BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited $100.96 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -7.7% median, 45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 60
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.13 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.5%
$230.0B market cap (#37 US) $890M/day volume 40% volatility -44% 1-year -68% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -45% from the high
$91.99$182.50

Congressional trades in BABA Full tracker →

31 members · 91 buys / 94 sells · $3.5M–$10.2M disclosed · latest filing Sep 4, 2026.

SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jul 24, 2026 $100K–$250K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jun 1, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 9, 2026 $50K–$100K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Nov 19, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 31, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 17, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 14, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL SB Sheri Biggs · traded Mar 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 17, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jul 22, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LL Laurel Lee · traded Dec 29, 2023 $100K–$250K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 4, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Mar 4, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Mar 3, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Feb 25, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Feb 21, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Feb 10, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 12, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Jan 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Jan 29, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 31, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Dec 16, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 16, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL BM Blake Moore · traded Jan 19, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL PS Pete Sessions · traded Dec 28, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LL Laurel Lee · traded Dec 29, 2023 $100K–$250K
SELL JH John W Hickenlooper · traded Apr 28, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY PM Peter Meijer · traded Feb 11, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL RM Roger W Marshall other · traded Jun 9, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY RM Roger W Marshall other · traded May 4, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL RM Roger W Marshall other · traded May 12, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL JL James R. Langevin · traded Feb 11, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JL James R. Langevin options · traded Feb 7, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL JL James R. Langevin · traded Feb 11, 2022 $50K–$100K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 14, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 14, 2022 $50K–$100K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Jan 14, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY JL James R. Langevin options · traded Jan 7, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Dec 15, 2021 $50K–$100K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Dec 14, 2021 $50K–$100K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Dec 21, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Dec 23, 2021 $50K–$100K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Dec 8, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL JL James R. Langevin options · traded Nov 8, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY BM Blake Moore options · traded Nov 19, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 18, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Sep 13, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Sep 13, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Sep 13, 2021 $50K–$100K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Sep 13, 2021 $15K–$50K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Sep 15, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL BM Blake Moore options · traded Aug 27, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL BM Blake Moore options · traded Aug 17, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY BM Blake Moore options · traded Aug 27, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL SW Sheldon Whitehouse · traded Aug 30, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL EP Ed Perlmutter · traded Jul 7, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL EP Ed Perlmutter · traded Jun 14, 2021 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 185 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-24 (Tuesday, before open, in 26 days) · EPS est. 10.96.

1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+14.8%
Biggest drop
-11.1%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 48 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-20 miss 10.82 8.52 -21.3% -4.2% +1.3% -9.8%
2026-05-13 miss 5.74 0.62 -89.2% -2.0% +8.2% -0.2%
2026-03-19 miss 10.94 7.09 -35.2% -8.5% -7.1% -6.7%
2025-11-25 miss 5.78 4.36 -24.6% +2.8% -2.3% -1.6%
2025-08-29 miss 15.47 14.75 -4.7% +7.8% +12.9% +18.1%
2025-05-15 miss 12.81 12.52 -2.3% -5.8% -7.6% -9.4%
2025-02-20 beat 19.38 21.39 +10.4% +9.6% +8.1% +8.6%
2024-11-15 beat 14.77 15.06 +1.9% -0.4% -2.2% -8.2%
2024-08-15 beat 14.94 16.44 +10.0% -2.0% +0.1% +4.4%
2024-05-14 miss 10.24 10.14 -0.9% -5.9% -6.0% +1.8%
2024-02-07 miss 19.00 18.97 -0.2% -4.7% -5.9% -6.2%
2023-11-16 beat 15.11 15.63 +3.4% -8.7% -9.1% -9.9%
2023-08-10 beat 14.46 17.37 +20.1% +3.6% +4.6% -4.4%
2023-05-18 beat 9.51 10.71 +12.6% +0.1% -5.4% -13.1%
2023-02-23 beat 16.45 19.26 +17.1% +5.6% -0.7% -5.3%
2022-11-17 beat 11.60 12.92 +11.4% -2.8% +7.8% -3.4%
2022-08-04 beat 10.50 11.73 +11.7% +5.6% +1.8% -0.9%
2022-05-26 beat 7.12 7.95 +11.6% +6.1% +14.8% +13.2%
2022-02-24 beat 16.05 16.87 +5.1% -8.8% -0.7% -7.0%
2021-11-18 miss 12.44 11.20 -10.0% -9.1% -11.1% -17.5%
2021-08-03 beat 14.28 16.60 +16.3% -2.5% -1.4% -2.2%
2021-05-13 miss 11.35 10.32 -9.1% -3.1% -6.3% -1.3%
2021-02-02 beat 20.70 22.03 +6.4% +0.0% -3.8% +0.7%
2020-11-05 beat 13.91 17.97 +29.2% -2.2% -2.7% -10.6%
2020-08-20 beat 13.56 14.82 +9.3% -1.4% -1.0% +9.0%
2020-05-22 beat 6.07 9.20 +51.6% -4.2% -5.9% -2.6%
2020-02-13 beat 15.70 18.19 +15.9% -1.9% -1.8% -5.2%
2019-11-01 beat 10.68 13.10 +22.7% +1.3% -0.1% +5.9%
2019-08-15 beat 10.48 12.55 +19.8% +5.0% +3.0% +6.1%
2019-05-15 beat 6.50 8.57 +31.8% +1.3% +1.6% -9.2%
2019-01-30 beat 11.51 12.19 +5.9% +2.8% +6.3% +9.3%
2018-11-02 beat 7.64 9.60 +25.7% +0.9% -2.4% -4.2%
2018-08-23 miss 8.34 8.04 -3.6% +4.0% -3.2% -1.8%
2018-05-04 beat 5.54 5.73 +3.4% -1.1% +3.5% +6.5%
2018-02-01 miss 10.70 10.61 -0.8% -5.6% -5.9% -15.0%
2017-11-02 beat 6.84 8.57 +25.3% +2.6% -0.7% -0.5%
2017-08-17 beat 6.25 7.95 +27.3% +4.2% +2.8% +9.7%
2017-05-18 miss 4.52 4.35 -3.7% -3.7% +0.5% +2.4%
2017-01-24 beat 7.71 9.02 +17.0% +4.8% +3.1% +2.9%
2016-11-02 beat 4.70 5.26 +11.9% +2.7% -2.6% -4.4%
2016-08-11 beat 4.19 4.90 +17.1% +5.5% +5.1% +11.1%
2016-05-05 miss 3.66 3.02 -17.5% +4.9% +4.0% +4.4%
2016-01-28 beat 5.78 6.43 +11.2% +4.3% -3.8% -6.7%
2015-10-27 beat 3.43 3.63 +5.9% +0.0% +4.0% +9.3%
2015-08-12 beat 3.61 3.68 +1.9% -6.5% -5.1% -5.5%
2015-05-07 beat 2.58 3.00 +16.4% +11.0% +7.5% +10.5%
2015-01-29 beat 4.69 5.05 +7.7% -8.0% -8.8% -11.6%
2014-11-04 beat 2.73 2.75 +0.7% -1.4% +4.2% +12.5%

Not investment advice.