CNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.5% median,
65% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 80
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.19 -0.5% · Seasonal tilt +1.3%
$13.2B market cap (#743 US)
$18M/day volume
22% volatility
+10% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 52% of the way up · -12% from the high
$41.53$55.71
Congressional trades in CNA Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Sep 8, 2021.
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.13.
1-day std dev
3.7%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+8.5%
Biggest drop
-8.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 1.05 | 1.19 | +13.3% | +3.8% | +2.1% | -2.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | 1.24 | 0.83 | -33.1% | -0.2% | -8.0% | -10.2% |
| 2026-02-09 | miss | 1.34 | 1.16 | -13.4% | +0.2% | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 1.32 | 1.50 | +13.6% | +1.6% | -1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.88 | 1.23 | +39.8% | +0.5% | +4.0% | +7.8% |
| 2025-05-05 | 1.03 | 1.03 | — | -0.2% | -0.6% | +1.2% | |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.7% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -0.5% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-29 | miss | 1.22 | 1.19 | -2.7% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 1.39 | 1.30 | -6.7% | -3.3% | +0.3% | +1.0% |
| 2024-02-05 | beat | 1.10 | 1.33 | +21.3% | +5.6% | +7.2% | +6.9% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.94 | 1.06 | +12.4% | +2.9% | -0.8% | +1.0% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +0.6% | -1.1% | -2.0% | +5.5% |
| 2023-05-01 | miss | 1.22 | 1.19 | -2.7% | -3.9% | +0.4% | +3.1% |
| 2023-02-06 | beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.5% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +7.6% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 0.59 | 0.78 | +32.2% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +0.2% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | 1.03 | 0.90 | -12.3% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -4.9% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | 1.22 | 1.16 | -4.9% | -4.9% | -5.4% | -6.6% |
| 2022-02-07 | miss | 1.00 | 0.97 | -3.0% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +1.5% |
| 2021-11-01 | beat | 0.68 | 0.87 | +28.6% | +2.9% | +2.6% | +2.4% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.3% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 0.93 | 0.96 | +3.2% | +0.8% | +1.6% | +2.7% |
| 2021-02-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.23 | +23.4% | +5.5% | +4.7% | +7.5% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +19.0% | +3.3% | +6.3% | +16.9% |
| 2020-08-03 | 0.36 | 0.36 | — | +0.0% | -1.0% | +3.8% | |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.56 | 0.40 | -28.6% | -0.5% | +5.2% | -0.3% |
| 2020-02-10 | beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.3% | +5.5% | +8.5% | +6.3% |
| 2019-10-28 | miss | 1.02 | 0.37 | -63.6% | -5.3% | -2.8% | -1.5% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.4% | +3.2% | -1.6% | +0.7% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 1.08 | 1.17 | +8.8% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +0.9% |
| 2019-02-11 | miss | 0.93 | -0.08 | -108.6% | -5.5% | -7.8% | -2.7% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 1.10 | 1.17 | +6.5% | +4.9% | +8.5% | +9.0% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +0.6% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -4.7% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.91 | 1.03 | +13.6% | +4.5% | +2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2018-02-12 | beat | 0.82 | 1.05 | +28.5% | +6.7% | +4.8% | +8.3% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.58 | +157.8% | -0.3% | +5.5% | +8.1% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +16.5% | +1.0% | +5.3% | +7.8% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +9.7% | +0.3% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2017-02-06 | beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +4.4% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +2.5% |
| 2016-10-31 | beat | 0.82 | 1.15 | +39.5% | +10.5% | +5.0% | +4.8% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.7% | +3.1% | -2.6% | +3.2% |
| 2016-05-02 | miss | 0.62 | 0.34 | -45.2% | +0.0% | +3.9% | +2.5% |
| 2016-02-08 | miss | 0.89 | -0.19 | -121.4% | -2.9% | -6.0% | -3.8% |
| 2015-11-02 | miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -1.1% | +1.4% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2015-08-03 | miss | 0.79 | 0.49 | -38.1% | -2.6% | -1.2% | +0.1% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.5% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2015-02-09 | miss | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.1% | +1.5% | +3.3% | +6.8% |
| 2014-11-03 | miss | 0.78 | 0.68 | -12.3% | +0.1% | -0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.82 | 1.00 | +22.2% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% |
| 2014-04-28 | miss | 0.83 | 0.70 | -15.8% | -4.0% | -6.9% | -2.4% |
| 2014-02-10 | beat | 0.87 | 1.24 | +42.9% | +4.6% | +6.9% | +7.9% |
| 2013-10-28 | beat | 0.76 | 1.00 | +31.5% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +1.9% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.64 | 0.75 | +17.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +4.6% |
| 2013-04-29 | beat | 0.71 | 0.86 | +20.5% | +4.7% | +0.4% | +3.1% |
| 2013-02-11 | miss | 0.22 | -0.03 | -113.6% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.65 | 0.80 | +23.4% | +0.7% | +2.3% | -0.7% |
| 2012-07-30 | miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.8% | -3.7% | -3.6% | -2.9% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.69 | 0.84 | +20.9% | +4.5% | +1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2012-02-06 | beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +3.0% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -1.9% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +33.1% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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