CMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+4.3%
Next 1 month
+6.6%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.5% median,
48% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.83 +8.1% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$6M/day volume
70% volatility
-1% 1-year
-73% from ATH
52-week range · 26% of the way up · -38% from the high
$11.99$24.40
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.38.
1-day std dev
10.6%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+41.5%
Biggest drop
-41.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.27 | 0.61 | +123.2% | +36.6% | +41.5% | +42.0% |
| 2026-06-04 | miss | 0.36 | 0.24 | -33.9% | -9.7% | -9.2% | -13.9% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.6% | +2.8% | +0.1% | -16.1% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.53 | 0.62 | +17.2% | +15.3% | +15.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.0% | +3.4% | -14.1% | -17.1% |
| 2025-05-28 | beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +3.4% | +6.8% | -11.8% | -16.3% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | 0.73 | 0.56 | -23.3% | -26.5% | -41.2% | -41.6% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.5% | -5.6% | -0.3% | +12.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.61 | 0.62 | +1.9% | -5.9% | -2.8% | -16.6% |
| 2024-05-29 | miss | 0.84 | 0.75 | -10.4% | -13.4% | -7.5% | -14.8% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +9.9% | +6.0% | +1.2% | +7.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.2% | +7.3% | +0.7% | +10.4% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.62 | 0.62 | -0.4% | -3.1% | -8.4% | -10.3% |
| 2023-05-25 | beat | 0.74 | 0.80 | +7.7% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +9.7% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.6% | +0.1% | +6.5% | +3.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.5% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.59 | 0.69 | +16.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| 2022-05-25 | beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.4% | -2.1% | -3.7% | +8.8% |
| 2022-01-27 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.8% | +6.8% | -5.0% | -3.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | 0.75 | 0.74 | -0.7% | -5.2% | +0.9% | +5.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2021-05-26 | miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -2.4% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +65.5% | +8.8% | +1.7% | +13.4% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.34 | +44.7% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +133.3% | +1.2% | -3.7% | -0.1% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +24.7% | +5.0% | +12.3% | +16.3% |
| 2020-02-04 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.5% | +2.4% | +5.5% | +3.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.74 | +10.4% | -1.4% | +7.1% | +2.8% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.76 | 0.81 | +7.3% | -6.3% | -1.9% | -10.8% |
| 2019-05-28 | beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.8% | +12.4% | +12.6% | +17.7% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +4.1% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +1.4% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +12.9% | +6.1% | +16.3% | +27.2% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.60 | 0.74 | +23.3% | +10.0% | +4.0% | +4.1% |
| 2018-05-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.51 | +3.7% | +5.1% | +10.2% | +12.5% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 0.32 | 0.44 | +39.0% | -2.8% | +1.3% | -6.1% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.7% | +1.8% | +9.0% | +5.2% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.32 | 0.55 | +71.9% | +4.7% | +21.8% | +26.1% |
| 2017-05-31 | beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +17.6% | +7.5% | +14.6% | +14.3% |
| 2017-01-26 | miss | 0.35 | 0.22 | -36.5% | -5.5% | -4.5% | -6.4% |
| 2016-10-28 | miss | 0.36 | 0.36 | -0.9% | -0.3% | +4.0% | +15.8% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +9.7% | +3.0% | +0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2016-06-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2016-01-28 | miss | 0.39 | 0.32 | -18.8% | -5.0% | +2.1% | -0.1% |
| 2015-10-30 | miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -5.2% | -13.8% | -8.1% | -5.8% |
| 2015-07-31 | miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -4.8% | -0.9% | +0.1% | -6.6% |
| 2015-05-28 | miss | 0.53 | 0.45 | -14.3% | -1.6% | -4.4% | -4.9% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.2% | -10.2% | +0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2014-10-24 | beat | 0.39 | 0.53 | +36.6% | +18.8% | +14.4% | +27.6% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -14.6% | -5.5% | -9.4% | -5.1% |
| 2014-05-22 | beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +10.1% | +0.6% | +8.3% | +2.2% |
| 2014-01-23 | miss | 0.38 | 0.31 | -17.3% | -4.1% | -0.4% | -4.2% |
| 2013-10-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +19.9% | +0.9% | +7.6% | +1.3% |
| 2013-07-26 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +17.1% | -1.9% | -9.9% | -10.0% |
| 2013-05-23 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.8% | -5.3% | -0.4% | +11.3% |
| 2013-01-25 | beat | 0.29 | 0.49 | +67.0% | +17.1% | +7.8% | +18.8% |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +21.7% | +0.7% | -1.8% | +5.2% |
| 2012-07-19 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +30.2% | +8.6% | +9.2% | +6.6% |
| 2012-05-24 | beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.3% | +13.5% | +6.8% | +6.4% |
| 2012-01-27 | beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +39.0% | +8.0% | +9.0% | +17.3% |
| 2011-10-28 | beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +19.6% | +4.2% | +4.7% | +3.4% |
Not investment advice.
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