CBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.5% median,
57% of the last 40 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.36%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.43 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.7%
$15M/day volume
22% volatility
+9% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -12% from the high
$53.46$71.11
Congressional trades in CBU Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, before open, in 89 days) · EPS est. 1.22.
1-day std dev
2.2%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+3.6%
Biggest drop
-5.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.6% | +0.1% | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 1.18 | 1.10 | -6.8% | -3.0% | -2.8% | +0.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -0.6% | +0.4% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2026-01-27 | miss | 1.13 | 1.07 | -5.3% | -1.6% | -0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 1.05 | 1.05 | +0.2% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2025-07-22 | miss | 1.01 | 0.99 | -2.0% | -0.7% | -3.7% | -6.8% |
| 2025-04-28 | beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.2% | -2.5% | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.3% | +1.2% | +3.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-10-22 | miss | 0.88 | 0.83 | -5.2% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2024-07-23 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.4% | -1.3% | +3.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-04-23 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -2.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-23 | miss | 0.84 | 0.76 | -9.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -4.8% |
| 2023-10-24 | miss | 0.88 | 0.82 | -7.0% | -7.6% | -5.4% | +0.6% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +6.9% | +2.2% | +2.4% | +4.0% |
| 2023-04-25 | miss | 0.91 | 0.86 | -5.9% | -0.4% | -2.2% | +0.6% |
| 2023-01-24 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +2.9% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-24 | miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.2% | +0.8% | -1.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +1.7% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +4.0% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +14.1% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -7.0% |
| 2022-01-24 | miss | 0.82 | 0.81 | -1.1% | -0.7% | +3.4% | +0.4% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +3.4% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +10.2% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.79 | 0.97 | +22.1% | +1.0% | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +12.1% | -2.1% | -3.7% | -6.5% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +23.4% | -0.9% | +2.1% | +0.6% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +15.4% | +3.0% | -2.1% | -5.6% |
| 2020-04-20 | beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.3% | -0.3% | -1.0% | +0.6% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.82 | 0.83 | +1.2% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2019-10-21 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.9% | +0.7% | +2.5% | +7.4% |
| 2019-07-22 | beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.3% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2019-04-22 | beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +6.6% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +5.5% |
| 2019-01-23 | miss | 0.80 | 0.78 | -2.3% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -4.9% |
| 2018-10-22 | beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.7% | +4.5% | -1.3% | -1.0% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +7.3% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +1.5% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.0% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +3.7% |
| 2018-01-22 | miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -3.4% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -3.2% |
| 2017-10-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.9% | +0.4% | -3.6% | -2.7% |
| 2017-07-31 | miss | 0.52 | 0.35 | -32.9% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2017-04-24 | miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.4% | +1.7% | +3.2% | +1.3% |
| 2017-01-23 | beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.8% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +1.2% |
| 2016-10-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.4% | -7.9% | -1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.2% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +3.8% |
| 2016-04-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2016-01-20 | miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -5.1% | -0.8% | -3.0% | +0.4% |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.2% | +0.9% | +2.7% | +7.5% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +7.1% | -0.8% | +1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2015-04-20 | miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.0% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.5% |
| 2015-01-21 | miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -2.8% | +1.3% | +3.4% | -0.7% |
| 2014-10-20 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +4.7% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2014-07-21 | beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.7% | -1.0% | +0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.4% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2014-01-21 | beat | 0.53 | 0.84 | +59.2% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -7.7% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.8% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +4.3% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2013-04-23 | miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.2% | -2.0% | -0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2013-01-22 | miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -2.9% | +0.4% | -1.9% | -0.8% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.4% | +0.5% | +0.5% | -1.3% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.3% | +1.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2012-04-24 | miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.3% | +0.4% | -1.9% | -2.2% |
| 2012-01-22 | miss | 0.53 | 0.51 | -4.1% | -1.3% | -0.7% | -3.5% |
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
62.67
Mon, 31 Aug
2 different insiders at COMMUNITY FINANCIAL SYSTEM, INC. bought CBU stock in the last 30 days — $50,277 between them, at prices they each paid…
Not investment advice.
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