BCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.7%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.3% median,
48% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$19.6B market cap (#778 US)
$16M/day volume
31% volatility
+12% 1-year
-18% from ATH
52-week range · 35% of the way up · -18% from the high
$33.60$46.77
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, after close, in 1 day) · EPS est. 0.71.
1-day std dev
1.4%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+3.5%
Biggest drop
-2.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 0.68 | 0.84 | +24.0% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -2.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -2.4% | +0.5% | +3.4% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-03 | miss | 0.66 | 0.61 | -7.4% | +1.5% | +3.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -3.4% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +4.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -5.8% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +16.6% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -2.2% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 0.64 | 0.60 | -5.8% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -4.5% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.8% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -1.9% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +5.6% | -0.6% | -1.8% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.83 | +16.1% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2023-10-30 | miss | 0.67 | 0.57 | -15.9% | +3.3% | +1.7% | +10.2% |
| 2023-07-28 | miss | 0.84 | 0.80 | -5.3% | +0.9% | -0.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.8% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2023-01-29 | miss | 1.26 | 0.81 | -36.0% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +4.3% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.94 | +65.5% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -4.2% |
| 2022-04-29 | beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2022-01-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.69 | +51.2% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2021-10-29 | miss | 0.45 | 0.45 | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +3.6% |
| 2021-07-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +7.4% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -6.5% |
| 2021-04-30 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +25.0% | +0.8% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +14.8% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +4.9% |
| 2020-10-30 | miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -5.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +9.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +2.1% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -8.4% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.44 | 0.37 | -15.3% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -0.3% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.50 | 0.41 | -18.0% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -7.1% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +10.0% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -6.0% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | 0.45 | 0.30 | -33.8% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.7% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-30 | miss | 0.44 | 0.39 | -11.8% | -1.0% | -0.9% | +4.4% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.9% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2018-04-27 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.4% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -4.1% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.3% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -1.8% |
| 2017-11-03 | miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.5% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 2017-07-30 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.6% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| 2017-04-28 | miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -0.6% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2017-01-30 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -5.9% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +0.9% |
| 2016-10-28 | miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.6% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2016-07-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.2% | +0.1% | +0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2016-04-29 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.7% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2016-01-30 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -5.5% | -1.1% | -2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.44 | 0.37 | -16.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -3.1% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +15.0% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +7.0% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2015-02-03 | miss | 0.46 | 0.39 | -14.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +8.7% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +3.1% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +2.8% | +0.4% | -1.9% | -4.0% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +5.5% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -4.7% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +4.9% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.6% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2013-07-31 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -5.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +8.1% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2013-01-29 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +10.8% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.52 | +26.9% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.2% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2012-02-01 | miss | 0.42 | 0.38 | -10.3% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +3.0% |
| 2011-10-15 | miss | 0.49 | 0.39 | -21.4% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +6.3% |
Not investment advice.
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