BDModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+4.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.0% median,
66% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 75
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.57 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$37M/day volume
43% volatility
-9% 1-year
-33% from ATH
52-week range · 18% of the way up · -33% from the high
$96.06$159.99
Congressional trades in BDC Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jul 17, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 2.26.
1-day std dev
8.3%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+23.1%
Biggest drop
-19.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 2.02 | 2.34 | +15.7% | +9.5% | +14.8% | +26.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 1.70 | 1.77 | +3.9% | +0.2% | -11.8% | -12.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | 1.95 | 2.08 | +6.4% | +3.4% | +6.1% | +2.5% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.92 | 1.97 | +2.6% | +2.0% | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.76 | 1.89 | +7.5% | +1.0% | -3.4% | -9.4% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.49 | 1.60 | +7.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 1.69 | 1.92 | +13.6% | -4.7% | -1.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.61 | 1.70 | +5.6% | -3.5% | -3.2% | +8.8% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.37 | 1.51 | +10.4% | +0.5% | +8.4% | +2.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 1.07 | 1.24 | +16.3% | +8.6% | +9.3% | +12.9% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 1.13 | 1.46 | +29.8% | +7.1% | +13.1% | +14.1% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.76 | 1.78 | +1.2% | -10.7% | -12.7% | -10.8% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.77 | 1.91 | +7.9% | -2.9% | -5.6% | -7.9% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +8.9% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 1.66 | 1.75 | +5.7% | +2.4% | +7.4% | +9.9% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 1.57 | 1.77 | +13.0% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +5.7% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.41 | 1.60 | +13.5% | +3.3% | +4.2% | +4.9% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 1.10 | 1.31 | +19.3% | +3.6% | +9.3% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.5% | -2.9% | +2.0% | -0.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 1.18 | 1.31 | +11.3% | +2.0% | -0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.93 | 1.21 | +29.8% | +8.5% | +9.5% | +13.3% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.65 | 0.94 | +43.8% | +11.7% | +11.9% | +15.0% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.1% | +0.0% | -9.6% | -16.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.9% | -2.2% | -4.5% | -5.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.46 | +67.5% | +1.6% | +5.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.9% | +1.5% | -5.7% | -11.4% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.0% | +11.8% | +5.7% | +2.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 1.41 | 1.37 | -2.3% | -13.8% | -7.7% | -6.1% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.38 | 1.39 | +0.7% | -5.8% | -19.2% | -20.2% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.2% | +0.3% | +4.9% | +9.6% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 1.63 | 1.66 | +1.7% | +0.6% | +12.7% | +9.2% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 1.71 | 1.72 | +0.8% | -4.2% | -4.8% | -0.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 1.46 | 1.52 | +4.2% | +0.1% | +13.1% | +11.6% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.12 | 1.16 | +3.3% | +4.0% | +1.0% | -5.0% |
| 2018-02-01 | miss | 1.76 | 1.62 | -8.2% | -4.9% | -11.2% | -21.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.4% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +3.3% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +3.9% | +0.9% | +3.2% | -1.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.1% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +6.7% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 1.40 | 1.42 | +1.7% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 1.27 | 1.29 | +1.4% | -1.4% | -3.7% | +3.2% |
| 2016-07-19 | beat | 1.26 | 1.54 | +22.2% | +3.3% | +4.3% | +7.0% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.95 | 1.01 | +5.9% | +3.0% | -4.3% | -3.3% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 1.48 | 1.63 | +10.3% | +1.7% | +23.1% | +37.8% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 1.10 | 1.14 | +3.3% | +5.2% | +22.6% | +22.1% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 1.19 | 1.21 | +2.0% | -10.2% | -13.4% | -18.0% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +1.9% | -3.8% | -9.8% | -9.2% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 1.21 | 1.24 | +2.3% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.11 | 1.15 | +3.3% | -0.1% | +1.2% | +3.5% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +3.2% | -0.1% | -3.2% | -7.5% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +1.3% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +0.9% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +8.8% |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.9% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.0% | +4.5% | +3.9% | +2.5% |
| 2013-05-02 | beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.8% | +1.1% | +4.9% | +11.2% |
| 2013-02-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.4% | +2.3% | +0.4% | +2.6% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.4% | +4.1% | +3.7% | -1.2% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 0.74 | 0.95 | +28.9% | +5.4% | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| 2012-05-10 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.0% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -3.3% |
| 2012-02-09 | beat | 0.53 | 0.61 | +15.4% | -1.0% | -4.1% | -2.8% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +11.4% | +7.5% | +13.2% | +10.5% |
Not investment advice.
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