CAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.4% median,
54% of the last 35 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.48%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.44 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$30M/day volume
22% volatility
+40% 1-year
-1% from ATH
52-week range · 98% of the way up · -1% from the high
$44.57$65.82
Congressional trades in CATY Full tracker →
4 members · 5 buys / 5 sells · $10K–$150K disclosed · latest filing Apr 7, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, after close, in 85 days) · EPS est. 1.52.
1-day std dev
3.2%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+11.5%
Biggest drop
-4.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 1.45 | 1.30 | -10.5% | +0.8% | +6.0% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 1.35 | 1.37 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.21 | 1.29 | +6.3% | +1.2% | +2.7% | +4.2% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.3% | +2.2% | -3.0% | -2.1% |
| 2025-10-21 | miss | 1.15 | 1.13 | -2.1% | +0.1% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 1.09 | 1.10 | +1.1% | +2.4% | +1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2025-04-21 | beat | 0.95 | 0.98 | +2.9% | +3.6% | +7.1% | +9.8% |
| 2025-01-22 | beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.5% | -1.7% | -3.9% | -2.8% |
| 2024-10-21 | beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.1% | +3.8% | +1.8% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-22 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.5% | -3.5% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-22 | beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +7.0% | -4.0% | -4.7% | -6.0% |
| 2024-01-24 | beat | 1.09 | 1.28 | +17.4% | +0.2% | -2.0% | -8.7% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -0.9% | +1.8% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 1.13 | 1.28 | +13.3% | +4.1% | +3.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 1.25 | 1.32 | +5.3% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -4.5% |
| 2023-01-25 | miss | 1.38 | 1.33 | -3.3% | -1.4% | -2.1% | +5.2% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +4.5% | +3.0% | +5.0% | +7.5% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +1.1% | -1.9% | -2.6% | -0.6% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +8.5% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -5.2% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.92 | 0.98 | +6.1% | +4.3% | +4.6% | +10.2% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.6% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.83 | 0.97 | +16.9% | -2.3% | -0.2% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.77 | 0.92 | +19.2% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +2.7% |
| 2021-01-27 | beat | 0.76 | 0.89 | +17.5% | +6.1% | +1.3% | +3.1% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +18.7% | +3.3% | -3.1% | +5.0% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +18.3% | +4.7% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2020-04-27 | miss | 0.67 | 0.59 | -11.9% | +0.5% | +4.5% | -2.4% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.83 | 0.84 | +1.2% | -2.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2019-10-16 | beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +2.9% | +3.9% | +1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.1% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +6.6% |
| 2019-04-17 | beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.9% | -1.8% | -2.4% | +0.1% |
| 2019-01-23 | 0.80 | 0.80 | — | -0.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% | |
| 2018-10-17 | miss | 0.85 | 0.83 | -1.7% | +0.7% | -2.3% | -7.5% |
| 2018-07-18 | beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.1% | +1.6% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 0.78 | 0.78 | +0.3% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +3.1% |
| 2018-01-30 | miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -3.6% | +0.9% | +0.5% | -2.4% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -1.4% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2017-07-19 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.2% | -1.4% | +2.5% | +0.9% |
| 2017-04-19 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.2% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| 2017-01-25 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.4% | -0.8% | +1.0% | -3.6% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +1.1% | +1.0% | -1.1% | +0.4% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.6% | +2.9% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 2016-01-20 | miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.2% | +0.0% | -2.8% | +0.4% |
| 2015-10-20 | beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.4% | +1.7% | -0.8% | +7.4% |
| 2015-07-21 | beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +13.8% | +2.3% | +3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2015-04-22 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +3.5% | +1.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2015-01-21 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.8% | +1.3% | +6.5% | +4.0% |
| 2014-10-21 | beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.9% | +0.4% | -3.0% | +2.2% |
| 2014-07-22 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +8.9% | +3.0% | +1.8% | +0.7% |
| 2014-04-16 | miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -2.3% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -0.4% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -6.3% |
| 2013-10-21 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.3% | +0.8% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2013-07-17 | beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2013-04-16 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -3.2% | -1.2% | -1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2013-01-23 | miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.2% | -0.8% | -3.6% | -1.9% |
| 2012-10-16 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.9% | +6.4% | +11.5% | +6.6% |
| 2012-07-17 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.3% | +0.4% | -1.8% | -6.6% |
| 2012-04-17 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +9.7% | +0.9% | -0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2012-01-23 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.8% | +1.4% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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