BFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +7.0% median,
71% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 34
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.19 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$60M/day volume
39% volatility
+66% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 80% of the way up · -10% from the high
$59.26$114.53
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, before open, in 88 days) · EPS est. 1.52.
1-day std dev
6.4%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+18.9%
Biggest drop
-19.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 3.23 | 3.84 | +18.8% | -2.0% | -5.7% | -2.7% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 2.77 | 3.55 | +28.3% | -1.3% | +1.7% | +8.6% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 3.05 | 4.18 | +37.0% | +3.5% | -0.3% | -8.3% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.48 | 2.07 | +334.3% | +3.5% | +7.1% | +13.2% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 2.11 | 4.02 | +90.3% | +2.9% | +8.1% | +2.3% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 1.96 | 3.14 | +60.5% | -2.0% | -5.0% | -4.5% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 2.23 | 2.90 | +30.1% | +4.3% | +2.2% | -0.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +9.5% | -1.0% | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-24 | miss | 1.95 | 1.84 | -5.5% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 1.64 | 2.66 | +62.6% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 2.97 | 2.73 | -8.0% | -5.5% | +3.2% | +16.0% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | -0.83 | 0.90 | +208.2% | -5.3% | +7.0% | +19.1% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 2.28 | 3.46 | +52.1% | +2.1% | -1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.05 | 1.27 | +2722.2% | +6.8% | +8.3% | +10.0% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 6.59 | 9.08 | +37.8% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -11.4% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | -2.80 | -2.68 | +4.3% | +0.4% | -5.8% | +2.9% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 2.19 | 2.69 | +23.0% | +2.6% | +5.9% | +4.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | 2.20 | 0.56 | -74.7% | -0.8% | -5.2% | -7.4% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 4.41 | 4.21 | -4.5% | +2.6% | +6.0% | +2.6% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 2.20 | 1.21 | -45.1% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 3.38 | 4.47 | +32.1% | +1.1% | -2.4% | -1.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 3.74 | 5.99 | +60.3% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -6.9% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 3.15 | 6.28 | +99.4% | +2.9% | +10.0% | +11.9% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 2.42 | 3.31 | +36.6% | +7.2% | +4.7% | +23.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 2.27 | 3.45 | +52.2% | +4.2% | +18.9% | +34.0% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 1.52 | 1.86 | +22.4% | +3.2% | +5.1% | +4.5% |
| 2020-04-23 | miss | 3.84 | 0.75 | -80.5% | +0.0% | +10.1% | +36.5% |
| 2020-01-30 | miss | 4.17 | 4.12 | -1.1% | -3.4% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 5.25 | 5.05 | -3.9% | -6.3% | -13.5% | -19.2% |
| 2019-07-18 | miss | 3.95 | 3.83 | -3.1% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +3.9% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 4.05 | 3.72 | -8.2% | -2.9% | -6.6% | -6.2% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 6.95 | 7.04 | +1.3% | -8.3% | -9.8% | -7.2% |
| 2018-10-18 | beat | 6.19 | 6.26 | +1.1% | +0.1% | +5.5% | -4.2% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 4.65 | 5.01 | +7.8% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2018-04-19 | beat | 4.23 | 4.44 | +5.1% | -2.5% | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 5.01 | 6.26 | +25.0% | -2.6% | -2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2017-10-19 | beat | 5.02 | 5.35 | +6.5% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +1.8% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 3.74 | 3.84 | +2.7% | -7.5% | -9.5% | -8.7% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 3.86 | 3.91 | +1.4% | +4.7% | +8.3% | +8.3% |
| 2017-01-26 | beat | 4.64 | 4.67 | +0.6% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 4.44 | 4.74 | +6.8% | +0.4% | -4.7% | -5.7% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 3.59 | 3.68 | +2.4% | +6.5% | +6.4% | +8.8% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 3.80 | 3.84 | +1.1% | -7.3% | -7.0% | -7.7% |
| 2016-01-28 | beat | 4.11 | 4.13 | +0.6% | -8.4% | -19.4% | -20.0% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 3.93 | 3.95 | +0.5% | +3.3% | +6.7% | +7.9% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 3.25 | 3.32 | +2.3% | -1.0% | -5.8% | -9.7% |
| 2015-04-16 | beat | 3.44 | 3.65 | +6.2% | +1.2% | -0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 3.32 | 3.45 | +3.8% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 3.31 | 3.47 | +4.9% | -0.3% | +5.6% | +14.5% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 2.73 | 2.90 | +6.2% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 2.72 | 2.79 | +2.7% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -10.6% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 2.33 | 2.39 | +2.5% | +1.8% | +10.4% | +19.3% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 2.66 | 2.67 | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +4.6% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 2.30 | 2.41 | +5.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 2.52 | 2.55 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +5.8% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 1.80 | 1.84 | +2.0% | +2.3% | +2.7% | +0.2% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 2.23 | 2.37 | +6.4% | -0.3% | +4.4% | +2.5% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 1.91 | 2.13 | +11.3% | +0.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 2.19 | 2.38 | +8.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +1.9% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 1.49 | 1.70 | +14.3% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +6.2% |
Not investment advice.
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