BCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.2% median,
61% of the last 44 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 98
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.31 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$51M/day volume
38% volatility
+5% 1-year
-37% from ATH
52-week range · 49% of the way up · -18% from the high
$59.06$90.25
Congressional trades in BC Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 2 sells · $32K–$130K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 1.32.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+11.3%
Biggest drop
-15.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.19 | 1.56 | +31.0% | +1.6% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.70 | +54.3% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.0% | -3.5% | -4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 0.87 | 0.97 | +11.4% | +3.0% | +8.6% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.95 | 1.16 | +21.8% | -6.6% | -8.2% | -9.9% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.56 | +155.2% | +0.3% | +5.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.24 | +40.9% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 1.20 | 1.17 | -2.4% | +0.9% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 1.90 | 1.80 | -5.4% | +1.8% | +7.5% | +5.6% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.35 | 1.35 | +0.2% | -2.7% | -7.1% | -5.8% |
| 2024-02-01 | miss | 1.65 | 1.45 | -11.9% | +0.9% | +4.7% | +5.0% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 2.36 | 2.42 | +2.5% | +2.6% | -1.2% | +5.0% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 2.33 | 2.35 | +0.9% | -0.3% | -3.5% | -5.5% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 2.38 | 2.57 | +7.8% | -0.1% | +2.6% | -3.3% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 1.98 | 1.99 | +0.6% | -2.1% | +5.1% | +0.4% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 2.64 | 2.67 | +0.9% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -8.1% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 2.70 | 2.82 | +4.5% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 2.33 | 2.53 | +8.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +7.0% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.44 | +6.3% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.95 | 2.07 | +6.0% | -0.5% | +3.7% | +9.8% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 2.15 | 2.52 | +17.2% | +2.2% | +3.6% | +7.1% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.46 | 2.24 | +53.2% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +9.2% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.02 | 1.32 | +28.8% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -2.8% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.38 | 1.80 | +30.9% | +3.2% | -1.3% | +9.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.44 | 0.99 | +126.5% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -10.3% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.84 | 0.96 | +14.0% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -6.2% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.75 | 0.82 | +8.8% | +2.1% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +10.8% | +1.5% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 1.42 | 1.45 | +2.2% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.9% | -10.0% | -11.0% | -5.1% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +8.8% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -2.7% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.19 | 1.28 | +8.0% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -4.7% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 1.55 | 1.50 | -3.5% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -3.7% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.7% | +4.0% | +2.1% | +1.8% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -6.0% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -9.7% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 1.00 | 0.91 | -9.2% | -10.9% | -15.4% | -12.6% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.2% | +1.0% | -5.7% | -6.8% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.4% | -2.0% | -5.2% | -6.4% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.4% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +5.4% |
| 2016-10-27 | miss | 0.92 | 0.91 | -0.6% | +1.2% | -7.2% | -9.3% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 1.17 | 1.19 | +1.3% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -2.9% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.6% | -2.5% | -5.6% | -7.7% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +15.0% | +2.7% | -5.2% | -4.2% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.2% | +0.9% | +7.8% | +10.2% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +2.6% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -1.5% |
| 2015-04-29 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -2.2% | -2.2% | -7.1% | -8.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.33 | +22.6% | -0.2% | +8.0% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +7.9% | +2.5% | +3.5% | +5.9% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.6% | +1.7% | +2.9% | -3.5% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.8% | +0.3% | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +16.1% | +3.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +12.7% | +0.4% | +1.4% | +0.5% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 1.08 | 1.18 | +10.0% | +5.1% | +9.8% | +17.8% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.63 | 0.76 | +20.1% | +6.3% | +5.9% | -3.6% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | -0.08 | 0.02 | +124.0% | +5.2% | +7.3% | +10.2% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.29 | 0.43 | +47.6% | +1.8% | +11.3% | +18.5% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +9.4% | -8.8% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | -0.37 | -0.30 | +18.3% | +3.7% | -3.2% | +2.9% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.19 | 0.33 | +77.4% | +5.1% | +1.2% | -6.7% |
| 2011-07-28 | beat | 0.54 | 0.75 | +39.9% | +7.6% | +5.9% | -12.5% |
Not investment advice.
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