BKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +10.6% median,
70% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 73
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.41 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt +1.0%
$17M/day volume
30% volatility
-15% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 39% of the way up · -20% from the high
$39.44$58.52
Congressional trades in BKE Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $47K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Jun 22, 2025.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-20 (Friday, before open, in 21 days) · EPS est. 0.95.
1-day std dev
4.9%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+19.8%
Biggest drop
-9.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +7.4% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2026-05-29 | beat | 0.74 | 0.92 | +24.7% | -4.9% | -9.1% | -11.2% |
| 2026-03-13 | beat | 1.51 | 1.59 | +5.5% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -2.9% |
| 2025-11-21 | beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +0.9% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +3.6% |
| 2025-08-22 | beat | 0.83 | 0.89 | +6.6% | -0.7% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| 2025-05-23 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.1% | -4.2% | -0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2025-03-14 | beat | 1.44 | 1.53 | +6.2% | +6.7% | +2.8% | +11.1% |
| 2024-11-22 | miss | 0.90 | 0.88 | -1.9% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +13.5% |
| 2024-08-23 | miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -6.3% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +0.6% |
| 2024-05-24 | miss | 0.74 | 0.69 | -6.8% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +5.7% |
| 2024-03-15 | beat | 1.44 | 1.59 | +10.5% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +2.4% |
| 2023-11-17 | beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.5% | +2.1% | +8.0% | +10.1% |
| 2023-08-18 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.9% | -0.9% | +2.5% | -2.1% |
| 2023-05-26 | miss | 0.92 | 0.86 | -6.1% | -0.9% | +1.8% | +2.6% |
| 2023-03-10 | beat | 1.56 | 1.76 | +12.8% | +0.0% | +3.1% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-18 | beat | 1.19 | 1.24 | +4.2% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +11.4% |
| 2022-08-19 | beat | 0.90 | 1.01 | +12.8% | +1.9% | +1.8% | -0.8% |
| 2022-05-26 | beat | 0.90 | 1.12 | +25.1% | +3.5% | +6.3% | +6.7% |
| 2022-03-11 | beat | 1.44 | 1.69 | +17.4% | +2.9% | +1.3% | +7.4% |
| 2021-11-19 | beat | 0.92 | 1.26 | +37.0% | +6.0% | -6.5% | -9.4% |
| 2021-08-20 | beat | 0.66 | 1.04 | +57.6% | +1.6% | -3.0% | -5.8% |
| 2021-05-21 | beat | 0.43 | 1.16 | +169.8% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +5.6% |
| 2021-03-12 | beat | 1.14 | 1.33 | +17.2% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +0.7% |
| 2020-11-20 | beat | 0.55 | 0.85 | +56.0% | +1.2% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2020-08-21 | beat | 0.06 | 0.71 | +1190.9% | +16.7% | +18.8% | +15.9% |
| 2020-05-22 | miss | -0.14 | -0.24 | -70.3% | -5.7% | -6.5% | -9.7% |
| 2020-03-13 | beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +11.0% | +9.0% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| 2019-11-22 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +23.1% | +12.0% | +19.8% | +24.8% |
| 2019-08-23 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.8% | +6.2% | -3.1% | +5.4% |
| 2019-05-24 | miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -10.6% | -3.5% | -5.7% | -8.3% |
| 2019-03-15 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -0.7% | -3.6% | -2.5% | -2.6% |
| 2018-11-26 | miss | 0.46 | 0.42 | -9.5% | -10.2% | -5.7% | -7.8% |
| 2018-08-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +8.2% | +6.7% | -4.5% | -7.4% |
| 2018-05-25 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +5.1% | -3.3% | -1.9% | +0.2% |
| 2018-03-16 | beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.4% | +5.2% | +6.8% | +13.2% |
| 2017-11-17 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.5% | +3.3% | +4.3% | +9.3% |
| 2017-08-17 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.3% | -3.8% | -0.7% | +2.1% |
| 2017-05-18 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.0% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +0.3% |
| 2017-03-10 | miss | 0.79 | 0.74 | -5.9% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +9.0% |
| 2016-11-18 | miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -7.8% | -4.4% | +2.1% | +6.7% |
| 2016-08-19 | miss | 0.35 | 0.32 | -8.1% | -0.7% | +4.9% | -0.5% |
| 2016-05-20 | miss | 0.57 | 0.48 | -15.2% | -2.4% | -0.3% | +4.4% |
| 2016-03-11 | beat | 1.08 | 1.13 | +4.3% | +2.3% | +4.5% | +8.0% |
| 2015-11-19 | miss | 0.79 | 0.74 | -6.2% | -1.8% | -2.1% | +7.6% |
| 2015-08-20 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.5% | -5.2% | -2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2015-05-21 | miss | 0.78 | 0.70 | -10.3% | -4.2% | -2.3% | -3.4% |
| 2015-03-13 | beat | 1.24 | 1.25 | +1.1% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +4.4% |
| 2014-11-20 | miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.5% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +3.5% |
| 2014-08-21 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -3.0% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +4.6% |
| 2014-05-22 | miss | 0.78 | 0.78 | -0.1% | -1.9% | +1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2014-03-14 | beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.2% | +2.3% | -0.7% | +3.2% |
| 2013-11-21 | miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.3% | -2.8% | -0.3% | +1.1% |
| 2013-08-22 | miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.6% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2013-05-23 | miss | 0.82 | 0.78 | -4.7% | -4.8% | -3.0% | -6.4% |
| 2013-03-14 | beat | 1.25 | 1.28 | +2.2% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +1.9% |
| 2012-11-15 | beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.3% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +5.5% |
| 2012-08-16 | miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.9% | -0.6% | +4.0% | +7.4% |
| 2012-05-17 | beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +3.7% | +8.0% | +2.9% | +3.5% |
| 2012-03-08 | beat | 1.14 | 1.18 | +3.9% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2011-11-17 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +0.7% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -12.8% |
Not investment advice.
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