BCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.2% median,
68% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.45 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$2M/day volume
30% volatility
+6% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 30% of the way up · -26% from the high
$7.31$11.71
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. -9.05.
1-day std dev
2.6%
Finished up
61%
Biggest pop
+4.8%
Biggest drop
-5.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | 0.25 | -0.61 | -346.5% | -10.4% | -2.0% | -14.2% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +0.9% | +4.8% | +11.6% |
| 2026-01-30 | miss | -0.46 | -0.73 | -59.9% | -3.5% | +0.9% | +5.9% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.1% | +0.2% | +2.1% | -4.8% |
| 2025-07-28 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -3.6% | +0.5% | +2.4% | -4.0% |
| 2025-04-22 | miss | 0.22 | -0.51 | -328.4% | -2.6% | -5.9% | -11.4% |
| 2025-01-28 | miss | 0.29 | 0.16 | -45.5% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -9.6% |
| 2024-10-18 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.6% | +1.4% | -0.4% | -12.6% |
| 2024-07-19 | miss | 0.30 | 0.14 | -53.3% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +5.6% |
| 2024-04-19 | miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.8% | +0.2% | -3.5% | -4.2% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -6.7% | +1.6% | -2.8% | -9.3% |
| 2023-10-19 | miss | 0.50 | 0.39 | -21.5% | +4.2% | -1.8% | -9.3% |
| 2023-07-20 | miss | 0.54 | 0.50 | -7.4% | +0.7% | -1.8% | +3.3% |
| 2023-04-18 | miss | 0.67 | 0.46 | -30.8% | +0.3% | -4.0% | -1.9% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 0.75 | 0.69 | -8.4% | -0.7% | +0.6% | -2.7% |
| 2022-10-20 | beat | 0.67 | 0.76 | +12.9% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +9.7% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +4.7% | +6.3% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +12.0% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.62 | +27.8% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +12.7% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +5.2% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +13.3% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +8.5% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +18.5% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.22 | 0.40 | +84.0% | +1.4% | +4.0% | +13.7% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.11 | 0.45 | +307.6% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +72.3% | +0.5% | -3.7% | -4.1% |
| 2020-04-27 | miss | 0.22 | 0.14 | -35.6% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2020-01-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.4% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -4.7% |
| 2019-10-18 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +1.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2019-07-19 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.3% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +1.4% |
| 2019-04-18 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +0.9% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.5% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-19 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.9% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -4.1% |
| 2018-07-30 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -12.0% | +2.0% | +0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2018-04-23 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +11.5% | +0.6% | +1.3% | -1.0% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +7.3% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +5.7% |
| 2017-10-19 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | +1.0% | +0.7% | +0.0% |
Not investment advice.
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