COModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.5%
Next 1 week
-0.3%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.5% median,
50% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.60 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$15M/day volume
50% volatility
-18% 1-year
52-week range · 66% of the way up · -19% from the high
$1.82$4.16
Congressional trades in COTY Full tracker →
4 members · 8 buys / 6 sells · $63K–$295K disclosed · latest filing Apr 16, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
11.1%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+32.2%
Biggest drop
-22.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 53 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -132.3% | -15.8% | -9.2% | -8.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | — | -0.03 | -728.7% | -3.1% | +3.5% | -14.1% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -24.2% | -15.6% | -15.6% | -20.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.15 | 0.12 | -19.4% | +3.2% | -1.6% | -4.0% |
| 2025-08-20 | miss | 0.02 | -0.05 | -410.4% | -21.8% | -21.6% | -10.9% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -81.0% | -9.1% | -11.6% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-10 | miss | 0.21 | 0.11 | -47.9% | +3.4% | -9.3% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -18.9% | -1.9% | -2.4% | +2.2% |
| 2024-08-20 | miss | 0.04 | -0.03 | -180.5% | +0.7% | +6.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -17.0% | -3.7% | -3.5% | -4.8% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +28.7% | +2.5% | -2.5% | -1.8% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.3% | -2.5% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2023-08-22 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -41.4% | -0.9% | -2.3% | +5.4% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.19 | +324.2% | +2.6% | -3.2% | -7.6% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +42.1% | -0.5% | -1.8% | +10.0% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -5.3% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-25 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -19.1% | +3.1% | +10.6% | +1.1% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +152.9% | +2.6% | -7.4% | -14.0% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.11 | 0.17 | +51.7% | +2.6% | +8.0% | +10.3% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +214.5% | +8.6% | +15.1% | +18.0% |
| 2021-08-26 | miss | -0.05 | -0.09 | -65.4% | +5.1% | +14.7% | +16.6% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -10.1% | -13.0% | -13.8% |
| 2021-02-09 | beat | 0.08 | 0.17 | +124.7% | -11.8% | -15.1% | -8.6% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | -0.07 | 0.11 | +247.6% | +13.5% | +22.2% | +43.4% |
| 2020-08-27 | miss | -0.11 | -0.51 | -353.9% | -8.3% | -8.1% | -5.5% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.01 | -0.08 | -444.2% | +10.0% | -8.1% | -34.2% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +12.6% | +10.0% | +14.5% | +11.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +14.1% | +4.3% | +13.6% | +6.8% |
| 2019-08-28 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.6% | +6.5% | +6.0% | +12.6% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +4.9% | -4.5% | -5.5% | +8.5% |
| 2019-02-08 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.9% | +24.1% | +32.2% | +56.4% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +46.2% | -14.8% | -22.5% | -22.2% |
| 2018-08-21 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.1% | -5.4% | -7.1% | +2.5% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +4.5% | +6.7% | -5.6% | -8.7% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.23 | 0.32 | +38.6% | +11.6% | +14.2% | +23.2% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +52.8% | +14.2% | +13.8% | +14.2% |
| 2017-08-22 | miss | 0.09 | — | -105.0% | -10.6% | -9.4% | -15.5% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +19.9% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +4.7% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.34 | 0.30 | -11.9% | +0.0% | -8.6% | -6.7% |
| 2016-11-09 | miss | 0.33 | 0.23 | -30.2% | -11.5% | -10.2% | -16.2% |
| 2016-08-16 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +118.8% | +0.7% | -4.9% | -5.1% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -24.4% | -1.7% | -8.7% | -13.2% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +10.7% | +12.0% | +15.2% | +8.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.30 | 0.59 | +99.7% | -1.7% | -5.8% | -2.6% |
| 2015-08-13 | beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +18.2% | +0.3% | +6.1% | -0.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +52.1% | +2.3% | +1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.32 | 0.45 | +41.4% | +2.9% | +12.2% | +16.4% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.6% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +12.9% |
| 2014-08-28 | miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -42.1% | -5.2% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| 2014-05-14 | beat | 0.09 | 0.22 | +145.9% | +6.4% | +2.1% | +4.7% |
| 2014-02-14 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -4.2% | +2.3% | +7.4% | +7.1% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -2.9% | -0.2% | -1.9% | +1.5% |
| 2013-09-17 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +100.0% | +0.0% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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