CMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.0% median,
62% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 70
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.18 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt +1.0%
$20.8B market cap (#537 US)
$288M/day volume
18% volatility
-5% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -14% from the high
$62.29$80.36
Congressional trades in CMS Full tracker →
8 members · 4 buys / 12 sells · $16K–$240K disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-04 (Thursday, before open, in 98 days) · EPS est. 1.00.
1-day std dev
1.2%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+2.9%
Biggest drop
-2.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 1.35 | 1.44 | +6.6% | -0.4% | -0.8% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.1% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -3.4% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.94 | 0.95 | +1.5% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.4% | +0.8% | +1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.9% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.7% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.0% | +0.3% | +1.8% | +4.0% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.8% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -5.3% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.1% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +6.2% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +1.6% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 1.04 | 1.05 | +0.6% | +0.2% | +2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.7% | +0.0% | +1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -2.9% | -8.0% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.2% | +0.7% | +1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% | -5.1% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +6.3% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +1.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +18.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +2.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.6% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.2% | +0.9% | +1.1% | -2.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.8% | -0.1% | +0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.45 | 0.55 | +22.0% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +6.0% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.5% | -1.9% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +7.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +12.8% | +0.9% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2020-04-27 | beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +9.0% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -4.5% |
| 2020-01-30 | miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -0.8% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +1.0% |
| 2019-07-25 | miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -11.1% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.7% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.2% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2019-01-31 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.5% | -1.6% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +2.2% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -6.0% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.2% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +6.2% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2018-02-14 | miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +10.0% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +0.3% |
| 2017-07-28 | miss | 0.39 | 0.33 | -15.0% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +9.1% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.5% | -0.6% | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +12.0% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +25.4% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.8% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +1.1% | -4.7% | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +7.1% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-23 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -14.2% | -0.4% | -1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +10.2% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| 2015-01-29 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.3% | -0.3% | +2.6% | +0.2% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -3.9% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +3.3% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.27 | 0.30 | +9.9% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -5.1% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -1.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% | -0.9% |
| 2013-07-25 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -6.2% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +6.3% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +2.1% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.8% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -1.2% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +9.7% | +0.9% | +2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -8.5% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% |
| 2012-02-23 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -2.2% | +2.0% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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