CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+4.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +4.2% median,
58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 71
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.72 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$6M/day volume
64% volatility
+14% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -10% from the high
$8.80$15.04
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, before open, in 40 days) · EPS est. 0.85.
1-day std dev
10.7%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+29.9%
Biggest drop
-20.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | beat | 0.37 | 0.47 | +27.0% | +8.2% | +1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2026-06-04 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.7% | +5.2% | +0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2026-03-19 | beat | -0.40 | -0.06 | +85.1% | +23.6% | +19.1% | +23.1% |
| 2025-12-09 | miss | 0.85 | 0.38 | -55.5% | -15.3% | -5.6% | +2.4% |
| 2025-09-04 | miss | 0.56 | 0.35 | -37.5% | -14.0% | -4.7% | +5.4% |
| 2025-05-29 | miss | 0.37 | 0.22 | -39.7% | -10.0% | -18.3% | -19.7% |
| 2025-03-20 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +25.7% | +2.5% | +2.7% | +9.3% |
| 2024-12-05 | miss | 1.36 | 1.23 | -9.2% | -18.4% | -20.0% | -25.6% |
| 2024-09-12 | miss | 1.22 | 0.85 | -30.3% | -19.8% | -18.8% | -10.0% |
| 2024-05-30 | beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.7% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -9.8% |
| 2024-03-19 | beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.7% | -6.9% | +2.1% | +1.8% |
| 2023-11-21 | beat | 1.30 | 1.37 | +5.2% | +8.6% | +8.8% | +12.9% |
| 2023-08-31 | beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +11.1% | +11.7% | +15.9% | +12.7% |
| 2023-06-01 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.7% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +34.4% |
| 2023-03-14 | beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.4% | +1.8% | +1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2022-11-22 | beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.9% | +2.5% | +0.4% | -12.1% |
| 2022-08-23 | beat | 1.32 | 1.38 | +4.3% | +0.2% | -15.5% | -14.3% |
| 2022-05-24 | beat | 0.83 | 1.32 | +59.0% | +16.8% | +29.9% | +37.0% |
| 2022-03-15 | beat | 0.68 | 0.91 | +33.2% | +6.9% | +7.6% | -0.2% |
| 2021-11-18 | beat | 1.15 | 1.59 | +38.9% | -1.4% | -8.4% | -14.3% |
| 2021-08-31 | beat | 0.54 | 1.19 | +122.4% | +7.8% | +4.2% | -5.7% |
| 2021-05-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.60 | +1900.0% | -7.4% | -8.1% | +0.4% |
| 2021-03-16 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +400.0% | -0.4% | +2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.04 | 0.48 | +1100.0% | +10.2% | -4.8% | -10.3% |
| 2020-08-31 | beat | -1.02 | -0.57 | +44.3% | -1.3% | +12.0% | +18.8% |
| 2020-06-04 | miss | -0.86 | -1.30 | -51.2% | +10.0% | +7.4% | -18.5% |
| 2020-03-12 | miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -15.8% | +3.8% | -11.2% | -35.1% |
| 2019-11-25 | miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -5.8% | -8.2% | +2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2019-08-26 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +8.0% | +18.8% | +24.0% | +31.6% |
| 2019-06-03 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.6% | +3.9% | +2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2019-03-21 | miss | 0.45 | 0.38 | -14.8% | -4.5% | -8.7% | -4.1% |
| 2018-11-20 | miss | 0.88 | 0.81 | -8.0% | -9.1% | -8.8% | -1.7% |
| 2018-09-04 | miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -0.9% | -9.2% | -8.0% | -7.5% |
| 2018-05-31 | miss | 0.47 | 0.43 | -8.1% | -4.1% | -2.4% | -1.3% |
| 2018-03-13 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.3% | +8.3% | +10.6% | +13.3% |
| 2017-11-21 | miss | 0.85 | 0.80 | -5.8% | -9.6% | -1.9% | +5.3% |
| 2017-08-29 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.3% | +4.4% | +7.7% | +10.4% |
| 2017-05-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +9.3% | +8.7% | +9.1% | +8.6% |
| 2017-03-16 | miss | 0.38 | 0.33 | -12.5% | -11.0% | -11.9% | -16.0% |
| 2016-11-22 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.3% | +5.4% | +14.2% | +15.3% |
| 2016-08-30 | miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -8.9% | -0.5% | +6.9% | +4.0% |
| 2016-05-26 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -3.9% | +11.0% | +17.1% | +14.7% |
| 2016-03-15 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +13.7% | -6.8% | -7.5% | -7.7% |
| 2015-11-24 | beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.1% | +3.8% | +2.7% | -0.6% |
| 2015-08-27 | beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.1% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +1.8% |
| 2015-05-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +24.0% | +6.1% | +4.1% | +5.6% |
| 2015-03-11 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +26.7% | -3.4% | -6.4% | -2.2% |
| 2014-11-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +11.1% | +5.7% | +9.8% | +16.0% |
| 2014-08-27 | beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +18.1% | -8.6% | -4.7% | -5.3% |
| 2014-05-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.8% | +0.0% | +10.8% | +3.7% |
| 2014-03-14 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.0% | -7.4% | +3.8% | +9.8% |
| 2013-11-26 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +7.7% | +4.3% | +0.5% | -2.8% |
| 2013-08-27 | beat | 0.22 | 0.33 | +50.0% | +1.3% | -8.9% | -3.8% |
| 2013-05-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +47.7% | +2.3% | +11.8% | +14.6% |
| 2013-03-15 | beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +70.7% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -9.4% |
| 2012-11-20 | beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +29.9% | +7.5% | +6.9% | +21.2% |
| 2012-08-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.16 | +433.3% | +3.9% | -7.3% | -0.5% |
| 2012-05-18 | beat | 0.09 | 0.23 | +161.4% | +5.1% | +25.5% | +36.6% |
| 2012-03-07 | miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -49.0% | -3.9% | -10.0% | -10.5% |
| 2011-11-21 | miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.4% | -2.6% | -5.4% | -1.5% |
Not investment advice.
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