |
| 2012-10-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +92.9% | +6.9% | +26.3% | +29.0% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.02 | 0.06 | +242.9% | +7.0% | +8.8% | +12.9% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +122.5% | +7.0% | +4.1% | +18.3% |
| 2012-02-23 | miss | 0.02 | -0.08 | -601.3% | -2.2% | -6.4% | -6.2% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +31.3% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +13.8% |
Not investment advice.
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