CHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+56.0%
Next 1 week
+168.0%
Next 1 month
-2.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.4% median,
53% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 38
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +19.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.78 -2.0%
$9.5B market cap (#1000 US)
$100M/day volume
39% volatility
+70% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 92% of the way up · -4% from the high
$84.25$159.96
Congressional trades in CHRD Full tracker →
5 members · 7 buys / 6 sells · $27K–$230K disclosed · latest filing Feb 17, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 5.75.
1-day std dev
3.0%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+5.1%
Biggest drop
-5.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 23 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 6.52 | 6.44 | -1.2% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 3.49 | 4.56 | +30.8% | -8.2% | -5.6% | -4.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.6% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +15.0% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 2.29 | 2.35 | +2.8% | -1.3% | -4.4% | +0.7% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 1.88 | 1.79 | -4.6% | -0.3% | -5.1% | -1.9% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 3.54 | 4.04 | +14.3% | +0.7% | -0.5% | +8.1% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 2.81 | 3.49 | +24.4% | +3.6% | +4.4% | -6.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 3.78 | 3.41 | -9.9% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 5.09 | 4.69 | -7.9% | -3.3% | -1.6% | +0.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 4.76 | 5.10 | +7.2% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 5.11 | 5.25 | +2.8% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -3.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 5.04 | 5.04 | +0.0% | -1.4% | +5.1% | -3.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 3.83 | 3.65 | -4.6% | +1.8% | +1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 4.29 | 4.49 | +4.7% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 6.04 | 5.28 | -12.7% | +0.6% | +3.9% | +6.0% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 8.35 | 7.20 | -13.8% | -2.1% | +2.8% | +4.8% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 8.08 | 7.30 | -9.7% | +0.5% | -2.6% | +9.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 7.13 | 8.32 | +16.7% | +2.1% | +0.9% | -6.5% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 5.57 | 5.68 | +2.0% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +7.6% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 1.85 | 3.16 | +70.8% | +3.1% | -2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 2.81 | 2.76 | -1.7% | -0.3% | -1.6% | +2.5% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 2.56 | 4.34 | +69.3% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -3.7% |
| 2021-03-08 | miss | 2.70 | 1.35 | -49.9% | -2.8% | -3.8% | +1.0% |
Not investment advice.
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