BHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -4.1% median,
42% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.33%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.37 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$1M/day volume
49% volatility
-50% 1-year
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -59% from the high
$1.18$3.19
Congressional trades in BHR Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $15K–$50K disclosed · latest filing Jan 23, 2019.
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.71.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+9.1%
Biggest drop
-22.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -0.16 | 0.07 | +143.8% | +2.7% | +7.4% | +0.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.51 | -0.67 | -31.4% | -2.6% | -5.2% | -10.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.66 | -0.12 | +81.8% | -0.4% | +3.2% | +10.8% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | -0.37 | -0.24 | +35.1% | +0.9% | -5.5% | -3.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.04 | +63.6% | +8.3% | +3.6% | +8.9% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | -0.41 | -0.47 | -14.6% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +16.2% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.48 | -0.02 | +95.8% | -1.0% | +5.8% | +21.4% |
| 2024-07-31 | miss | -0.22 | -0.33 | -51.9% | -4.8% | -7.9% | -13.8% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.08 | 0.05 | +159.6% | +0.7% | +5.9% | +6.6% |
| 2024-02-29 | miss | -0.34 | -0.47 | -38.2% | -0.9% | -6.1% | -10.5% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -0.38 | -0.50 | -31.6% | -4.9% | -22.8% | -16.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | -0.27 | -0.20 | +25.9% | -1.6% | -1.9% | -16.2% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +400.0% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +8.2% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +24.0% | -1.0% | +3.5% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -0.01 | -0.20 | -1900.0% | -2.0% | -14.0% | -11.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +140.0% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.01 | 0.15 | +1600.0% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -12.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +45.5% | +0.3% | +4.9% | +0.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | -0.20 | -0.15 | +25.0% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +10.3% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | -0.17 | -0.32 | -88.2% | -1.0% | -2.7% | +2.9% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | -0.76 | -0.28 | +63.2% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -14.3% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -1.02 | -0.77 | +24.5% | -2.2% | +1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | -1.25 | -0.55 | +56.0% | -0.4% | +4.9% | +12.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -1.46 | -1.41 | +3.4% | +0.0% | -2.8% | +13.9% |
| 2020-05-21 | miss | -0.33 | -0.48 | -45.5% | +1.7% | +9.1% | +32.2% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | -0.17 | 0.36 | +305.7% | +5.9% | +4.7% | -10.2% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | -0.25 | -0.37 | -48.0% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | -0.17 | -0.22 | -29.4% | -1.3% | -4.2% | -0.9% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | -0.02 | -0.11 | -450.0% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | -0.48 | -0.44 | +8.3% | -2.2% | -0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +269.8% | +1.1% | +3.3% | -7.8% |
| 2018-05-02 | 0.07 | 0.07 | — | +0.0% | -1.7% | +3.7% | |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | -0.18 | 0.65 | +461.1% | -0.5% | +5.5% | +15.5% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | -0.02 | -0.09 | -350.0% | -1.3% | +3.0% | -5.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.27 | 0.04 | -83.7% | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +300.0% | -2.8% | -4.3% | -6.7% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +35.0% | +2.7% | +0.1% | -18.8% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.05 | -0.06 | -218.6% | +7.3% | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.26 | 0.04 | -84.6% | -3.1% | +6.4% | +3.0% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -10.1% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +7.7% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | -0.01 | -0.09 | -815.0% | -3.5% | -5.1% | +6.9% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +37.2% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.38 | 0.27 | -28.4% | -3.6% | -7.7% | -10.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | — | -0.05 | — | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.2% | |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +50.0% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +10.0% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.20 | -28.4% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +22.4% | -1.2% | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | -0.10 | 0.16 | +255.5% | +0.4% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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