CAKE

Cheesecake Factory Inc $113.12 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.3% median, 76% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.49 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$166M/day volume 40% volatility +108% 1-year -5% from ATH
52-week range · 93% of the way up · -5% from the high
$43.07$118.63

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, after close, in 110 days) · EPS est. 1.23.

1-day std dev
5.2%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+13.6%
Biggest drop
-13.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-27 beat 0.96 1.02 +6.6% -7.7% -2.5% —
2026-07-28 beat 1.18 1.44 +21.9% +4.4% +13.6% +18.3%
2026-04-29 beat 1.01 1.05 +3.5% +3.8% +0.3% -3.0%
2026-02-18 beat 0.99 1.00 +1.5% -0.7% -2.6% +1.6%
2025-10-28 beat 0.60 0.68 +13.0% +0.3% -7.3% -11.3%
2025-07-29 beat 1.06 1.16 +9.2% +4.5% +5.2% -2.3%
2025-04-30 beat 0.82 0.93 +13.9% -1.0% -4.4% -0.9%
2025-02-19 beat 0.92 1.04 +13.6% -1.9% +1.3% -3.4%
2024-10-29 beat 0.49 0.58 +17.7% +8.5% +8.8% +15.3%
2024-07-31 beat 1.00 1.09 +9.2% -0.4% -5.2% -7.6%
2024-05-08 beat 0.64 0.73 +14.6% +7.4% +6.2% +19.8%
2024-02-21 beat 0.73 0.80 +9.5% +2.6% +3.2% +3.4%
2023-11-01 miss 0.42 0.39 -7.0% -3.7% -2.0% -0.7%
2023-08-02 beat 0.82 0.88 +7.3% +1.3% -1.1% -3.0%
2023-05-10 beat 0.59 0.61 +3.8% +3.7% -3.0% +7.0%
2023-02-22 miss 0.59 0.56 -4.3% -1.1% -5.1% -4.8%
2022-11-01 miss 0.29 -0.03 -110.5% -2.3% -5.2% -3.2%
2022-07-27 miss 0.77 0.52 -32.7% -0.6% +4.9% +6.3%
2022-04-27 miss 0.51 0.47 -8.1% +1.4% +2.0% -3.6%
2022-02-16 miss 0.58 0.49 -15.1% +4.0% +0.4% +5.9%
2021-11-03 miss 0.70 0.65 -7.0% +2.4% +2.0% +4.2%
2021-07-27 beat 0.78 0.80 +2.1% -7.3% -13.2% -21.8%
2021-04-28 beat -0.06 0.20 +441.9% +5.6% +7.1% +5.5%
2021-02-17 miss -0.05 -0.32 -498.0% +3.4% +8.2% +15.2%
2020-10-29 beat -0.37 -0.33 +11.9% +5.9% -0.7% +3.7%
2020-07-29 miss -1.10 -1.13 -2.4% -5.9% -4.3% -5.6%
2020-05-05 beat -0.35 0.04 +111.6% +3.6% +1.0% -6.4%
2020-02-19 miss 0.61 0.58 -5.3% -2.6% +3.4% -14.1%
2019-10-29 beat 0.55 0.59 +7.7% +1.9% -4.8% -1.4%
2019-07-31 beat 0.81 0.82 +1.7% -0.3% +2.7% -4.2%
2019-05-01 beat 0.60 0.62 +3.6% +4.3% +2.1% -2.7%
2019-02-20 miss 0.62 0.60 -3.5% +1.0% +5.3% +2.0%
2018-10-30 beat 0.58 0.62 +6.2% -2.4% -1.4% +6.6%
2018-07-31 miss 0.81 0.65 -19.7% -11.1% -12.4% -11.5%
2018-04-25 miss 0.68 0.56 -17.6% +0.1% +2.3% +2.2%
2018-02-21 beat 0.53 0.53 +0.4% -1.0% +3.7% +1.9%
2017-11-01 miss 0.60 0.56 -6.8% -7.0% -6.3% -1.5%
2017-08-02 beat 0.76 0.78 +2.6% -4.5% -6.2% -4.6%
2017-05-03 miss 0.73 0.72 -1.0% -8.8% -6.7% -9.9%
2017-02-22 beat 0.67 0.67 +0.0% +0.8% +1.8% +2.5%
2016-10-26 beat 0.61 0.70 +14.6% +9.9% +5.9% +5.4%
2016-07-27 beat 0.71 0.78 +10.0% +5.8% +4.9% +0.7%
2016-04-27 beat 0.61 0.68 +11.4% -1.8% -0.2% +1.1%
2016-02-16 beat 0.52 0.54 +4.0% -1.5% +1.0% +2.5%
2015-10-26 beat 0.56 0.59 +6.1% -4.9% -4.6% -6.6%
2015-07-22 beat 0.62 0.69 +11.5% +3.1% +2.5% +4.8%
2015-04-22 beat 0.49 0.56 +15.3% +7.7% +4.7% +0.2%
2015-02-11 miss 0.60 0.48 -20.1% -8.2% -7.1% -7.2%
2014-10-22 miss 0.57 0.48 -15.4% -4.5% -2.9% +3.7%
2014-07-23 miss 0.61 0.59 -3.2% -1.1% -1.3% -2.5%
2014-04-23 miss 0.49 0.43 -11.9% +0.0% -1.9% -2.6%
2014-02-12 miss 0.59 0.57 -2.6% -0.6% +0.4% +2.5%
2013-10-23 beat 0.52 0.52 +0.6% +4.5% +5.9% +10.4%
2013-07-24 miss 0.57 0.54 -5.0% -3.7% -2.5% +2.8%
2013-04-24 beat 0.42 0.47 +11.5% +5.7% +5.3% +4.8%
2013-02-20 miss 0.52 0.51 -2.3% -1.4% +1.9% +4.7%
2012-10-24 miss 0.49 0.49 -0.6% +3.8% +0.7% +3.7%
2012-07-25 beat 0.49 0.51 +4.9% +8.3% +8.9% +9.1%
2012-04-25 beat 0.36 0.37 +3.0% +2.8% +2.3% +3.9%
2012-02-21 beat 0.52 0.53 +1.5% -3.6% -7.0% -6.1%

Not investment advice.