CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.1% median,
83% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.24 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$5M/day volume
25% volatility
+68% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 70% of the way up · -16% from the high
$16.78$36.06
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.53.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+6.0%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 30 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +24.2% | -2.2% | +3.0% | +3.7% |
| 2026-04-23 | miss | 3.91 | 0.40 | -89.8% | +1.6% | -2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +17.1% | +1.7% | +2.8% | +10.5% |
| 2025-10-23 | miss | 0.41 | 0.26 | -37.1% | -4.7% | -6.3% | -9.0% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +26.8% | +0.5% | +4.3% | -2.4% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +12.9% | +4.6% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-01-23 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +63.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +3.0% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -1.0% |
| 2024-07-25 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | -0.6% | +0.1% | -3.6% | |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.10 | 0.24 | +132.3% | +4.2% | +1.5% | +11.4% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.17 | -0.02 | -111.5% | -0.9% | +6.0% | +0.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | 0.20 | 0.20 | — | +0.1% | +4.3% | +4.9% | |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 0.62 | 0.24 | -61.0% | -1.7% | -5.0% | -10.6% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.6% | +2.8% | +4.3% | +5.2% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +4.0% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +8.9% | +1.2% | +1.2% | +8.6% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +22.2% | +0.5% | -1.4% | +8.8% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +19.0% | -0.4% | +0.3% | -6.2% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 0.34 | 0.21 | -38.2% | +0.3% | -2.1% | -1.0% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +27.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +7.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -16.3% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +5.7% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -4.1% | -0.8% | -1.6% | +5.5% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +44.5% | -1.0% | -3.4% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +90.5% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +3.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -9.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.18 | 0.13 | -29.7% | -1.8% | -7.9% | -27.9% |
| 2020-01-27 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.1% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.4% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +11.1% | -0.9% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.03 | 0.29 | +866.7% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +3.7% |
Not investment advice.
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