CHDN

Churchill Downs Incorporated $91.16 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.8% median, 59% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.45 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$6.7B market cap (#864 US) $95M/day volume 36% volatility -8% 1-year -39% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -23% from the high
$73.09$118.35

Congressional trades in CHDN Full tracker →

5 members · 9 buys / 12 sells · $35K–$350K disclosed · latest filing Aug 11, 2025.

SELL JC James Comer · traded Jul 3, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Jan 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JC James Comer · traded Jan 2, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 5, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Nov 30, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Aug 20, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jul 13, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jul 7, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Jun 28, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded May 14, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Nov 12, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Apr 3, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Apr 1, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Apr 7, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 21, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Oct 22, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Jun 25, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 7, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded Mar 14, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Jan 29, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Dec 27, 2018 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

No scheduled report date yet.

1-day std dev
5.4%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+14.1%
Biggest drop
-16.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-28 beat 1.10 1.23 +11.8% +5.7% +11.2% —
2026-07-29 beat 3.43 3.45 +0.5% -3.5% -6.6% -1.9%
2026-04-22 beat 1.00 1.21 +20.4% +3.5% +10.1% +13.5%
2026-02-25 miss 1.03 0.97 -5.5% -1.4% -6.0% -6.3%
2025-10-22 beat 0.98 1.09 +10.8% +5.5% +7.8% +4.3%
2025-07-23 beat 3.01 3.10 +2.9% +4.0% +4.2% -1.9%
2025-04-23 beat 1.04 1.07 +2.5% -2.5% -16.2% -13.4%
2025-02-19 miss 0.95 0.92 -2.9% +0.3% -0.4% -1.9%
2024-10-23 miss 1.05 0.97 -7.9% -3.0% +4.5% +4.5%
2024-07-24 beat 2.70 2.89 +6.8% +0.3% +0.5% +2.0%
2024-04-24 beat 0.83 1.13 +36.8% +5.4% +4.7% +7.9%
2024-02-21 beat 0.77 0.86 +12.2% +2.6% +2.1% +3.8%
2023-10-25 beat 0.86 0.87 +1.1% +3.9% -0.3% +5.5%
2023-07-26 miss 2.51 2.24 -10.8% -3.2% -9.7% -8.9%
2023-04-26 beat 0.90 0.98 +8.3% +4.7% +14.1% +14.5%
2023-02-22 miss 0.90 0.73 -18.6% -1.5% +0.5% +1.5%
2022-10-26 beat 0.79 0.81 +2.8% -3.0% -5.1% -5.3%
2022-07-27 miss 2.00 1.95 -2.3% -1.2% -1.4% -3.5%
2022-04-27 beat 0.57 0.59 +3.8% +5.2% +6.7% +2.3%
2022-02-23 beat 0.56 0.64 +12.4% -2.8% +2.2% +10.3%
2021-10-27 beat 0.75 0.81 +7.9% -1.2% -4.8% -8.3%
2021-07-28 beat 1.29 1.54 +19.3% +0.7% -0.9% +1.7%
2021-04-21 beat 0.28 0.44 +55.4% +2.9% -2.8% -1.5%
2021-02-24 miss 0.14 0.10 -30.2% -3.3% -3.0% -4.2%
2020-10-28 beat 0.37 0.60 +59.3% +1.5% -3.9% +7.7%
2020-07-29 beat -0.33 -0.26 +19.8% -3.1% +7.4% +23.7%
2020-04-29 miss 0.17 0.03 -84.8% -8.0% -7.7% -5.3%
2020-02-26 beat -0.03 0.21 +774.4% -5.3% -4.5% -15.8%
2019-10-30 beat 0.27 0.28 +3.4% -1.0% -2.5% -7.3%
2019-07-31 beat 1.41 1.42 +0.6% +10.9% +5.5% +1.4%
2019-04-24 beat 0.20 0.32 +59.2% +4.3% +2.2% +9.4%
2019-02-27 beat 0.07 0.11 +52.1% +1.6% -2.8% -9.4%
2018-10-31 beat 0.25 0.27 +8.1% +4.9% +8.4% +9.9%
2018-08-01 beat 1.24 1.29 +3.8% +0.8% +0.4% +1.3%
2018-04-25 beat 0.18 0.18 +2.4% +4.5% +8.4% +8.4%
2018-02-28 miss 0.13 0.06 -58.8% -2.4% -0.8% +2.8%
2017-11-01 beat 0.12 0.19 +56.6% +0.8% +0.6% +2.6%
2017-07-26 beat 0.78 0.81 +3.9% +0.9% +2.3% +2.4%
2017-04-26 beat 0.13 0.13 +1.7% -2.0% -0.1% -1.7%
2017-02-28 beat 0.10 0.11 +7.0% +3.3% +1.3% +0.6%
2016-10-27 miss 0.16 0.09 -40.8% +3.9% -1.3% -1.6%
2016-08-03 beat 0.60 0.70 +17.6% +1.6% +5.3% +9.3%
2016-04-28 miss 0.08 0.06 -28.2% -1.7% -5.8% -9.3%
2016-02-24 beat 0.08 0.11 +47.1% +7.2% +4.7% +5.8%
2015-10-28 beat 0.11 0.16 +47.4% +7.9% +3.0% +4.3%
2015-07-29 miss 0.58 0.52 -11.2% -0.1% +5.6% +11.7%
2015-04-27 beat -0.03 -0.01 +43.8% +1.2% +5.4% +5.9%
2015-02-25 beat -0.05 0.01 +110.3% +0.2% +1.9% +4.6%
2014-10-29 miss 0.07 0.03 -49.7% -2.1% -0.9% +1.1%
2014-07-30 beat 0.53 0.54 +0.6% -0.3% -0.5% +4.6%
2014-04-23 miss — -0.01 -579.9% +0.5% -0.6% +0.0%
2014-02-26 miss 0.03 -0.05 -292.7% -5.7% -2.3% -1.8%
2013-10-30 beat 0.07 0.09 +25.6% +0.6% -1.3% -4.8%
2013-07-31 miss 0.48 0.47 -3.1% +0.3% +3.4% +1.7%
2013-04-24 miss 0.02 0.01 -44.8% +1.1% +0.4% +7.4%
2013-02-27 miss 0.03 0.02 -26.3% -0.3% -0.2% -1.0%
2012-11-05 beat 0.06 0.06 +2.4% -0.6% -3.6% -10.5%
2012-08-06 beat 0.42 0.46 +10.1% +5.8% +1.4% +0.6%
2012-05-07 beat -0.02 0.01 +170.5% +4.3% +4.3% +5.7%
2012-03-12 beat — 0.04 +2595.2% +2.7% +10.2% +9.8%

Not investment advice.