CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.7% median,
57% of the last 42 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.79 +2.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$44M/day volume
100% volatility
-34% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -88% from the high
$85.96$847.70
Congressional trades in CAR Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 7.97.
1-day std dev
17.6%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+108.3%
Biggest drop
-26.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 1.85 | 0.98 | -46.9% | -9.8% | -6.9% | -16.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | -7.05 | -6.85 | +2.9% | -13.7% | -0.5% | -9.8% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | -0.38 | -4.69 | -1126.5% | -17.5% | -21.5% | -21.7% |
| 2025-10-27 | beat | 8.14 | 8.38 | +2.9% | +3.8% | -6.1% | -11.1% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | 1.77 | 0.98 | -44.7% | -9.9% | -15.4% | -23.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -5.86 | -5.23 | +10.8% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-02-11 | miss | -0.79 | -55.66 | -6939.7% | -1.2% | -6.8% | +4.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | miss | 8.46 | 6.65 | -21.4% | +4.8% | +10.9% | +12.0% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | 2.61 | 1.03 | -60.6% | +3.6% | +2.8% | +0.8% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | -2.88 | -3.21 | -11.6% | +16.4% | +20.1% | +26.9% |
| 2024-02-12 | beat | 4.12 | 7.34 | +78.3% | -4.5% | -22.9% | -39.9% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 14.19 | 17.09 | +20.4% | +8.8% | +14.0% | +15.2% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 9.74 | 11.01 | +13.0% | -4.1% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | 3.35 | 7.94 | +136.9% | -2.7% | -3.1% | -8.9% |
| 2023-02-13 | beat | 7.62 | 10.10 | +32.5% | +3.8% | +10.7% | +1.4% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 14.64 | 21.70 | +48.2% | -0.9% | -6.7% | -0.9% |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 14.92 | 15.71 | +5.3% | +5.2% | -4.7% | +1.4% |
| 2022-05-02 | beat | 3.86 | 9.71 | +151.8% | +7.6% | +1.7% | -19.1% |
| 2022-02-14 | beat | 6.58 | 6.63 | +0.8% | -2.2% | -12.0% | -23.2% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 6.68 | 10.74 | +60.9% | +1.7% | +108.3% | +45.6% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 3.34 | 5.63 | +68.6% | -2.0% | -16.6% | -4.0% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | -1.96 | -0.46 | +76.6% | -2.6% | -6.4% | -8.0% |
| 2021-02-16 | miss | -0.50 | -1.29 | -158.4% | +1.2% | -6.3% | +22.3% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.17 | 0.63 | +273.3% | -4.1% | -8.3% | -15.7% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | -5.68 | -5.60 | +1.5% | +9.5% | -0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2020-05-01 | beat | -1.83 | -1.40 | +23.6% | -4.4% | -15.7% | -10.6% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.50 | 0.73 | +47.1% | +12.9% | +16.6% | -25.8% |
| 2019-10-31 | miss | 3.64 | 2.96 | -18.6% | -8.3% | -6.6% | +3.5% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +7.1% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -13.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | -1.00 | -0.78 | +22.0% | -3.7% | +3.2% | -1.0% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -33.0% | +15.3% | +17.1% | +21.8% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | 3.35 | 2.68 | -19.9% | -8.1% | -4.9% | +0.5% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.0% | -7.1% | -15.2% | -11.8% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -1.02 | -0.74 | +27.4% | +0.0% | -11.6% | -12.1% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.07 | 2.65 | +3528.2% | +12.4% | +13.4% | +13.8% |
| 2017-11-06 | beat | 2.90 | 2.91 | +0.4% | -8.3% | -15.1% | -21.4% |
| 2017-08-07 | miss | 0.29 | 0.04 | -86.1% | -4.3% | -9.9% | +4.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | -0.60 | -1.25 | -106.7% | -2.7% | -3.5% | -17.5% |
| 2017-02-15 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -15.7% | -10.2% | -12.1% | -20.2% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 2.33 | 2.47 | +6.0% | +1.5% | +12.8% | +17.2% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | 0.71 | 0.63 | -11.8% | +6.2% | +6.1% | +8.8% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | -0.07 | -0.28 | -302.3% | +7.5% | +6.2% | +11.0% |
| 2016-02-23 | miss | 0.17 | -0.06 | -135.2% | -17.0% | -26.5% | -7.4% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 1.98 | 1.77 | -10.6% | -8.3% | -11.4% | -20.2% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.84 | +24.3% | +2.0% | +4.0% | -3.9% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +23.6% | -1.3% | -3.7% | -8.6% |
| 2015-02-18 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.2% | +0.6% | +3.5% | -2.9% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.80 | 1.91 | +6.2% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +2.9% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.0% | +4.1% | +2.6% | +11.9% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +107.4% | +2.0% | -4.1% | +1.9% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +20.4% | +0.2% | +9.0% | +19.7% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 1.52 | 1.48 | -2.3% | +4.7% | +9.2% | +7.8% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.7% | -4.2% | -4.8% | -6.1% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +326.7% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +6.2% |
| 2013-02-13 | miss | -0.17 | -0.43 | -152.9% | -3.7% | +5.4% | +2.5% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 1.46 | 2.38 | +63.0% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -3.3% |
| 2012-08-01 | beat | 0.70 | 0.94 | +34.5% | +2.3% | +9.8% | +11.3% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -2.7% | -2.1% | +4.4% | -2.8% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | 0.06 | -1.62 | -2958.7% | -7.8% | -13.8% | -9.0% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | 1.00 | 0.65 | -34.8% | +1.7% | -4.0% | -6.0% |
Posted about CAR
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
97.29
Tue, 24 Feb
Pentwater Capital Management LP has been buying CAR. The buy: Pentwater Capital Management LP, a 10%+ owner, bought 425,000 shares of CAR on 20-24…
Not investment advice.
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