BXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.0%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.1% median,
56% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.43%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.48 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$37M/day volume
26% volatility
-40% 1-year
52-week range · 7% of the way up · -47% from the high
$10.12$20.67
Congressional trades in BXMT Full tracker →
5 members · 8 buys / 4 sells · $872K–$1.9M disclosed · latest filing Feb 4, 2022.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $500K–$1.0M | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
4.3%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+11.2%
Biggest drop
-19.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | 0.24 | — | — | -2.5% | +2.9% | — | |
| 2026-07-30 | miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -12.2% | -3.5% | -8.7% | -15.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 0.35 | 0.21 | -40.3% | -3.0% | -4.6% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 0.27 | -2.07 | -866.7% | -1.2% | +2.0% | -1.7% |
| 2025-10-29 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -12.5% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -28.1% | -1.7% | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2025-04-30 | miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -39.3% | -0.6% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | -0.87 | -1.25 | -43.4% | -2.1% | +1.6% | +8.7% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +15.3% | -0.8% | +2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.0% | -10.1% | -11.6% | -9.1% |
| 2024-04-24 | miss | 0.44 | 0.33 | -24.9% | -5.9% | -4.6% | -7.2% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.4% | +3.1% | +6.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +12.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +0.4% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.66 | 0.79 | +19.7% | +1.7% | +5.0% | -0.6% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +4.9% | +2.6% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.0% | -0.3% | -4.2% | -4.6% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.3% | +2.4% | +2.9% | -0.2% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.63 | 0.67 | +6.5% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 0.64 | 0.62 | -2.4% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 0.62 | 0.78 | +25.6% | +1.8% | +3.3% | +5.0% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +2.7% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.8% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -4.2% |
| 2021-02-10 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -2.4% | +0.1% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.58 | 0.63 | +9.5% | +1.0% | +4.8% | +6.8% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +11.7% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +2.2% |
| 2020-04-28 | beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.0% | +9.8% | +11.2% | +10.2% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +2.6% | +4.2% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | 0.64 | 0.64 | -0.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.1% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2019-04-23 | miss | 0.69 | 0.62 | -9.8% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +5.6% | -1.7% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +12.0% | +0.2% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +24.8% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.4% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2018-02-13 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +3.3% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +9.6% | +1.6% | +1.5% | +1.0% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -2.8% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2017-04-25 | miss | 0.63 | 0.61 | -3.1% | -0.2% | +0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2017-02-14 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -1.7% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +10.1% | +0.8% | +0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.8% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2016-04-26 | miss | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +3.3% |
| 2016-02-16 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +3.0% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +10.5% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +16.4% | +0.6% | +1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2015-04-28 | miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.0% | +0.1% | -1.2% | -3.8% |
| 2015-02-17 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -1.4% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.7% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -0.2% |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.0% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2014-02-18 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.7% | +0.1% | +0.0% | -0.6% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +8.8% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 0.02 | -0.23 | -1439.6% | +0.3% | -1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2013-05-06 | miss | 2.87 | -10.30 | -458.9% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +10.0% |
| 2013-03-26 | beat | 2.69 | 42.20 | +1468.8% | +0.4% | -2.8% | -11.3% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | -2.29 | 0.90 | +139.3% | +1.3% | -2.2% | +1.3% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | -0.72 | 27.40 | +3905.6% | +1.9% | +0.0% | -3.2% |
| 2010-05-04 | beat | -19.60 | -19.50 | +0.5% | -0.5% | -5.7% | -2.4% |
| 2010-03-02 | miss | -20.20 | -174.10 | -761.9% | -16.9% | -19.8% | -17.5% |
Not investment advice.
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