CMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.2% median,
62% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.35 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.9%
$78M/day volume
35% volatility
+6% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -24% from the high
$55.97$84.87
Congressional trades in CMC Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 2 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2016.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-07 (Thursday, before open, in 70 days) · EPS est. 1.71.
1-day std dev
5.1%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-12.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | beat | 1.96 | 2.09 | +6.6% | +6.3% | +0.1% | -2.3% |
| 2026-06-25 | beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.3% | +1.7% | +3.9% | -13.4% |
| 2026-03-26 | miss | 1.30 | 1.16 | -10.5% | -7.1% | -4.7% | -1.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | beat | 1.50 | 1.84 | +22.3% | -2.3% | -3.6% | +3.5% |
| 2025-10-16 | beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.1% | -3.0% | -7.3% | +2.0% |
| 2025-06-23 | miss | 0.85 | 0.74 | -12.9% | -1.7% | +1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -14.5% | -3.7% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2025-01-06 | miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-10-17 | beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.5% | -3.1% | +5.1% | -3.4% |
| 2024-06-20 | beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.2% | +1.5% | +3.8% | +5.4% |
| 2024-03-21 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.2% | +3.6% | +5.3% | +4.9% |
| 2024-01-08 | beat | 1.47 | 1.63 | +10.8% | +2.7% | +7.5% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-12 | miss | 1.82 | 1.69 | -6.9% | -5.9% | -9.6% | -14.6% |
| 2023-06-22 | beat | 1.82 | 2.02 | +10.8% | +2.2% | +8.8% | +10.0% |
| 2023-03-23 | beat | 1.43 | 1.44 | +0.4% | +4.2% | +3.1% | +8.3% |
| 2023-01-09 | beat | 1.96 | 2.24 | +14.5% | +2.6% | -0.6% | +9.3% |
| 2022-10-13 | beat | 2.23 | 2.45 | +10.1% | -1.0% | +6.1% | +8.4% |
| 2022-06-16 | beat | 1.85 | 2.61 | +41.2% | +0.1% | -4.9% | -1.7% |
| 2022-03-17 | beat | 1.33 | 1.53 | +15.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +5.7% |
| 2022-01-10 | beat | 1.19 | 1.62 | +35.9% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +2.5% |
| 2021-10-14 | miss | 1.34 | 1.26 | -5.9% | -4.4% | -4.7% | -2.1% |
| 2021-06-17 | beat | 0.84 | 1.04 | +23.4% | +2.0% | -3.8% | +1.4% |
| 2021-03-18 | beat | 0.61 | 0.66 | +8.2% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2021-01-11 | beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.8% | -2.5% | -4.0% | -5.5% |
| 2020-10-15 | beat | 0.57 | 0.79 | +39.2% | -4.8% | -2.7% | -7.5% |
| 2020-06-18 | beat | 0.31 | 0.59 | +90.4% | +0.1% | +5.6% | +3.9% |
| 2020-03-19 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +7.1% | +0.1% | +8.7% | +27.9% |
| 2020-01-06 | beat | 0.54 | 0.73 | +34.2% | +7.4% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.1% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +2.6% |
| 2019-06-20 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.3% | +6.1% | +6.5% | +10.9% |
| 2019-03-21 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +9.2% | -0.4% | +8.2% | +5.2% |
| 2019-01-07 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +4.8% | -0.1% | -5.5% | -7.0% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.3% | +3.6% | +9.6% | +14.0% |
| 2018-06-21 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -3.1% | -3.3% | -5.9% | -10.4% |
| 2018-03-22 | miss | 0.29 | 0.26 | -9.6% | -5.7% | -12.3% | -14.1% |
| 2018-01-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.34 | +103.3% | +5.2% | +6.7% | +11.0% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.19 | 0.07 | -63.1% | -4.1% | -9.8% | -9.3% |
| 2017-06-22 | beat | 0.25 | 0.34 | +38.1% | +7.8% | +2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2017-03-23 | beat | 0.13 | 0.25 | +98.5% | +7.8% | +3.3% | +4.4% |
| 2017-01-09 | miss | 0.16 | 0.06 | -62.6% | -4.2% | -7.9% | -11.2% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +19.0% | -0.2% | -3.8% | -2.6% |
| 2016-06-23 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.1% | +2.1% | -1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2016-03-24 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +22.1% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +6.1% |
| 2016-01-05 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.8% | +0.0% | +3.5% | -0.7% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 0.43 | 0.05 | -88.4% | -4.5% | -6.9% | -10.1% |
| 2015-06-25 | beat | 0.44 | 0.58 | +32.5% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -3.2% |
| 2015-03-26 | beat | 0.19 | 0.53 | +173.3% | +4.5% | +1.1% | +6.5% |
| 2015-01-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +16.2% | +0.5% | -6.7% | -10.2% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +25.8% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.7% |
| 2014-06-27 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.3% | -7.7% | -4.0% | -2.8% |
| 2014-03-27 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +19.6% | +3.0% | +1.0% | +3.2% |
| 2014-01-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.8% | +2.9% | +1.1% | +2.8% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +12.1% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +5.6% |
| 2013-06-27 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +39.0% | -0.4% | +4.6% | +3.7% |
| 2013-03-28 | miss | 0.18 | 0.04 | -77.6% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -11.4% |
| 2013-01-07 | beat | 0.17 | 0.28 | +67.6% | +1.7% | +3.1% | +1.0% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 0.27 | 0.06 | -78.8% | +0.1% | -2.3% | +1.7% |
| 2012-06-27 | miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -30.0% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +12.2% |
| 2012-03-28 | beat | 0.09 | 0.24 | +153.2% | +1.9% | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2012-01-06 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +4.4% | +0.6% | +4.0% | -8.3% |
Not investment advice.
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