CFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.8% median,
58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.25 +0.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$10.1B market cap (#983 US)
$67M/day volume
19% volatility
+28% 1-year
-8% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -8% from the high
$119.15$170.80
Congressional trades in CFR Full tracker →
3 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Apr 5, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 2.81.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+10.1%
Biggest drop
-7.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 2.57 | 2.70 | +5.2% | +1.3% | -2.1% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 2.49 | 2.65 | +6.3% | -1.8% | +1.5% | -3.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 2.45 | 2.80 | +14.2% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +6.2% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 2.38 | 2.67 | +12.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 2.31 | 2.39 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -4.9% | -8.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 2.17 | 2.30 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 2.17 | 2.36 | +8.9% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.0% | +2.6% | -2.4% | +5.8% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 2.07 | 2.21 | +6.8% | +1.4% | +3.4% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 2.14 | 2.06 | -3.9% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2024-01-25 | beat | 2.09 | 2.18 | +4.4% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -4.8% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 2.15 | 2.38 | +10.9% | +1.4% | +10.1% | +13.4% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 2.40 | 2.47 | +3.1% | +3.7% | -7.6% | -6.7% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 2.55 | 2.70 | +5.8% | +2.0% | +6.6% | -9.7% |
| 2023-01-26 | beat | 2.76 | 2.91 | +5.5% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -6.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 2.23 | 2.59 | +16.3% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +9.0% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.5% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.48 | 1.50 | +1.7% | +0.7% | +2.7% | -2.2% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 1.34 | 1.54 | +15.1% | +2.8% | +4.0% | +6.4% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.52 | 1.65 | +8.7% | +0.1% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 1.56 | 1.80 | +15.2% | +1.5% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.44 | 1.77 | +22.7% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +5.2% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.29 | 1.38 | +7.3% | +0.3% | -4.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 1.20 | 1.50 | +24.9% | -1.2% | +3.3% | +8.3% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.83 | 1.47 | +77.3% | -2.4% | -2.5% | -3.7% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.5% | -3.5% | -2.7% | -11.1% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 1.57 | 1.60 | +1.7% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +0.8% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.3% | -0.7% | -3.3% | +1.3% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.0% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -6.1% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.75 | 1.79 | +2.4% | -0.1% | -4.2% | -0.7% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 1.75 | 1.82 | +3.9% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +0.8% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 1.72 | 1.78 | +3.5% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +8.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% | +0.3% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 1.49 | 1.61 | +8.4% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 1.40 | 1.59 | +13.9% | +1.2% | +4.3% | +4.5% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 1.31 | 1.41 | +7.9% | -0.6% | +1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 1.29 | 1.29 | +0.4% | +0.4% | -4.9% | -4.3% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.2% | -0.5% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| 2017-01-25 | beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.0% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -1.4% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 1.16 | 1.24 | +7.2% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 1.05 | 1.11 | +6.2% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -4.5% |
| 2016-04-27 | beat | 1.05 | 1.07 | +2.4% | -1.0% | +0.1% | -3.5% |
| 2016-01-27 | miss | 0.98 | 0.90 | -7.8% | -2.8% | +5.5% | +8.2% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +3.5% | +0.1% | +7.0% | +7.7% |
| 2015-07-29 | miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.2% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 1.09 | 1.10 | +0.6% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2015-01-28 | miss | 1.11 | 1.11 | -0.3% | +0.2% | -2.1% | +4.2% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.5% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 1.02 | 1.10 | +7.5% | +0.8% | +1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.98 | 0.98 | -0.2% | -0.5% | +1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2014-01-29 | beat | 0.97 | 0.99 | +2.2% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.96 | 0.96 | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -0.5% |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.95 | 0.94 | -0.8% | +0.0% | -1.0% | -1.3% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.96 | 0.91 | -5.5% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +2.3% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.1% | +0.8% | -0.8% | +3.4% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +0.8% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +8.3% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +3.8% |
| 2012-01-25 | beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.2% | -3.7% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2011-10-26 | miss | 0.89 | 0.89 | -0.3% | +2.2% | +0.2% | +1.8% |
Not investment advice.
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