BCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.0% median,
48% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.66 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$41M/day volume
48% volatility
+18% 1-year
-77% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -24% from the high
$6.23$11.22
Congressional trades in BCRX Full tracker →
2 members · 4 buys / 1 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Sep 4, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
11.1%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+23.5%
Biggest drop
-40.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +49.4% | +4.7% | +0.6% | +17.4% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +27.7% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +6.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.07 | 0.21 | +197.6% | +8.6% | +4.6% | +12.6% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +125.3% | -2.3% | -6.3% | -1.6% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +47.1% | +15.0% | +9.8% | +3.1% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +9.7% | +23.5% | +15.8% |
| 2025-02-24 | miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -115.3% | -3.7% | -10.0% | -7.3% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +17.4% | -7.8% | -12.8% | -2.8% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +63.3% | -4.8% | +7.0% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | -0.23 | -0.17 | +26.0% | +12.4% | +18.4% | +26.5% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | -0.22 | -0.28 | -25.6% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2023-11-02 | -0.19 | -0.19 | — | +3.5% | -1.6% | -12.6% | |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.21 | -0.24 | -12.3% | +3.3% | +1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | -0.29 | -0.28 | +1.9% | +10.3% | +12.5% | +17.1% |
| 2023-02-21 | miss | -0.20 | -0.38 | -90.6% | -14.2% | -15.3% | -13.2% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | -0.26 | -0.23 | +13.1% | -8.9% | -11.2% | -9.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.35 | -0.32 | +8.2% | +14.0% | +23.2% | +28.9% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | -0.40 | -0.40 | +0.4% | -4.5% | -3.9% | -22.5% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | -0.29 | -0.40 | -38.2% | -5.6% | -5.9% | -4.5% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.29 | -0.33 | -13.0% | -10.6% | -18.1% | -15.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +3.1% | -3.2% | +8.5% | +2.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.27 | -0.36 | -35.8% | +5.9% | +21.0% | +12.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -42.6% | -6.1% | -11.3% | -7.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.26 | -0.26 | -1.1% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.5% | -5.0% | -5.0% | +9.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.24 | -0.24 | +0.6% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +24.1% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | -0.27 | -0.02 | +92.5% | +8.0% | +9.1% | -42.5% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | -0.31 | -0.34 | -8.1% | +2.0% | -1.0% | -21.2% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | -0.32 | -0.34 | -7.1% | -1.4% | +4.6% | -0.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.28 | -0.28 | -1.8% | +0.1% | +1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2019-03-04 | miss | -0.24 | -0.25 | -2.8% | +1.2% | +2.1% | -3.4% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -7.9% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -10.0% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.24 | -0.19 | +21.2% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +20.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -0.19 | -0.26 | -35.1% | -6.8% | -9.5% | +6.3% |
| 2018-02-27 | miss | -0.16 | -0.20 | -26.5% | -5.9% | -4.4% | +2.6% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +2.4% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -2.7% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -10.6% | +1.4% | -13.3% | -10.4% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | -0.19 | -0.19 | -2.1% | -1.7% | -10.5% | -11.6% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | -0.24 | -0.06 | +74.8% | -23.5% | +0.4% | +42.1% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -0.26 | -0.16 | +37.8% | +2.3% | +14.8% | +45.3% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.26 | -0.22 | +15.2% | +4.7% | -0.7% | +24.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | -0.23 | -0.31 | -34.3% | -11.0% | -9.0% | -5.3% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | -0.25 | -0.25 | +0.7% | -6.5% | -12.0% | -1.4% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.20 | +1.2% | +0.8% | -3.4% | -6.7% |
| 2015-08-07 | beat | -0.26 | 0.06 | +122.9% | -4.8% | -23.6% | -18.1% |
| 2015-05-08 | beat | -0.24 | -0.21 | +12.0% | +5.3% | +6.8% | +13.8% |
| 2015-02-18 | beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +20.0% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +4.3% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | -0.20 | -0.12 | +41.0% | +3.3% | -6.7% | -6.1% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | -0.18 | -0.23 | -26.0% | -3.3% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -0.16 | -0.17 | -3.7% | -3.5% | -13.8% | -1.2% |
| 2014-02-26 | beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +13.9% | -2.7% | -7.6% | +0.0% |
| 2013-11-05 | miss | -0.11 | -0.14 | -21.7% | +1.1% | -4.4% | -0.5% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.12 | -0.23 | -91.7% | -7.3% | -13.1% | -13.2% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +25.0% | +1.1% | -0.5% | -3.7% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | -0.23 | -0.18 | +22.3% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -10.9% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | -0.22 | -0.19 | +13.6% | -39.6% | -40.4% | -47.3% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | -0.26 | -0.25 | +3.9% | -0.3% | +8.6% | +1.5% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | -0.26 | -0.13 | +50.0% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +12.2% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | -0.33 | -0.29 | +12.1% | -2.7% | -2.7% | +4.9% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | -0.30 | -0.32 | -6.7% | +0.0% | +3.4% | -2.4% |
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
9.12
Mon, 07 Sep
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 10 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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