AYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+4.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.4% median,
79% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 79
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.42 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$10.0B market cap (#887 US)
$110M/day volume
38% volatility
-10% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 57% of the way up · -14% from the high
$257.04$380.17
Congressional trades in AYI Full tracker →
5 members · 7 buys / 12 sells · $533K–$1.4M disclosed · latest filing May 7, 2020.
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-07 (Thursday, before open, in 71 days) · EPS est. 5.09.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+17.6%
Biggest drop
-15.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | beat | 5.56 | 5.77 | +3.8% | -1.1% | -3.4% | -3.0% |
| 2026-06-25 | beat | 5.19 | 5.31 | +2.4% | +14.5% | +17.6% | +17.5% |
| 2026-04-02 | beat | 4.00 | 4.14 | +3.5% | -0.7% | -7.5% | -3.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | beat | 4.59 | 4.69 | +2.1% | -7.6% | -12.9% | -13.2% |
| 2025-10-01 | beat | 4.84 | 5.20 | +7.5% | +6.2% | +5.4% | +4.7% |
| 2025-06-26 | beat | 4.44 | 5.12 | +15.3% | +7.3% | +5.8% | +6.2% |
| 2025-04-03 | beat | 3.70 | 3.73 | +0.9% | -5.7% | -3.4% | -12.2% |
| 2025-01-08 | beat | 3.90 | 3.97 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +8.8% |
| 2024-10-01 | beat | 4.27 | 4.30 | +0.7% | +6.8% | +8.7% | +10.9% |
| 2024-06-27 | beat | 4.08 | 4.15 | +1.6% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-04-03 | beat | 3.23 | 3.38 | +4.8% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +1.6% |
| 2024-01-09 | beat | 3.23 | 3.72 | +15.1% | +5.7% | +11.5% | +9.6% |
| 2023-10-04 | beat | 3.73 | 3.97 | +6.5% | +6.2% | +6.9% | +8.7% |
| 2023-06-29 | beat | 3.73 | 3.75 | +0.6% | -1.0% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| 2023-04-04 | beat | 2.73 | 3.06 | +12.2% | -7.7% | -11.0% | -13.0% |
| 2023-01-09 | beat | 3.02 | 3.29 | +9.0% | +3.3% | +2.9% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-04 | beat | 3.61 | 3.95 | +9.5% | +8.4% | +4.9% | +4.2% |
| 2022-06-30 | beat | 2.91 | 3.52 | +21.0% | +3.8% | -1.1% | +0.5% |
| 2022-04-05 | beat | 2.37 | 2.57 | +8.6% | -0.2% | -8.1% | -8.8% |
| 2022-01-07 | beat | 2.41 | 2.85 | +18.3% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2021-10-06 | beat | 2.87 | 3.27 | +14.1% | +9.9% | +10.9% | +17.0% |
| 2021-07-01 | beat | 2.28 | 2.77 | +21.5% | +1.0% | -5.8% | -7.2% |
| 2021-03-31 | beat | 1.74 | 2.12 | +21.8% | +4.7% | +13.3% | +14.9% |
| 2021-01-07 | beat | 1.86 | 2.03 | +9.4% | -2.5% | -5.5% | -8.0% |
| 2020-10-08 | beat | 2.01 | 2.35 | +16.9% | +0.3% | -10.3% | -15.7% |
| 2020-06-30 | beat | 1.35 | 1.94 | +44.0% | +11.9% | +7.2% | +2.9% |
| 2020-04-02 | miss | 1.90 | 1.84 | -3.2% | +2.1% | -4.9% | +14.1% |
| 2020-01-09 | miss | 2.21 | 2.13 | -3.8% | -7.9% | -13.8% | -14.5% |
| 2019-10-02 | miss | 2.82 | 2.75 | -2.5% | -17.8% | -11.2% | -8.4% |
| 2019-07-02 | beat | 2.51 | 2.53 | +0.8% | -9.3% | -7.8% | -9.3% |
| 2019-04-03 | beat | 1.78 | 1.99 | +12.0% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +12.9% |
| 2019-01-09 | beat | 2.13 | 2.32 | +8.9% | +4.2% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| 2018-10-03 | beat | 2.67 | 2.68 | +0.3% | -5.4% | -13.2% | -22.0% |
| 2018-07-03 | beat | 2.17 | 2.37 | +9.1% | +10.3% | +12.7% | +13.3% |
| 2018-04-04 | miss | 2.13 | 1.89 | -11.1% | -8.1% | -3.9% | -3.6% |
| 2018-01-09 | miss | 2.08 | 1.94 | -6.7% | -11.7% | -15.0% | -11.8% |
| 2017-10-04 | beat | 2.43 | 2.55 | +4.9% | -3.8% | +5.1% | -2.7% |
| 2017-06-29 | beat | 2.03 | 2.15 | +5.7% | +7.9% | +10.5% | +10.5% |
| 2017-04-04 | miss | 1.84 | 1.77 | -3.6% | +0.0% | -14.8% | -12.9% |
| 2017-01-09 | miss | 2.18 | 2.00 | -8.1% | -12.2% | -14.7% | -11.2% |
| 2016-10-05 | miss | 2.39 | 2.21 | -7.6% | -8.0% | -4.7% | -4.1% |
| 2016-06-29 | beat | 2.03 | 2.06 | +1.5% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2016-04-06 | beat | 1.57 | 1.80 | +14.9% | +9.3% | +13.3% | +14.0% |
| 2016-01-08 | beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.6% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -9.3% |
| 2015-10-07 | beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.3% | +3.1% | +3.7% | +10.8% |
| 2015-07-01 | beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.8% | +3.6% | +4.4% | +4.4% |
| 2015-04-01 | beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +2.3% | -1.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% |
| 2015-01-09 | beat | 1.13 | 1.32 | +16.5% | +6.6% | +6.7% | +6.1% |
| 2014-10-01 | beat | 1.22 | 1.26 | +3.3% | +6.2% | +11.0% | +12.1% |
| 2014-07-01 | miss | 1.13 | 1.00 | -11.2% | -6.1% | -14.9% | -16.5% |
| 2014-04-02 | miss | 0.83 | 0.75 | -9.6% | -3.4% | +3.2% | -4.9% |
| 2014-01-09 | beat | 0.84 | 0.96 | +14.0% | +9.1% | +12.2% | +21.2% |
| 2013-10-01 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.6% | +1.0% | +7.5% | +3.0% |
| 2013-07-02 | beat | 0.87 | 0.97 | +10.9% | +3.4% | +7.2% | +11.6% |
| 2013-04-03 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +0.8% | +7.8% | +5.3% | +8.4% |
| 2013-01-08 | miss | 0.80 | 0.69 | -14.2% | -7.1% | -5.1% | -2.9% |
| 2012-10-02 | miss | 0.92 | 0.88 | -4.6% | -6.8% | -4.7% | -3.3% |
| 2012-07-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.5% | +6.0% | +15.8% | +13.6% |
| 2012-04-04 | miss | 0.62 | 0.57 | -8.1% | -2.4% | -9.7% | -12.9% |
| 2012-01-09 | beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +9.9% | +9.3% | +9.2% | +14.8% |
Not investment advice.
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